TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbba9…0e39

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
42
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Tennis, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 54 out of 100; worst CS2 at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT2259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wuning 2: Justin Boulais vs Philip Sekulicbacked Justin Boulais · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+90.1%+$21.89
BMW Open: Alexander Zverev vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Miomir Kecmanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.46
Barcelona Open: Martin Landaluce vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Lorenzo Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$6.56
Barcelona Open: Pedro Martinez vs Lorenzo Sonegobacked Lorenzo Sonego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+183.5%+$44.07
Barcelona Open: Alex de Minaur vs Sebastian Ofnerbacked Sebastian Ofner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.03
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Anna Blinkova vs Dominika Salkovabacked Anna Blinkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.29
BMW Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Joao Fonsecabacked Alejandro Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.33
Oeiras 3: Anouk Koevermans vs Matilde Jorgebacked Anouk Koevermans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.07
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Iryna Shymanovich vs Linda Fruhvirtovabacked Iryna Shymanovich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+79.9%+$11.27
BMW Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Denis Shapovalovbacked Denis Shapovalov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+78.8%+$12.18
Busan: Marat Sharipov vs Yasutaka Uchiyamabacked Marat Sharipov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+48.3%+$11.85
Busan: Ilya Ivashka vs Dane Sweenybacked Ilya Ivashka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+131.2%+$25.34
Wuning 2: Linang Xiao vs Blake Ellisbacked Linang Xiao · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.61
Busan: Renta Tokuda vs Coleman Wongbacked Renta Tokuda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.01
Busan: James Kent Trotter vs Jake Delaneybacked James Kent Trotter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+31.2%+$6.08
Busan: Alex Bolt vs James McCabebacked James McCabe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.52
Santa Cruz: Murkel Dellien vs Juan Carlos Pradobacked Juan Carlos Prado · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+40.3%+$4.18
Tallahassee: Dmitry Popko vs Cannon Kingsleybacked Cannon Kingsley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+25.1%+$6.2
Santa Cruz: Hernan Casanova vs Juan Bautista Torresbacked Juan Bautista Torres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+41.2%+$8.75
Tallahassee: Liam Draxl vs Kaylan Bigunbacked Kaylan Bigun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.78
Santa Cruz: Eric Vanshelboim vs Santiago Rodriguez Tavernabacked Eric Vanshelboim · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.27
Santa Cruz: Franco Roncadelli vs Pedro Sakamotobacked Pedro Sakamoto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+169.7%+$24.12
All 22 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Krakenbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$15.98
Avalanche vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.38
Sabres vs. Blackhawksbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+55.2%+$13.79
Red Wings vs. Lightningbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.34
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+71%+$17.19
All 5 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-45.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boston Red Sox vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$24.37
Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.38
Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.79
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.95
All 4 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: CA Lanús (-1.5)backed CA Banfield · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$2.86
Will CA Lanús win on 2026-04-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.93
CA Lanús vs. CA Banfield: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+105%+$15.36
All 3 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+63%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-36.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.19
LoL: Leviatan Esports vs RED Canids - Game 2 Winnerbacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+26.4%+$6.19
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.18
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.45
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.