TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x97b1…1f26

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
45
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Fed Rates, grading 50 out of 100 (0.00 per pick) — its least-bad Category, not a recommendation. Every Category this wallet trades grades at or below 50, which is what “no edge at all” looks like.

Best Category Fed Rates at 50 out of 100; worst NBA at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT329.4%3 W · 29 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-72.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H Moneylinebacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.63
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$187.46
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$462Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$462
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$421Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$421
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$285.5
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$233.33
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.95
Suns vs. Thunderbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.23
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$570Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$570.3
Magic vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$785Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$784.57
Cavaliers vs. Hawksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$573Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$573.06
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$336Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$336.45
Timberwolves vs. Pistonsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.65
Pacers vs. Bullsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$163.83
Celtics vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.16
76ers vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$302.43
Bulls vs. Spursbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$265.08
Jazz vs. Sunsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spurs vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Nets vs. Lakersbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Jazz vs. Nuggetsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Bulls vs. Thunderbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Rockets vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Athleticsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astrosbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Final Stage: Japan vs. Venezuelabacked Japan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.72
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wright State Raiders vs. Virginia Cavaliersbacked Wright State Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.47
Santa Clara Broncos vs. Kentucky Wildcatsbacked Santa Clara Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.7
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CF América win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sam Burns win the 2026 the Memorial Tournament presented by Workday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.09
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.