TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Rockets vs. Grizzlies

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rocketsof Rockets, Grizzlies
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,099,948
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,173,987

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,099,948 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 247 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Grizzlies0c77,708$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.771,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27cb…169ebacked Grizzlies12c29,999$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,599.8327424.5%67 W · 207 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Grizzlies11c28,879$3,283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,283.0420744%91 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-25.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11db…841fbacked Grizzlies0c25,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252270%0 W · 227 L-0.2wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafe4…f3f7backed Grizzlies11c22,000$2,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,419.9915850.6%80 W · 78 L+10.3wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+21.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Grizzlies0c21,129$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.757211%7 W · 714 L-2.6wins0.00per pick1cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Grizzlies9c19,991$1,799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,799.238434.9%134 W · 250 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfdd…8bd4backed Grizzlies11c17,586$1,994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,993.592420.8%5 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick21cpaid-51.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Grizzlies12c15,000$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7501,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Grizzlies0c12,421$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.8464517.1%110 W · 535 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Grizzlies16c12,400$1,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,998.6618536.8%68 W · 117 L-11.8wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Grizzlies12c12,002$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,440.25,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5f6…a659backed Grizzlies11c12,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,32027241.9%114 W · 158 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Grizzlies11c11,675$1,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,252.298,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Grizzlies11c10,465$1,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,201.1947028.1%132 W · 338 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Grizzlies12c10,222$1,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,240.642,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Grizzlies1c9,879$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.421,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x70ce…079fbacked Grizzlies13c8,700$1,131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,130.951526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-46%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6ca…5f88backed Grizzlies13c8,002$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,040.26560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+19.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Grizzlies11c7,979$864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$864.143,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4108…9e22backed Grizzlies11c7,939$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8705036%18 W · 32 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Grizzlies9c7,899$687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$686.861,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Grizzlies6c7,180$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.8936023.1%83 W · 277 L-15.6wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-49.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf472…a262backed Grizzlies9c6,929$657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656.811417.8%11 W · 130 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick13cpaid-46.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x31a6…0dcfbacked Grizzlies12c6,667$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.0417028.8%49 W · 121 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Grizzlies12c6,021$694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$694.273,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e4f…8414backed Grizzlies13c6,000$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4309…7456backed Grizzlies12c6,000$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.9761336.1%221 W · 392 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Grizzlies0c5,950$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.758820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Grizzlies12c5,918$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.123,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcbf…d37fbacked Grizzlies10c5,653$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.398728.7%25 W · 62 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7792…b63bbacked Grizzlies13c5,300$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6894940.8%20 W · 29 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8716…bd57backed Grizzlies13c4,798$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623.7141832.8%137 W · 281 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Grizzlies13c4,200$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54665939.5%260 W · 399 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa73a…656abacked Grizzlies11c4,042$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.5725226.6%67 W · 185 L-26.7wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-49.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Grizzlies11c4,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4404,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Grizzlies13c4,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52086641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Grizzlies13c4,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52043438.5%167 W · 267 L-1.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3d4…884ebacked Grizzlies4c3,352$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.678225.6%21 W · 61 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-31.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Grizzlies12c3,300$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40285344%375 W · 478 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa738…9c92backed Grizzlies13c3,300$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4293729.7%11 W · 26 L-4.3wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-21.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x78a0…3a2fbacked Grizzlies4c3,300$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13219728.4%56 W · 141 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-21.