NBA · resolved market

Spread: Nets (-4.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x171434665df327bbbaad9df5f2ac011503f64e1512abdae279c049b0a319b588

Rebuilt 15 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Netsof Nets, Wizards
Resolved: Apr 5, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $187,075
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $205,072

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $187,075 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4924…3782backed Nets	48c	41,482$19,778 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21,703.62	874	51.5%450 W · 424 L	+15.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Nets	47c	25,621$12,104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,516.36	365	49.6%181 W · 184 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Wizards	48c	22,439$10,744 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,743.75	1,282	43.4%557 W · 725 L	-51.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Nets	56c	11,495$6,437 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,057.97	328	46.6%153 W · 175 L	-7.6wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Wizards	52c	10,553$5,439 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,439.39	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Wizards	52c	10,481$5,450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,449.98	1,915	49.3%944 W · 971 L	+19.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Wizards	53c	7,477$3,963 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,963.05	1,141	48%548 W · 593 L	+9.0wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Wizards	55c	6,567$3,635 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,634.94	145	56.6%82 W · 63 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Wizards	48c	5,409$2,594 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,594.11	1,036	47.6%493 W · 543 L	+6.7wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Wizards	47c	4,615$2,189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,188.81	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Wizards	52c	3,992$2,096 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,095.54	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b39…3234backed Nets	60c	2,598$1,559 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,039.22	73	49.3%36 W · 37 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e59…beeebacked Nets	49c	2,206$1,083 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,123.5	122	57.4%70 W · 52 L	+5.0wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Nets	46c	1,757$806 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$951.7	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Wizards	53c	1,700$901 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$901	2,435	49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L	+30.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed Wizards	55c	1,549$852 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$851.74	178	50%89 W · 89 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Nets	32c	1,499$477 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,021.67	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf405…9df2backed Nets	73c	1,349$984 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$364.91	432	69.2%299 W · 133 L	+10.7wins	+0.02per pick	67cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Wizards	53c	1,300$688 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$688	1,901	48.7%925 W · 976 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Wizards	50c	1,073$540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$539.56	3,341	53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L	+108.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Wizards	53c	1,056$560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$559.72	1,399	46.4%649 W · 750 L	-13.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Wizards	48c	1,026$493 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$492.5	589	53.7%316 W · 273 L	+15.8wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Wizards	53c	1,000$530 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$530	2,657	49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L	+42.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Wizards	54c	999.99$540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$540	1,332	51.2%682 W · 650 L	+7.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Wizards	48c	981.02$466 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$466.1	423	52.5%222 W · 201 L	+5.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Wizards	48c	970.67$466 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$465.67	564	47.9%270 W · 294 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43bf…425abacked Nets	50c	961.16$485 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$476.01	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Nets	49c	958.66$472 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$486.63	184	38.6%71 W · 113 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Wizards	52c	933.84$486 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$485.6	1,271	38.3%487 W · 784 L	-13.4wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Nets	45c	924.63$412 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$512.58	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Wizards	53c	905.84$485 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$484.62	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Nets	52c	882.66$459 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$423.68	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb963…3fa0backed Wizards	50c	666$333 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$333	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Nets	56c	566.68$317 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$249.68	592	50.2%297 W · 295 L	+5.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Nets	56c	560.13$314 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$246.4	1,286	50.8%653 W · 633 L	+11.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Wizards	55c	534.18$294 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$293.8	1,150	49.5%569 W · 581 L	-12.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Wizards	56c	500.71$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280.4	476	51.7%246 W · 230 L	-6.4wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Wizards	48c	483.17$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230.47	906	50.2%455 W · 451 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1c70…b25ebacked Wizards	54c	450.19$243 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$243.1	192	58.3%112 W · 80 L	-6.0wins	-0.03per pick	61cpaid	-8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Wizards	52c	444.13$229 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$229.26	5,844	46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L	+32.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Nets	34c	407.94$138 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$269.96	179	46.4%83 W · 96 L	+8.8wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Nets	45c	399.98$180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$219.99	625	39.4%246 W · 379 L	-18.0wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Wizards	53c	379.13$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.91	1,277	47.2%603 W · 674 L	-3.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Nets	46c	367.35$169 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$198.37	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Nets	46c	362.45$167 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$195.72	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Wizards	52c	283$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.16	2,753	50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L	+47.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaacb…03b7backed Nets	48c	273.48$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$143.05	104	57.7%60 W · 44 L	+3.1wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8d6…4af7backed Nets	26c	273.45$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$203.66	52	69.2%36 W · 16 L	+11.8wins	+0.23per pick	47cpaid	+53.5%equal weight	67+0.15 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Wizards	53c	267$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.51	568	43.8%249 W · 319 L	-25.1wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Wizards	52c	253.88$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.89	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Nets	45c	242.12$109 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$133.17	2,153	51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L	+76.