TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe97f…9337

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
228
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 56 out of 100; worst NHL at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT18453.3%98 W · 86 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 184 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$18.86
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 213.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spread: Rockets (-4.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spread: Nuggets (-1.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.19
Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 220.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+91.2%+$22.15
Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.27
Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 215.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.27
Spread: Thunder (-16.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.28
Spread: Thunder (-17.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.22
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.25
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.3
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$22.41
76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.31
76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.25
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.27
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$21.54
Showing 25 of 184 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$260
Canucks vs. Sharks: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Jets vs. Blues: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Lightning vs. Senators: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Devils vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Jets vs. Blackhawks: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+129.9%+$25.98
Jets vs. Blackhawks: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$21.3
Flyers vs. Capitals: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+94.6%+$23.64
Senators vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Senators vs. Panthers: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Capitals vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+121.3%+$30.34
Wild vs. Bruins: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+116.5%+$29.12
Capitals vs. Bluesbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Avalanche vs. Capitals: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Avalanche vs. Capitals: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Ducks vs. Utahbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+119.8%+$23.96
All 16 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-6.5)backed Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+103.3%+$15.02
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 144.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.69
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 146.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.54
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 145.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.58
Spread: Miami Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Missouri Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.83
Spread: Utah State Aggies (-1.5)backed Utah State Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+98.2%+$19.47
Saint Louis Billikens vs. Georgia Bulldogsbacked Saint Louis Billikens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$32.86
Texas A&M Aggies vs. Saint Mary's Gaelsbacked Saint Mary's Gaels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.79
VCU Rams vs. North Carolina Tar Heelsbacked North Carolina Tar Heels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.79
South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinalsbacked Louisville Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+55.1%+$19.12
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Ohio State Buckeyesbacked Ohio State Buckeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.79
Spread: Ohio State Buckeyes (-2.5)backed TCU Horned Frogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$19.83
All 12 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+111.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+110%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valencia vs. Panathinaikosbacked Valencia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+101.7%+$14.8
Paris Basketball vs. Olimpia Milanobacked Paris Basketball · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+97.8%+$23.72
Virtus Bologna vs. Paris Basketballbacked Paris Basketball · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+130.5%+$31.51
All 3 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-36.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club (-1.5)backed Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Al Fateh Saudi Club win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Al Ittihad Saudi Club (-1.5)backed Al Hazem SC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+90.1%+$22.53
All 3 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 March 23-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.76
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.95
All 2 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Chess — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mexico vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.