TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Bulls vs. Spurs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spursof Bulls, Spurs
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,851,407
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,902,852

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,851,407 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 202 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Bulls0c266,723$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.481,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Bulls5c118,789$6,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,058.9729245.5%133 W · 159 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Bulls6c65,245$3,915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,914.7256646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x740e…8bfbbacked Bulls3c43,541$1,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,098.381010%1 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.25per pick35cpaid-85.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Bulls5c40,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00014842.6%63 W · 85 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5845…7903backed Bulls5c39,998$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.92015%3 W · 17 L-2.9wins-0.15per pick30cpaid-59%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbedb…3b26backed Bulls6c36,778$2,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,206.6716346.6%76 W · 87 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked Bulls5c31,750$1,541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,540.9918151.9%94 W · 87 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Bulls5c30,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Bulls5c28,474$1,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,305.251,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Bulls2c28,120$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.565213.8%20 W · 501 L+0.6wins0.00per pick4cpaid-36.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11db…841fbacked Bulls0c25,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252270%0 W · 227 L-0.2wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa701…86a3backed Bulls0c24,994$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.98185.6%1 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick7cpaid-56.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Bulls5c24,650$1,262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,262.347028.1%132 W · 338 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Bulls5c23,165$1,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,158.2361851.6%319 W · 299 L-1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Bulls2c21,793$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.544,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf472…a262backed Bulls3c21,024$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$570.731417.8%11 W · 130 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick13cpaid-46.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Bulls5c15,748$794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$793.8528643%123 W · 163 L-1.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba41…5f4fbacked Bulls6c15,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90031445.2%142 W · 172 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Bulls5c14,736$737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$736.872450.7%367 W · 357 L+13.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8716…bd57backed Bulls6c14,394$864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$863.6541832.8%137 W · 281 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Bulls6c13,632$818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$817.951,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31a6…0dcfbacked Bulls6c13,285$797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$797.117028.8%49 W · 121 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26e9…cd29backed Bulls0c12,003$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.98137.7%1 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick14cpaid-86.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafe4…f3f7backed Bulls6c11,627$698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$697.6315850.6%80 W · 78 L+10.3wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+21.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa5f6…a659backed Bulls5c11,300$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56527241.9%114 W · 158 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed Bulls8c10,561$797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$796.6525925.9%67 W · 192 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Bulls7c10,473$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.691,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Bulls6c10,230$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.192,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Bulls5c9,942$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.0962347.7%297 W · 326 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc37…fa31backed Bulls8c9,930$794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$794.410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34bf…50a5backed Bulls0c9,519$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.04425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick18cpaid-60.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1f4…673abacked Bulls6c8,639$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.3140%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4059…23dabacked Bulls1c8,244$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.981234.9%6 W · 117 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick7cpaid+19.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ea8…b084backed Bulls6c8,173$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.3713435.8%48 W · 86 L-7.4wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x65d6…6d6bbacked Bulls7c7,115$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.0512844.5%57 W · 71 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97b1…1f26backed Bulls4c6,397$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.08329.4%3 W · 29 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-72.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25d8…a71fbacked Bulls7c6,276$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42013245.5%60 W · 72 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-22.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Bulls6c6,264$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.963,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Bulls5c6,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Bulls6c5,980$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.7882442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Bulls0c5,746$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1364517.1%110 W · 535 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Bulls6c5,738$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.274,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x454f…7642backed Bulls4c5,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003138.7%12 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4309…7456backed Bulls5c5,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25061336.1%221 W · 392 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ad3…fb0fbacked Bulls6c4,987$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.23324.2%8 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-45.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Bulls6c4,800$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28886641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Bulls0c4,591$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.558820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Bulls6c4,193$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.5731644.6%141 W · 175 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cf9…b4cabacked Bulls6c4,153$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.158026.3%21 W · 59 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5919…95acbacked Bulls6c4,141$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.4711543.5%50 W · 65 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Bulls1c4,115$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.571,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f85…bd8cbacked Bulls5c4,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012957.4%74 W · 55 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Bulls6c4,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24043438.5%167 W · 267 L-1.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fbd…c4e4backed Bulls6c3,867$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.0117653.4%94 W · 82 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Bulls7c3,723$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.478,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Bulls6c3,600$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21665939.5%260 W · 399 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Bulls1c3,579$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.67211%7 W · 714 L-2.6wins0.00per pick1cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Bulls7c3,440$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.821,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x63e8…759ebacked Bulls6c3,398$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.86850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe29e…fa35backed Bulls6c3,322$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.3234136.1%123 W · 218 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Bulls6c3,221$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.266,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5daa…b7a9backed Bulls6c2,770$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.240%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x627f…06dcbacked Bulls6c2,500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-28.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b7c…8d4cbacked Bulls7c2,472$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.094513.3%6 W · 39 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick14cpaid-40.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Bulls7c2,359$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.4462144%273 W · 348 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd52d…412dbacked Bulls8c2,310$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.953539.6%212 W · 323 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d66…7799backed Bulls7c2,180$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.61850%9 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+7.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a65…fdb5backed Bulls2c2,000$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4222423.7%53 W · 171 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f0e…7397backed Bulls6c2,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12011843.2%51 W · 67 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a13…db82backed Bulls5c1,992$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.613234.8%46 W · 86 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid+3.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8f00…be86backed Bulls6c1,661$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.665424.1%13 W · 41 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+75.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Bulls3c1,656$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.811,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf429…969ebacked Bulls6c1,637$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.2133837.3%126 W · 212 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66ec…8c18backed Bulls8c1,580$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.425813.8%8 W · 50 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick15cpaid+40.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29b0…3f3cbacked Bulls5c1,482$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.121250%6 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Bulls3c1,480$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.280737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ef2…79f9backed Bulls7c1,423$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.611931.6%6 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick31cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e16…0127backed Bulls7c1,395$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.6222143%95 W · 126 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Bulls5c1,342$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.3447436.7%174 W · 300 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Bulls6c1,309$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.5136949.6%183 W · 186 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Bulls7c1,263$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.432,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Bulls8c1,249$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.7324138.6%93 W · 148 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0dd…3c69backed Bulls6c1,247$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.4911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick15cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Bulls6c1,200$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7268944%303 W · 386 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Bulls5c1,170$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.542,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1fa8…c667backed Bulls5c1,079$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.953925.6%10 W · 29 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Bulls6c1,043$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6035129.6%104 W · 247 L+1.8wins0.00per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x17e5…f205backed Bulls1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104200.7%3 W · 417 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-52%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Bulls6c996.62$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.832450.3%163 W · 161 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb64…5e23backed Bulls7c996.09$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.7326530.9%82 W · 183 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd40b…429abacked Bulls7c995.6$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.379726.8%26 W · 71 L-7.8wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-31.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa163…934dbacked Bulls8c995.58$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.657418.9%14 W · 60 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-41.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Bulls7c991.64$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.455,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e7…10c0backed Bulls6c921.97$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.3211929.4%35 W · 84 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Bulls2c918.81$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.211,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe403…3d50backed Bulls6c883.61$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.0254747.5%260 W · 287 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc0e…7f5dbacked Bulls1c868.68$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9820%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c97…b2f4backed Bulls6c831.18$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.87540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f25…434ebacked Bulls7c818.6$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.8560%0 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.