TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Spurs (-17.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bullsof Spurs, Bulls
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$190,942
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$189,530

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $190,942 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Spurs53c92,173$49,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,253.5436549.6%181 W · 184 L-1.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Bulls46c27,664$12,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,938.571,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Bulls47c26,022$12,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,797.072,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Bulls46c20,000$9,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,80014842.6%63 W · 85 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Bulls47c17,454$8,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,237.934,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Bulls46c17,296$7,956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,339.6466248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Spurs54c15,575$8,373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,373.2242348%203 W · 220 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Bulls47c14,441$6,764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,676.794,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Spurs52c10,000$5,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,199.971,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Bulls48c8,438$4,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,386.121,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21d4…84bdbacked Spurs52c4,109$2,137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,136.577850%39 W · 39 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb96e…85bbbacked Spurs53c3,774$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Bulls47c3,750$1,763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,987.581,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83c2…dc72backed Bulls47c3,738$1,757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,980.87450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Bulls47c2,830$1,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,504.44,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Bulls32c2,690$871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,818.951,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Bulls45c2,673$1,193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,480.21,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Spurs53c2,482$1,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,315.4369149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8bd…463dbacked Spurs54c2,147$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,159.6538261.5%235 W · 147 L+30.8wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Bulls48c1,970$946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,024.4287049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Spurs54c1,824$985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$985.115952.8%84 W · 75 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Bulls53c1,692$899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$792.452,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x031a…50b7backed Spurs54c1,469$793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7939357%53 W · 40 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Bulls46c1,438$659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$779.085,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65d6…6d6bbacked Bulls51c1,363$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$673.1812844.5%57 W · 71 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Bulls25c1,298$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$973.1324138.6%93 W · 148 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Bulls50c1,281$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.2546145.6%210 W · 251 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Spurs64c1,037$664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663.728,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Spurs43c1,006$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.372,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Bulls47c1,000$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.361,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbce5…02f1backed Spurs48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48018651.6%96 W · 90 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x068a…6fe7backed Spurs50c999.54$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.7714143.3%61 W · 80 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Spurs51c920.81$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.615,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Bulls47c857.46$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.456939.1%27 W · 42 L-5.7wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Spurs49c736.7$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.214,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf19b…1613backed Spurs53c650.51$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.776060%36 W · 24 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf39d…a5e9backed Spurs54c546.28$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.538453.6%45 W · 39 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ff5…f136backed Spurs55c537.44$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.5426048.1%125 W · 135 L-15.1wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Bulls46c500$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2702,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Bulls46c494.9$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.61,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Spurs55c448.83$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.591,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf405…9df2backed Spurs72c411.63$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.3743269.2%299 W · 133 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1030…dd7abacked Bulls48c410.43$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.4213349.6%66 W · 67 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc74d…8acabacked Spurs55c395.99$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.7214344.1%63 W · 80 L+9.8wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+28.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3ede…6c27backed Bulls46c372.84$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.3345151.4%232 W · 219 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Bulls46c368.11$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.143,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4b62…1253backed Spurs54c360.08$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.1920756%116 W · 91 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac1a…813ebacked Bulls46c314.01$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.617250.6%87 W · 85 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Bulls48c268.17$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.981,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b5f…3492backed Spurs55c258.51$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.8624856.5%140 W · 108 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5676…7da7backed Bulls47c251.6$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.4613038.5%50 W · 80 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Spurs55c247.18$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.9562546.9%293 W · 332 L+1.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Bulls48c235.31$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.951,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Bulls48c205.58$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.0751647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd62d…5992backed Spurs49c201.02$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.537852.9%200 W · 178 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeef3…0547backed Bulls49c201.02$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.5225550.2%128 W · 127 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x556c…93cebacked Bulls46c199.95$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.9724949%122 W · 127 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Spurs62c197.36$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.361,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61af…aa01backed Spurs53c197.01$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.4238464.3%247 W · 137 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Bulls48c195.81$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.8250948.5%247 W · 262 L+2.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9348…8cfbbacked Bulls53c189.03$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.9914243%61 W · 81 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Bulls40c185.25$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.511,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Bulls45c182.3$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.372,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Bulls46c175.07$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.5481349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8510…57e6backed Spurs54c155.64$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.049040%36 W · 54 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Bulls46c152$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.082,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Bulls48c147.75$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.8356547.8%270 W · 295 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Spurs50c146.24$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.8859250.2%297 W · 295 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7793…33a6backed Bulls46c131.93$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.8429344.4%130 W · 163 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x187b…8848backed Spurs54c126.63$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.9672250.6%365 W · 357 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Spurs52c113.09$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.8165630.2%198 W · 458 L-86.7wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-42.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x54df…51fabacked Spurs54c109.46$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.1114963.1%94 W · 55 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7342…9197backed Spurs53c103.9$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.061866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Spurs51c103.65$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.8649249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf463…4cc1backed Spurs53c103.43$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.826050%30 W · 30 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Spurs50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc684…1422backed Bulls59c99.27$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.72867.9%19 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick64cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Bulls46c98.51$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.244747%210 W · 237 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7be1…200ebacked Spurs54c98.51$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.236449.7%181 W · 183 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8687…1db0backed Spurs52c93.84$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.248835.2%31 W · 57 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8328…0a5cbacked Spurs53c92.93$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.2536842.4%156 W · 212 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9358…e483backed Spurs52c84.3$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.84333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f1d…7ff3backed Spurs53c83.64$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.3310753.3%57 W · 50 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked Bulls45c80$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4448152%250 W · 231 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Bulls43c77.51$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.831,28323.4%300 W · 983 L-178.2wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-40.2%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Spurs50c67.69$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.941449.3%204 W · 210 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae1c…3678backed Bulls47c64.99$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.4523840.8%97 W · 141 L-16.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf421…2e3abacked Spurs51c64.62$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.677248.6%35 W · 37 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Spurs54c63.63$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.481,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Bulls46c63.47$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.582,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b8c…31c3backed Spurs51c62.94$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.8213541.5%56 W · 79 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Bulls45c60.12$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.0738751.2%198 W · 189 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+27%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67d2…a008backed Spurs52c56.83$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.5512961.2%79 W · 50 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb51…733cbacked Bulls46c53.54$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.9111542.6%49 W · 66 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Spurs52c53.21$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.6749852.6%262 W · 236 L+15.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Bulls47c52.4$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.7733442.8%143 W · 191 L-17.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Spurs49c52.01$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.5356447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb17…32b2backed Bulls48c51.12$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.676825%17 W · 51 L-12.6wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-49.3%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x8941…83d7backed Bulls47c50.24$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.6320558.5%120 W · 85 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed Spurs55c50.15$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5890560.8%550 W · 355 L-2.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.