TailMyPicks

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Tennis · resolved market

Santa Cruz: Murkel Dellien vs Juan Carlos Prado

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Juan Carlos Pradoof Murkel Dellien, Juan Carlos Prado
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$59,784
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$58,861

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,784 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe4d3…c2f0backed Juan Carlos Prado79c16,891$13,349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,541.7333556.7%190 W · 145 L-27.7wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-15.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Murkel Dellien34c8,556$2,881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,880.679855.9%446 W · 352 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Murkel Dellien20c6,797$1,356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,356.267,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Juan Carlos Prado67c3,240$2,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,081.5611,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Murkel Dellien17c2,159$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.168,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4699…5051backed Murkel Dellien5c1,886$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.39737.9%77 W · 896 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Murkel Dellien34c1,807$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605.641,10742.8%474 W · 633 L-20.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbdc3…c0eabacked Murkel Dellien7c1,445$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.313363.9%85 W · 48 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick60cpaid-1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Juan Carlos Prado60c1,132$679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.7829952.2%156 W · 143 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70db…f73fbacked Murkel Dellien34c1,130$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.1629444.2%130 W · 164 L-18.7wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Murkel Dellien34c1,085$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.223,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xac83…239cbacked Murkel Dellien34c1,000$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3405742.1%24 W · 33 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ffb…b2f8backed Murkel Dellien40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4003745.9%17 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ff8…d7fdbacked Juan Carlos Prado68c852.43$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.7843449.1%213 W · 221 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Murkel Dellien30c826$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.661,43524.3%348 W · 1,087 L-36.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Murkel Dellien34c637.21$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.414,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Juan Carlos Prado66c542.43$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.319,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Murkel Dellien34c500.77$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.047,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Murkel Dellien33c498.52$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.714,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Juan Carlos Prado67c440.46$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.674,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd7cb…4088backed Juan Carlos Prado67c432.87$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.8518159.7%108 W · 73 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked Murkel Dellien25c396.74$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.3227247.4%129 W · 143 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Murkel Dellien39c385.36$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.2958639.6%232 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Murkel Dellien30c319.01$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.71,10743.5%481 W · 626 L-3.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Juan Carlos Prado76c311.98$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4380153.1%425 W · 376 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed Murkel Dellien37c304.15$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.5339534.4%136 W · 259 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Juan Carlos Prado66c297.54$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.442,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7a5…f64abacked Juan Carlos Prado70c278.7$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.2484963.1%536 W · 313 L+0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Juan Carlos Prado67c277.63$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.936,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6495…6cd7backed Murkel Dellien35c274.57$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.18248.8%40 W · 42 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Murkel Dellien31c274.45$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.697,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8642…47c8backed Murkel Dellien34c225.98$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.8325250%126 W · 126 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8165…b93dbacked Murkel Dellien34c225.98$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.8311844.9%53 W · 65 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x65cf…5cdebacked Murkel Dellien31c218.01$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.4122646%104 W · 122 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed Murkel Dellien34c208.78$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.991,10352.9%583 W · 520 L+2.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Murkel Dellien32c202$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.577,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ee9…1362backed Murkel Dellien36c187.17$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.3172542.6%309 W · 416 L-20.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6bb5…a518backed Murkel Dellien32c183.4$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.7820331%63 W · 140 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-36.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Juan Carlos Prado69c180.73$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.031,92355.4%1,066 W · 857 L-44.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7abf…8dd3backed Murkel Dellien33c175.96$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.615961%36 W · 23 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeba4…69fbbacked Murkel Dellien33c173.61$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.295339.6%21 W · 32 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick34cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc62e…108dbacked Murkel Dellien34c169.48$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.627834.6%27 W · 51 L-9.4wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-32.