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91eb…9325backed Grizzlies13c3,100$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4031163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Grizzlies12c3,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.9858740%235 W · 352 L+24.3wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f09…9312backed Grizzlies12c2,900$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3489547.4%45 W · 50 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Grizzlies11c2,850$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.4772648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Grizzlies12c2,642$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.0124841.1%102 W · 146 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Grizzlies13c2,610$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.352,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74c5…6cb7backed Grizzlies13c2,338$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3045541.8%23 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Grizzlies12c2,278$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.4111738.5%45 W · 72 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe3b4…7730backed Grizzlies9c2,145$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200300%0 W · 30 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Grizzlies8c2,074$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.645,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2790…2233backed Grizzlies13c2,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26019735%69 W · 128 L-10.2wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Grizzlies14c1,996$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.9311843.2%51 W · 67 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf512…5198backed Grizzlies1c1,809$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.257859%46 W · 32 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb580…9b95backed Grizzlies13c1,773$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.2818440.8%75 W · 109 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3c…e044backed Grizzlies2c1,756$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.35516.4%9 W · 46 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1089…830ebacked Grizzlies9c1,736$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.254533.3%15 W · 30 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-15.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Grizzlies14c1,701$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.4522836.4%83 W · 145 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc20b…2fb8backed Grizzlies12c1,700$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.85119.6%10 W · 41 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-45.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x421e…81bcbacked Grizzlies13c1,700$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2216139.3%24 W · 37 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Grizzlies13c1,661$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.6630840.9%126 W · 182 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x50b4…1330backed Grizzlies13c1,650$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.51540%6 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8867…518cbacked Grizzlies12c1,481$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.722740.7%11 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Grizzlies10c1,432$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.052,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5944…764ebacked Grizzlies10c1,311$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.0550%0 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Grizzlies12c1,288$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.531,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd52d…412dbacked Grizzlies16c1,263$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20253539.6%212 W · 323 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Grizzlies14c1,261$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.244,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbedd…7605backed Grizzlies9c1,179$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.9910630.2%32 W · 74 L+7.3wins+0.07per pick23cpaid+43.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc1b6…c914backed Grizzlies17c1,176$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009220.7%19 W · 73 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-42.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf19d…9afabacked Grizzlies16c1,158$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1807313.7%10 W · 63 L-11.3wins-0.15per pick29cpaid-61.9%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Grizzlies13c1,157$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.5941038%156 W · 254 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x058e…a2acbacked Grizzlies13c1,154$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1506031.7%19 W · 41 L-5.3wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-24.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Grizzlies13c1,152$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.761,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dc8…47d0backed Grizzlies14c1,144$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.838342.2%35 W · 48 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Grizzlies8c1,113$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.051,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcac…9825backed Grizzlies9c1,111$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10050%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Grizzlies13c1,053$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.73,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Grizzlies1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4059…23dabacked Grizzlies7c1,000$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701234.9%6 W · 117 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick7cpaid+19.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed Grizzlies9c1,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9071044.6%317 W · 393 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17e5…f205backed Grizzlies1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104200.7%3 W · 417 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-52%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33e9…39b0backed Grizzlies10c970$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$977152.1%37 W · 34 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x851c…dafdbacked Grizzlies11c954.55$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1057634.2%26 W · 50 L+6.3wins+0.08per pick26cpaid+10.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcab1…65babacked Grizzlies14c900$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1262254.5%12 W · 10 L+3.0wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+33.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xff72…512bbacked Grizzlies7c900$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6721935.6%78 W · 141 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Grizzlies15c874.24$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.7560549.8%301 W · 304 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x95c8…3469backed Grizzlies15c833.33$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1257534.7%26 W · 49 L-8.8wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Grizzlies13c800$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10468944%303 W · 386 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x12e2…309ebacked Grizzlies14c800$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1083716.2%6 W · 31 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-58.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x389c…9a68backed Grizzlies13c800$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1041844.4%8 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick32cpaid+3.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe28e…ac9fbacked Grizzlies13c779.98$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.42070%14 W · 6 L+3.3wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+21.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xad88…3c1ebacked Grizzlies13c769.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011043.6%48 W · 62 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+20.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Grizzlies13c750.95$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.551,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd4a…bda9backed Grizzlies13c750$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.51650%8 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-31.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Grizzlies12c744.21$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.6524937.3%93 W · 156 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-35%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x142b…c8c9backed Grizzlies3c740.18$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.591225%3 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick18cpaid-4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89e6…5501backed Grizzlies12c723.5$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.827532%24 W · 51 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x13e5…1ea5backed Grizzlies12c710.08$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.2120049%98 W · 102 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.