Tennis · resolved market
Busan: Renta Tokuda vs Coleman Wong
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfd87ec0465d8303570782396f065c41238c82742fdbd74cf0acb398c9ccef99d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Coleman Wongof Renta Tokuda, Coleman Wong
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $114,769
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $118,788
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,769 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9410…ffcdbacked Renta Tokuda | 15c | 18,478$2,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,819.55 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Renta Tokuda | 11c | 12,348$1,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,308.37 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Renta Tokuda | 10c | 6,531$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.08 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Renta Tokuda | 13c | 4,005$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.61 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Renta Tokuda | 3c | 1,638$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.52 | 973 | 7.9%77 W · 896 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Renta Tokuda | 14c | 1,054$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.51 | 567 | 44.6%253 W · 314 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be2…f23dbacked Renta Tokuda | 20c | 1,016$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Coleman Wong | 80c | 947.9$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.58 | 977 | 45.2%442 W · 535 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Renta Tokuda | 13c | 843.61$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.25 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…86dbbacked Renta Tokuda | 14c | 561.93$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.67 | 139 | 49.6%69 W · 70 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Renta Tokuda | 14c | 561.93$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.67 | 1,132 | 50.3%569 W · 563 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…aadebacked Renta Tokuda | 14c | 561.93$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.67 | 135 | 57.8%78 W · 57 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Renta Tokuda | 14c | 561.93$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.67 | 768 | 53%407 W · 361 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Renta Tokuda | 14c | 541.82$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.86 | 486 | 52.1%253 W · 233 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Renta Tokuda | 14c | 541.82$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.86 | 570 | 52.6%300 W · 270 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked Renta Tokuda | 7c | 505.92$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 113 | 31%35 W · 78 L | -11.2wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -38%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Renta Tokuda | 18c | 428.06$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.66 | 506 | 44.9%227 W · 279 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Renta Tokuda | 14c | 423.92$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.35 | 296 | 52.4%155 W · 141 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed Renta Tokuda | 13c | 393.94$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 203 | 31%63 W · 140 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Renta Tokuda | 18c | 365.78$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.5 | 348 | 47.1%164 W · 184 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Renta Tokuda | 14c | 338.71$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.42 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Renta Tokuda | 10c | 337.35$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.29 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Renta Tokuda | 17c | 335.36$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.01 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7820…5b79backed Renta Tokuda | 16c | 292.83$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.49 | 205 | 15.6%32 W · 173 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Renta Tokuda | 8c | 236.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 229 | 53.3%122 W · 107 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f43…d489backed Renta Tokuda | 7c | 228.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Renta Tokuda | 14c | 220.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.88 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Renta Tokuda | 16c | 211.79$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.18 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Renta Tokuda | 16c | 209.26$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.25 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Renta Tokuda | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x098d…6cc2backed Coleman Wong | 75c | 175.65$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.91 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedef…a67ebacked Renta Tokuda | 13c | 173.71$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.39 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65cf…5cdebacked Renta Tokuda | 14c | 172.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.83 | 226 | 46%104 W · 122 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b5…56abbacked Renta Tokuda | 15c | 160.23$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.87 | 144 | 63.2%91 W · 53 L | +12.6wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbba9…0e39backed Renta Tokuda | 15c | 148.84$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.01 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11e8…a362backed Renta Tokuda | 14c | 147.08$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.75 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Coleman Wong | 80c | 123.68$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.88 | 1,287 | 60.7%781 W · 506 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Renta Tokuda | 18c | 122.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.09 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Renta Tokuda | 15c | 118.04$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.58 | 1,487 | 47.5%706 W · 781 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27a1…9517backed Renta Tokuda | 16c | 113.22$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.32 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Renta Tokuda | 17c | 111.79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7646…b2a1backed Renta Tokuda | 18c | 105.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Renta Tokuda | 19c | 99.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…abe7backed Renta Tokuda | 15c | 99.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Renta Tokuda | 15c | 90.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 568 | 17.4%99 W · 469 L | -74.2wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Renta Tokuda | 20c | 90$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6e…326cbacked Renta Tokuda | 19c | 75.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Renta Tokuda | 16c | 73.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 1,459 | 50.1%731 W · 728 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Coleman Wong | 80c | 71.07$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 567 | 54.5%309 W · 258 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d7…d801backed Renta Tokuda | 23c | 70.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 336 | 55.1%185 W · 151 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b71…8792backed Renta Tokuda | 22c | 58.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e3…4874backed Coleman Wong | 78c | 56.44$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 918 | 80.5%739 W · 179 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8277…7d31backed Renta Tokuda | 36c | 53.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Renta Tokuda | 19c | 53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Coleman Wong | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,151 | 48.7%560 W · 591 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb05…955cbacked Renta Tokuda | 25c | 49.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb361…c953backed Coleman Wong | 63c | 41.07$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f79…adddbacked Coleman Wong | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 153 | 74.5%114 W · 39 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60a2…7a1fbacked Coleman Wong | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 184 | 78.8%145 W · 39 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 75cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Coleman Wong | 70c | 33.17$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…3f92backed Coleman Wong | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 224 | 82.6%185 W · 39 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 80cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…ef21backed Coleman Wong | 74c | 26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.76 | 652 | 64.1%418 W · 234 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…9d57backed Coleman Wong | 73c | 25.78$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.94 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…3f87backed Coleman Wong | 63c | 19.74$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbc…b3a0backed Coleman Wong | 63c | 16.64$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa93…a0c9backed Coleman Wong | 74c | 15.41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.02 | 75 | 62.7%47 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Coleman Wong | 80c | 13.41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.68 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.