TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Bulls vs. Spurs: O/U 245.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$740,711
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$742,175

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $740,711 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over53c618,799$327,984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327,984.2987451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Under48c395,503$189,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206,299.754539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Under46c185,185$85,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99,999.915644.9%70 W · 86 L-9.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under46c49,906$23,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,877.344,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Over52c45,344$23,579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,579.0520545.9%94 W · 111 L-12.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x99e0…5052backed Under47c20,000$9,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,6708839.8%35 W · 53 L-7.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3d3d…3165backed Under47c19,101$8,977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,123.533129%9 W · 22 L-6.7wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-45.6%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Over51c15,000$7,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,6509159.3%54 W · 37 L+9.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Under48c10,000$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,20049244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over51c8,368$4,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,280.053,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over51c3,530$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,800.32,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under48c2,758$1,312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,446.281,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f5e…1a04backed Under43c2,458$1,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,393.316162.3%38 W · 23 L+5.9wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+14.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4185…298dbacked Over53c2,095$1,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,110.16714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.34per pick49cpaid-70%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under48c2,052$985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,067.1164944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under47c2,000$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0604,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Under46c1,849$858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$990.5135744.3%158 W · 199 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under47c1,783$838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$945.026,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Over51c1,185$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.441,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over52c1,137$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.0121247.2%100 W · 112 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e59…307dbacked Under47c1,048$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.48859.1%52 W · 36 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over51c1,038$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.192,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9569…27fdbacked Under49c996.93$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.4313959.7%83 W · 56 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Over59c837.25$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.1931345%141 W · 172 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6870…5826backed Under48c749.72$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.3654853.8%295 W · 253 L+16.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over55c705.22$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.442,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Over71c700.08$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.7660444.2%267 W · 337 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0caf…91adbacked Under73c676.83$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.746764.2%43 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Over51c558.33$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.7568645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x00ce…3f01backed Under50c557.56$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.8832151.7%166 W · 155 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over50c527.35$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.84,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Over51c501.96$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25638947.6%185 W · 204 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Under24c486.93$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.0224138.6%93 W · 148 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under47c414.71$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.86547.7%31 W · 34 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6abc…bd1bbacked Under48c411.16$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.1614549%71 W · 74 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under47c403.86$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.811,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Under50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20052951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0556…132abacked Under48c399.99$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2089346.2%43 W · 50 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe226…95a5backed Over54c364.85$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.029853.1%52 W · 46 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7bc…0f85backed Over58c340.12$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.081154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dd1…2812backed Over42c299.99$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1266339.7%25 W · 38 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under47c276.32$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.4549249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under58c271.74$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.131,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3aef…da41backed Under42c255$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.51758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+33.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under48c253.1$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.361,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x429a…7745backed Over7c224.84$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6120%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08a1…10dcbacked Over53c210$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.311858.5%69 W · 49 L+10.4wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe6d1…c15ebacked Under48c206.24$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.685160.8%31 W · 20 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0275…596dbacked Under48c205.21$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.7116749.1%82 W · 85 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Under46c203.37$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.191,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2986…763bbacked Under48c203.16$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.6433748.1%162 W · 175 L-1.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10067921.4%145 W · 534 L+32.4wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xee62…bc6abacked Under50c198.97$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.4926745.3%121 W · 146 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x61af…aa01backed Under50c197$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.538464.3%247 W · 137 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over55c192.8$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.882,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cc1…57a1backed Over51c158.59$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.882927.6%8 W · 21 L-5.4wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-47.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x86f3…685cbacked Under75c148.92$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.2512558.4%73 W · 52 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over34c146.48$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.183,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Under48c138.8$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.331,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Over54c137.35$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.681,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f49…fec0backed Under25c133.93$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.4437848.7%184 W · 194 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12a0…3c0ebacked Over56c130.27$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.2115853.8%85 W · 73 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb61f…976abacked Under50c113.97$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.9820963.2%132 W · 77 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x199f…7e77backed Under71c111.28$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.276861.8%42 W · 26 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over49c109.68$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.2576653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7b89…f3a9backed Over54c109.46$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.116344.4%28 W · 35 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8195…e7afbacked Under47c108.02$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.25119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.18per pick27cpaid-80.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f4e…e935backed Under48c104.16$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.161540%6 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5407…dbc0backed Under49c100.47$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.243751.4%19 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+24%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x276d…ea8fbacked Over75c100$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754156.1%23 W · 18 L-5.5wins-0.14per pick70cpaid-19.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Over51c96.57$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.2545542.4%193 W · 262 L-0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over50c96.26$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.131,11341.6%463 W · 650 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d78…7b8dbacked Under72c95.37$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.657754.5%42 W · 35 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under47c93.48$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.141,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Over53c93.38$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.2553453.4%285 W · 249 L+19.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb988…f50fbacked Over53c92.5$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.256960.9%42 W · 27 L+6.1wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2754…1668backed Over47c86.44$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.5613950.4%70 W · 69 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc353…30a8backed Under48c84.42$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.96336.5%23 W · 40 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over51c81.45$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.231,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd708…b9d2backed Under75c79.1$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.774348.8%21 W · 22 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over58c78.74$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.033,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Under54c74.5$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.2345251.1%231 W · 221 L+1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf463…4cc1backed Over54c68.96$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.196050%30 W · 30 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under55c61.47$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.7287744.7%392 W · 485 L-1.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0c5…b613backed Over52c59.1$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.7320249%99 W · 103 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6da7…762abacked Over54c54.66$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.522850%14 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d45…30b6backed Under37c53.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.01771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+35.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under47c53$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.095,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2099…3024backed Under30c52.13$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.6311128.8%32 W · 79 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-19.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Under48c51.62$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.6465045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under35c49.32$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.8711354.9%62 W · 51 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over76c46.47$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.3127463.5%174 W · 100 L+34.8wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+19.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x843c…8405backed Under73c45.83$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.233161.3%19 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Over51c45.7$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.3155751.9%289 W · 268 L+1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1d7…d31abacked Under32c45.11$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.6721640.3%87 W · 129 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+43.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over49c44.9$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b3e…5bc0backed Under48c41.49$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.589646.9%45 W · 51 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Under49c41.31$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.0757051.9%296 W · 274 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8328…0a5cbacked Under58c40.81$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.1436842.4%156 W · 212 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa2d…18c6backed Under76c40.34$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.683243.8%14 W · 18 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick35cpaid+17.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.