TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Canucks vs. Sharks: O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$169,999
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$173,427

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $169,999 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1341…0853backed Over52c52,437$27,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,196.5641850%209 W · 209 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Under48c52,284$25,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,12920756.5%117 W · 90 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over49c36,083$17,643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,439.792,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Under48c13,631$6,543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,542.6620354.2%110 W · 93 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbed3…2811backed Under70c9,371$6,522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,522.041942.1%8 W · 11 L-4.1wins-0.21per pick63cpaid-31.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over52c7,692$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,692.340356.3%227 W · 176 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over52c4,655$2,421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,234.437754.4%205 W · 172 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over51c4,208$2,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,055.132,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c14…68f3backed Under2c3,446$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.461020%2 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick3cpaid+309.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Over49c3,250$1,607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,642.9917247.7%82 W · 90 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over52c3,170$1,647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,522.941,38447.1%652 W · 732 L+25.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over39c2,909$1,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,783.662,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5741…fb99backed Under72c2,297$1,654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,654.147847.4%37 W · 41 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over42c2,285$968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,316.81,20260.1%722 W · 480 L+51.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Over42c2,270$959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,310.6426154%141 W · 120 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over28c2,247$629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,617.5189355.5%496 W · 397 L+67.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Over52c2,130$1,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,022.3114062.1%87 W · 53 L+10.5wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8401…0fa1backed Under50c2,006$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001030%3 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-28.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over54c1,643$886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$757.271,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Over52c1,606$835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$771.0782043%353 W · 467 L-1.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over43c1,306$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.632,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under46c1,241$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$570.7476950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over52c1,187$617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.6633363.7%212 W · 121 L+44.3wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+23.5%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Over52c1,111$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.2811047.3%52 W · 58 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Over54c1,080$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.7529448.6%143 W · 151 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ec6…a2f1backed Over50c1,069$534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe65b…271bbacked Under68c1,029$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7002850%14 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Under49c1,020$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005444.4%24 W · 30 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xafc4…daa1backed Under2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2070%0 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under48c999.97$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.9935349.6%175 W · 178 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over51c979.92$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.1683149.5%411 W · 420 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over41c896.11$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.213,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Under2c800$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12504%2 W · 48 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick2cpaid-25.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Over52c750.15$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.0738849.5%192 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under46c697.56$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.8859450.8%302 W · 292 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd421…7155backed Under44c688.85$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over52c687.5$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33033450.9%170 W · 164 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked Over52c687.5$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3303852.6%20 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Over52c687.5$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33015554.8%85 W · 70 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Over48c678.19$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.1223950.6%121 W · 118 L+11.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over52c663.86$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.931,14051.5%587 W · 553 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Over52c630.51$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.7319254.7%105 W · 87 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ca2…5d25backed Under70c577.08$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.96771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under55c481.59$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.7625449.6%126 W · 128 L-15.0wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over54c475.51$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.2738551.4%198 W · 187 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xceb6…c637backed Over52c419.83$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.461478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.16per pick63cpaid+27.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015051.3%77 W · 73 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc775…6b22backed Under11c362.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.93812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick10cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under49c332.91$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.1219150.8%97 W · 94 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Over34c330.45$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.3934547.8%165 W · 180 L-1.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e77…8c33backed Under47c307.32$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.442334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.5wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-26.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb6d3…53bfbacked Under49c306.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Over52c272.69$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.8914549%71 W · 74 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c70…b25ebacked Under48c260$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.29762.9%61 W · 36 L+0.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7670…ea85backed Over47c234.04$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.04366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+35.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Under49c233.97$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.657949.4%39 W · 40 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x46dc…92c3backed Under52c231.87$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.316341.3%26 W · 37 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-25.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5157…942bbacked Over51c223.75$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.643375.8%25 W · 8 L+7.9wins+0.24per pick52cpaid+47.8%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Over29c216.41$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.8851343.3%222 W · 291 L-21.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed Under49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013855.1%76 W · 62 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Over41c202.98$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.2929533.6%99 W · 196 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Under50c200.46$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10035829.3%105 W · 253 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0178…cfa6backed Under50c192.32$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.38250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x659f…04e4backed Over52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.314766%31 W · 16 L+5.9wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1298…97b6backed Under50c188$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-35.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under56c184$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.3610851.9%56 W · 52 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over52c175.06$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.031,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed Over54c170$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.210667.9%72 W · 34 L+16.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+31.9%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x0ffe…9150backed Over51c159.9$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.794738.3%18 W · 29 L-5.7wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-41%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under55c158.92$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.1265721.9%144 W · 513 L-105.6wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-54.6%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xd6d8…ac72backed Under49c153.06$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751040%4 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-30%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d87…f13cbacked Under50c150.07$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.18per pick60cpaid-28%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over51c150$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.529553.6%158 W · 137 L+13.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over55c148.89$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.4492049.7%457 W · 463 L+14.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Over53c143.91$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.6430855.5%171 W · 137 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked Over51c139.05$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.1317057.1%97 W · 73 L-0.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Over45c135.29$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.071,43158.3%834 W · 597 L+81.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under46c130$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.842948.7%209 W · 220 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8943…6c65backed Over51c127.82$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.6612161.2%74 W · 47 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x99be…3622backed Over54c126.15$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.035367.9%36 W · 17 L+6.2wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+23.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed Over52c124.81$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.339350.5%47 W · 46 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over50c121.44$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.7251550.7%261 W · 254 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Over50c120$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.4560449.2%297 W · 307 L-17.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under57c114.57$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.4720855.8%116 W · 92 L+10.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c6e…271bbacked Under49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506459.4%38 W · 26 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x45ec…12eebacked Under49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Under49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011650.9%59 W · 57 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffdc…ce87backed Under10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-36.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481,05442.5%448 W · 606 L-25.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x10cf…1cfbbacked Over54c99.07$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.5719141.9%80 W · 111 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f04…4e5fbacked Under58c98$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.841752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Over52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1516054.4%87 W · 73 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Over52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1512358.5%72 W · 51 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xedef…a67ebacked Under47c94.51$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.421040%4 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72a1…1950backed Over54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5910657.5%61 W · 45 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x30ab…f338backed Over54c84.33$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.7914351.7%74 W · 69 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefa8…924ebacked Under57c81.39$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.621030%3 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Over47c78$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.3433647.9%161 W · 175 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf5…e7c3backed Under64c77.53$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50650%3 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-30.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over52c75$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3631448.7%153 W · 161 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.