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x91ff…edfdbacked Wizards	52c	229.01$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.47	169	48.5%82 W · 87 L	-6.9wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked Wizards	54c	219.81$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.55	148	52.7%78 W · 70 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Nets	51c	184.08$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.99	3,591	50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L	+21.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb503…7552backed Nets	56c	180.67$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.5	141	55.3%78 W · 63 L	+9.4wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Wizards	53c	170.42$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.27	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Wizards	47c	165.24$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.29	716	54.1%387 W · 329 L	+21.1wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Wizards	54c	160.56$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.7	935	43.6%408 W · 527 L	-32.6wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Wizards	54c	143.57$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.8	818	45.7%374 W · 444 L	+9.2wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4980…57febacked Nets	47c	136.4$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.47	102	45.1%46 W · 56 L	-4.0wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Nets	46c	134.47$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.09	407	50.6%206 W · 201 L	+10.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Wizards	49c	133.92$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.13	2,400	43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L	-82.9wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Wizards	53c	133.61$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.29	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Wizards	46c	132.39$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.64	1,532	42.5%651 W · 881 L	-17.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Wizards	46c	121.25$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.37	653	49.9%326 W · 327 L	+20.2wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2942…a018backed Wizards	55c	120.3$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.16	231	43.3%100 W · 131 L	-13.5wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Nets	46c	105.02$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.65	534	53.4%285 W · 249 L	+19.0wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Nets	44c	103.3$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.85	492	49.8%245 W · 247 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Nets	65c	101.75$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.16	1,522	49.6%755 W · 767 L	+27.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bec…c707backed Wizards	54c	97.73$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.77	160	53.8%86 W · 74 L	+4.9wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d15…8026backed Wizards	55c	88.45$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.65	278	54.7%152 W · 126 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Wizards	55c	88.45$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.65	1,888	37.3%704 W · 1,184 L	+9.9wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15bb…2033backed Wizards	48c	87.24$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.55	103	45.6%47 W · 56 L	-5.3wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xae7b…aec1backed Nets	31c	84.96$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.35	34	55.9%19 W · 15 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Nets	41c	78$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.02	786	39.2%308 W · 478 L	+27.5wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb40e…7cc9backed Wizards	48c	75.28$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.03	40	25%10 W · 30 L	-6.9wins	-0.17per pick	42cpaid	-56.1%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Nets	41c	73$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.07	804	40.3%324 W · 480 L	+27.4wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xae1c…3678backed Wizards	52c	67.18$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.93	238	40.8%97 W · 141 L	-16.0wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Wizards	54c	66.67$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	813	49.4%402 W · 411 L	+5.5wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Nets	46c	63.12$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.28	609	45.8%279 W · 330 L	-17.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3baa…68ecbacked Nets	26c	62.7$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.25	49	30.6%15 W · 34 L	-8.1wins	-0.16per pick	47cpaid	-34.7%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed Nets	41c	60$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.4	330	30.9%102 W · 228 L	-10.3wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd6f…bad3backed Wizards	46c	56.82$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.05	63	41.3%26 W · 37 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Nets	46c	54.92$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.66	553	47.9%265 W · 288 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbe2…6158backed Wizards	54c	54.02$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.17	332	49.7%165 W · 167 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea74…cf99backed Nets	44c	50$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28	533	39.6%211 W · 322 L	-39.9wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Wizards	50c	45.47$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.6	1,048	51.7%542 W · 506 L	+7.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9b7…93ebbacked Wizards	54c	45.02$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.31	130	52.3%68 W · 62 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Nets	46c	42.6$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23	554	44.4%246 W · 308 L	-11.0wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Wizards	28c	42$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.76	377	53.8%203 W · 174 L	+12.0wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked Nets	46c	37.88$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.46	223	49.8%111 W · 112 L	-4.8wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Wizards	33c	36.07$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.06	620	47.3%293 W · 327 L	-7.2wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50fd…ee77backed Wizards	55c	35.38$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.46	138	52.2%72 W · 66 L	+5.5wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4180…692abacked Wizards	55c	35.38$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.46	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	65cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Wizards	42c	35.31$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.7	1,283	23.4%300 W · 983 L	-178.2wins	-0.14per pick	37cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	35-0.14 edge/pick
0x0c5a…d48abacked Wizards	55c	34.82$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.06	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-1.8wins	-0.14per pick	53cpaid	-40.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe7be…908dbacked Wizards	46c	34.44$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.78	78	46.2%36 W · 42 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Nets	41c	32$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.88	455	44.8%204 W · 251 L	+21.8wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe97f…9337backed Nets	46c	31.55$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.04	184	53.3%98 W · 86 L	+7.2wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x23e7…fca5backed Nets	56c	30.61$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.46	69	62.3%43 W · 26 L	+6.5wins	+0.09per pick	53cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Nets (-4.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event