NBA · resolved market

Wizards vs. Nets

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x36bbe7eaaaaf7fa7c36819a7280093484c56a6c39bd0cb9f7569d5631cf769bf

Rebuilt 11 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Netsof Wizards, Nets
Resolved: Apr 5, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,357,151
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,471,946

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,357,151 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 675 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x7d92…8676backed Nets	59c	73,132$43,148 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29,983.94	176	46%81 W · 95 L	-6.0wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Nets	62c	46,962$29,331 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,630.97	423	48%203 W · 220 L	-5.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-15%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Nets	62c	42,367$26,309 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,057.84	207	44%91 W · 116 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Wizards	41c	28,938$11,865 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,864.58	109	30.3%33 W · 76 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Wizards	40c	28,283$11,232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,232.45	726	48.3%351 W · 375 L	+30.5wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+11%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Wizards	41c	25,000$10,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,250	492	44.3%218 W · 274 L	+11.8wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Wizards	51c	21,313$10,829 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,828.85	1,282	43.4%557 W · 725 L	-51.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd408…e85cbacked Nets	64c	19,799$12,765 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,033.9	80	61.3%49 W · 31 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	63cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73a0…3a8abacked Nets	59c	19,508$11,510 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,998.28	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.12per pick	46cpaid	-43.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d90…1310backed Nets	78c	18,097$14,057 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,039.83	152	74.3%113 W · 39 L	+22.2wins	+0.15per pick	60cpaid	+24.3%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed Wizards	41c	17,593$7,264 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,264.28	381	43%164 W · 217 L	+13.4wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	+8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Nets	36c	17,592$6,358 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,234.17	1,096	40.9%448 W · 648 L	+34.3wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-17%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5798…ab44backed Nets	59c	15,000$8,850 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,149.93	157	40.8%64 W · 93 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Nets	61c	13,937$8,559 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,377.59	1,003	34.7%348 W · 655 L	-44.7wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Nets	38c	13,809$5,248 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,561.81	328	46.6%153 W · 175 L	-7.6wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9410…ffcdbacked Wizards	10c	12,352$1,210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,209.98	40	30%12 W · 28 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	30cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Wizards	41c	11,467$4,734 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,733.96	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb57a…b8c3backed Wizards	40c	11,149$4,459 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,459.46	196	53.6%105 W · 91 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Wizards	28c	10,394$2,942 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,942.38	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7a6…89b2backed Wizards	38c	9,995$3,806 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,805.58	142	44.4%63 W · 79 L	+5.0wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77d4…3983backed Nets	78c	9,900$7,711 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,188.99	17	70.6%12 W · 5 L	+2.9wins	+0.17per pick	53cpaid	+35.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0258…06d0backed Wizards	1c	8,912$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.27	110	33.6%37 W · 73 L	-3.9wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8118…9850backed Wizards	1c	8,858$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.68	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	26cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Wizards	33c	8,371$2,757 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,756.75	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x433f…a0dcbacked Wizards	0c	7,373$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.12	169	19.5%33 W · 136 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43f2…09a5backed Nets	76c	7,100$5,392 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,708	127	56.7%72 W · 55 L	+8.9wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Wizards	41c	7,058$2,894 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,893.8	208	43.8%91 W · 117 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Wizards	39c	7,057$2,747 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,747.46	213	50.7%108 W · 105 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe81d…8f5dbacked Nets	71c	7,000$4,952 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,048	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.29per pick	71cpaid	+41.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Nets	68c	6,336$4,306 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,029.93	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Nets	56c	6,258$3,482 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,776.58	1,190	32%381 W · 809 L	-58.1wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Wizards	41c	5,536$2,270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,269.91	1,759	61.7%1,085 W · 674 L	+127.5wins	+0.07per pick	54cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5317…ec5abacked Nets	71c	5,524$3,904 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,619.73	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.32per pick	68cpaid	+46.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf94f…9adabacked Nets	38c	5,497$2,081 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,415.12	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xa4f5…1079backed Wizards	40c	5,488$2,218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,218.23	50	48%24 W · 26 L	+2.0wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d1e…f563backed Nets	60c	5,100$3,060 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,040	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Nets	59c	5,005$2,953 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,052.05	434	38.5%167 W · 267 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2487…fa80backed Wizards	41c	5,000$2,050 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,049.99	180	45%81 W · 99 L	+4.1wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Nets	59c	4,984$2,941 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,043.56	659	39.5%260 W · 399 L	-13.1wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Wizards	0c	4,892$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.29	882	0%0 W · 882 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Nets	60c	4,880$2,928 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,952	1,332	51.2%682 W · 650 L	+7.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Wizards	40c	4,682$1,872 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,872.36	151	40.4%61 W · 90 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-14%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Nets	59c	4,200$2,478 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,721.97	237	42.6%101 W · 136 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ac2…29f9backed Nets	60c	4,132$2,479 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,652.69	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.17per pick	49cpaid	+53.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked Wizards	40c	4,000$1,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,599.99	242	52.5%127 W · 115 L	+18.7wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Nets	59c	4,000$2,360 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,639.97	866	41.5%359 W · 507 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Nets	58c	3,869$2,244 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,625.13	579	50.1%290 W · 289 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe509…4245backed Nets	57c	3,854$2,201 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,653.36	106	53.8%57 W · 49 L	+2.7wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cde…b97dbacked Nets	60c	3,769$2,261 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,507.6	122	51.6%63 W · 59 L	-5.8wins	-0.05per pick	56cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa73a…656abacked Wizards	43c	3,592$1,541 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,541.05	252	26.6%67 W · 185 L	-26.7wins	-0.11per pick	37cpaid	-49.4%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Nets	59c	3,482$2,054 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,427.43	1,915	49.3%944 W · 971 L	+19.