TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xff72…512b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
291
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: NBA, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 54 out of 100; worst Champions League at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT21935.6%78 W · 141 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 219 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$187.4
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.33
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$329.82
Grizzlies vs. Nuggetsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.83
Hawks vs. Cavaliersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$153.38
Timberwolves vs. Magicbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.6
Bucks vs. Netsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$241Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$241.17
Hornets vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+106.1%+$53.93
76ers vs. Spursbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.64
Cavaliers vs. Grizzliesbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$137.02
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$415Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$415.02
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$333.21
Magic vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.74
Hornets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+86%+$179.87
Wizards vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+203%+$97.43
Suns vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.53
Raptors vs. Celticsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$173.9
Magic vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$176.36
Bulls vs. Knicksbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.54
Timberwolves vs. 76ersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$412Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$412.5
Spurs vs. Clippersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+111.6%+$204.32
Pelicans vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$297Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+96%+$284.82
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$274Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$273.92
Suns vs. Hornetsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$325Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$325.36
Timberwolves vs. Pistonsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$163.59
Showing 25 of 219 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT6833.8%23 W · 45 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 68 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreevabacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$104
Barcelona Open: Tomas Machac vs Sebastian Baezbacked Sebastian Baez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.22
BMW Open: Alex Molcan vs Alexander Bublikbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$280.11
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Alex de Minaurbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$163.27
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Hubert Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$298
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Tomas Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.83
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Alexander Bublikbacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$112
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Lorenzo Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$220.13
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Cristian Garin vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+265.5%+$382.08
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$87.57
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Cameron Norrie vs Alex de Minaurbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+136%+$339.12
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Alexei Popyrin vs Casper Ruudbacked Alexei Popyrin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.92
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.01
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Francisco Cerundolo vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Francisco Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$190.24
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Denis Shapovalov vs Alexander Blockxbacked Denis Shapovalov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$158.52
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Gael Monfils vs Tallon Griekspoorbacked Gael Monfils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$319.32
Qatar Open: Zizou Bergs vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricardbacked Perricard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$196.23
Delray Beach Open: Rinky Hijikata vs Frances Tiafoebacked Hijikata · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$156
Dallas Open: Taylor Fritz vs Ben Sheltonbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$56
Rotterdam Open: Alex de Minaur vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+156.4%+$61
Dallas Open: Taylor Fritz vs Sebastian Kordabacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$317Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+152.4%+$483
Rotterdam Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Griekspoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$154.05
Rotterdam Open: Alex de Minaur vs Botic van de Zandschulpbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$335Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+97.4%+$326.26
Dallas Open: Tommy Paul vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$56
Dallas Open: Sebastian Korda vs Frances Tiafoebacked Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$186.43
Showing 25 of 68 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid+28.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Karol Nawrocki win by 4-8%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$50.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.