TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xedef…a67e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
55
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: MLB, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 57 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BMW Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Luciano Darderibacked Zhizhen Zhang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.81
Santa Cruz: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Gonzalo Buenobacked Gonzalo Villanueva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.47
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Hailey Baptiste vs Jessika Ponchetbacked Jessika Ponchet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.91
BMW Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Denis Shapovalovbacked Tallon Griekspoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.63
Busan: Ilya Ivashka vs Dane Sweenybacked Ilya Ivashka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+133.8%+$58.9
Busan: Renta Tokuda vs Coleman Wongbacked Renta Tokuda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.39
Busan: Alex Bolt vs James McCabebacked James McCabe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.92
Santa Cruz: Juan Estevez vs Juan Manuel La Sernabacked Juan Estevez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+301.7%+$75.18
Santa Cruz: Eric Vanshelboim vs Santiago Rodriguez Tavernabacked Eric Vanshelboim · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.74
Santa Cruz: Franco Roncadelli vs Pedro Sakamotobacked Pedro Sakamoto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+133.1%+$45.7
Oeiras 3: Lola Radivojevic vs Rebecca Sramkovabacked Rebecca Sramkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$37.78
All 11 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jets vs. Utahbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.69
Ducks vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$38.15
Canadiens vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$49.85
Jets vs. Golden Knightsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.24
Stars vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.23
Wild vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+59.5%+$10.01
Red Wings vs. Lightningbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.89
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.02
Rangers vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+121.4%+$30.02
Canucks vs. Sharks: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.42
All 10 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Universitario de Deportes win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.18
Will LDU de Quito vs. Mirassol FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+32.6%+$7.37
Will LDU de Quito win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$8.76
Will Santos FC win on 2026-04-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+86.7%+$20.9
Santos FC vs. Recoleta FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.91
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-04-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.46
Estudiantes de La Plata vs. Cusco FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.22
Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+300%+$71.22
Pumas de la UNAM vs. Mazatlán FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.95
All 9 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+81.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+59.8%+$12.11
Cleveland Guardians vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$15.78
Los Angeles Angels vs. New York Yankees: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+105.7%+$34.76
Houston Astros vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$27.12
All 4 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-55.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$6.28
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Gujarat Titansbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$12.93
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Fnatic vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+113.4%+$19.98
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.93
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-36.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-04-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.15
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+26.9%+$4.15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$16.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$8.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2026-04-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+38.5%+$9.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
VfB Stuttgart vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Melbourne City FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs MOUZ (BO3) - DreamLeague Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.32
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.