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Wizards	32c	3,352$1,060 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,059.53	5,844	46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L	+32.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9027…5954backed Wizards	28c	3,198$906 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$905.62	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	25cpaid	-36.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e5b…073bbacked Wizards	14c	3,000$420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$420	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.05per pick	15cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba04…310bbacked Wizards	52c	2,983$1,558 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,557.9	25	28%7 W · 18 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-38.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Wizards	1c	2,981$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.35	721	1%7 W · 714 L	-2.6wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Nets	39c	2,740$1,073 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,667.48	110	34.5%38 W · 72 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Wizards	46c	2,628$1,215 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,215.45	931	48.4%451 W · 480 L	+34.1wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd421…7155backed Nets	71c	2,607$1,851 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$755.95	61	42.6%26 W · 35 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd69d…1b5cbacked Nets	60c	2,600$1,560 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,040	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.37per pick	63cpaid	+58%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67d5…c6c9backed Nets	64c	2,571$1,652 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$919.53	25	60%15 W · 10 L	-3.0wins	-0.12per pick	72cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Nets	63c	2,543$1,602 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$940.89	3,341	53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L	+108.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Nets	62c	2,506$1,562 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$943.46	3,591	50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L	+21.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Wizards	41c	2,484$1,019 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,018.57	248	41.1%102 W · 146 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4285…cfb5backed Nets	60c	2,464$1,479 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$985.76	46	58.7%27 W · 19 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Wizards	38c	2,442$917 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$916.53	589	53.7%316 W · 273 L	+15.8wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2bef…3afdbacked Nets	59c	2,439$1,439 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$999.79	56	50%28 W · 28 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xab2d…b1aabacked Wizards	27c	2,435$657 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$656.84	295	47.5%140 W · 155 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e59…307dbacked Wizards	40c	2,410$964 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$964	88	59.1%52 W · 36 L	+4.5wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Wizards	41c	2,353$965 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$964.6	649	44.7%290 W · 359 L	-9.5wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed Wizards	41c	2,344$961 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$961.01	229	48.5%111 W · 118 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0e02…b1c5backed Nets	60c	2,293$1,376 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$917.11	49	51%25 W · 24 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8907…a996backed Wizards	27c	2,289$618 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$618.12	29	27.6%8 W · 21 L	-2.1wins	-0.07per pick	35cpaid	+54.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Nets	60c	2,263$1,361 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$902.29	553	46.8%259 W · 294 L	-6.5wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Wizards	40c	2,200$874 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$874.19	1,901	48.7%925 W · 976 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd74c…03f5backed Wizards	47c	2,060$968 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$968.2	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+2.2wins	+0.14per pick	42cpaid	+23.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Nets	59c	2,000$1,180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$820	310	46.8%145 W · 165 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x64ba…b7bfbacked Nets	61c	2,000$1,220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$779.94	51	56.9%29 W · 22 L	+2.2wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Nets	66c	1,990$1,309 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$681.02	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa44a…88ecbacked Wizards	47c	1,963$927 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$927.01	78	48.7%38 W · 40 L	-5.5wins	-0.07per pick	56cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc9c2…f0a4backed Nets	74c	1,959$1,450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$509.4	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.11per pick	77cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Wizards	40c	1,951$785 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$784.78	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x9615…60ddbacked Wizards	39c	1,927$751 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$751.45	148	53.4%79 W · 69 L	+3.0wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c8a…8723backed Nets	57c	1,906$1,090 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$816.47	56	33.9%19 W · 37 L	-4.8wins	-0.09per pick	43cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf70f…3c97backed Nets	79c	1,878$1,481 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$396.76	42	76.2%32 W · 10 L	+5.6wins	+0.13per pick	63cpaid	+19.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Wizards	62c	1,857$1,146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,145.53	621	44%273 W · 348 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Wizards	36c	1,824$653 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$653.45	360	23.1%83 W · 277 L	-15.6wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-49.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x15fb…d13abacked Nets	78c	1,822$1,423 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$399.26	291	65.6%191 W · 100 L	+7.0wins	+0.02per pick	63cpaid	+1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f30…3aeebacked Nets	70c	1,744$1,215 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$528.78	44	50%22 W · 22 L	-2.9wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Wizards	39c	1,621$632 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$632.35	373	55%205 W · 168 L	+8.4wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Wizards	2c	1,600$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.07	662	48.5%321 W · 341 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Nets	59c	1,549$914 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$634.9	256	41.4%106 W · 150 L	-13.6wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed Wizards	40c	1,500$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	144	48.6%70 W · 74 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7093…78ebbacked Wizards	37c	1,500$555 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$555	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.44per pick	44cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9b4…3111backed Nets	59c	1,500$885 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$615	95	40%38 W · 57 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ba9…0516backed Wizards	29c	1,494$432 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$432.03	74	12.2%9 W · 65 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Wizards	35c	1,489$521 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$521.31	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Wizards	41c	1,401$576 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$575.82	716	54.1%387 W · 329 L	+21.1wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Wizards	35c	1,400$490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$490	344	56.7%195 W · 149 L	+9.2wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Nets	59c	1,400$826 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$574	689	44%303 W · 386 L	+16.8wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Wizards vs. Nets

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event