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8027…cf81backed Murkel Dellien34c169.48$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.6230853.6%165 W · 143 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc41…ac6dbacked Murkel Dellien7c162.61$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9750%0 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20ba…6c27backed Juan Carlos Prado68c144.24$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.161,18662.8%745 W · 441 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Juan Carlos Prado70c142.26$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.861,67153%885 W · 786 L+44.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa415…6fb9backed Juan Carlos Prado67c139.85$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1958453.1%310 W · 274 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Murkel Dellien11c132.68$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.412,41750.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L+78.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Juan Carlos Prado69c120$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.694,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a0e…b0babacked Murkel Dellien34c112.99$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.4246848.5%227 W · 241 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x08f1…705cbacked Juan Carlos Prado74c103$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.7829958.5%175 W · 124 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Murkel Dellien34c101.69$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.5765849.4%325 W · 333 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Murkel Dellien40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401,24041.2%511 W · 729 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Juan Carlos Prado62c97.52$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.061,06557.4%611 W · 454 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Murkel Dellien32c92.73$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.671,22841.1%505 W · 723 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Murkel Dellien33c85.39$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.46,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3169…6dccbacked Juan Carlos Prado68c85$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.119653.1%104 W · 92 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed Murkel Dellien34c84.74$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8142344.2%187 W · 236 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Murkel Dellien33c76.3$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.163,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x3a08…64a7backed Murkel Dellien40c74.59$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.843633.3%12 W · 24 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-25.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Murkel Dellien34c73.95$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.142,11855.9%1,185 W · 933 L+40.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9221…9419backed Murkel Dellien37c72.77$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.065846.6%27 W · 31 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x202f…7b58backed Murkel Dellien34c70.62$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.019839.8%39 W · 59 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb883…3994backed Murkel Dellien30c67.06$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1221549.8%107 W · 108 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Juan Carlos Prado75c63.24$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.876,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46dc…92c3backed Murkel Dellien34c58.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8123949.4%118 W · 121 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe31d…e7a4backed Murkel Dellien34c56.49$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2112748.8%62 W · 65 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Murkel Dellien33c54.57$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0158232%186 W · 396 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa130…e515backed Murkel Dellien37c52.01$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2420%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53ae…f71ebacked Juan Carlos Prado66c50.96$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3939039.5%154 W · 236 L-46.8wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-30.8%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Murkel Dellien34c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171,15148.7%560 W · 591 L+8.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Murkel Dellien36c49.21$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6756754.5%309 W · 258 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f6e…326cbacked Murkel Dellien30c47.9$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.373426.5%9 W · 25 L-4.0wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-30%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x57c8…3d9bbacked Murkel Dellien35c47.09$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4519052.1%99 W · 91 L-12.9wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x591f…f067backed Juan Carlos Prado65c45.18$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.815773.7%42 W · 15 L+5.3wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+16.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8f0c…a98fbacked Murkel Dellien33c45$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.853762.2%23 W · 14 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked Murkel Dellien32c44.13$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3356817.4%99 W · 469 L-74.2wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-46.8%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x46ea…d849backed Juan Carlos Prado69c42.67$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2316370.6%115 W · 48 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick69cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c34…7a99backed Murkel Dellien34c42.36$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.48848.9%43 W · 45 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-14%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfa93…a0c9backed Murkel Dellien35c42.1$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.897562.7%47 W · 28 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcad1…d2b4backed Murkel Dellien34c40.25$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.76540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Juan Carlos Prado64c39.57$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.241,27661%778 W · 498 L+27.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0576…9d28backed Murkel Dellien34c37.92$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8913553.3%72 W · 63 L+0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51a4…02d6backed Juan Carlos Prado70c35.62$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.692035%7 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf512…5198backed Juan Carlos Prado68c34.49$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.0257267.3%385 W · 187 L+33.5wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x96d4…a6d2backed Murkel Dellien36c31.9$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.541931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Juan Carlos Prado62c31.52$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.982,56163%1,613 W · 948 L-10.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x305b…cd21backed Juan Carlos Prado65c30.12$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.5455059.1%325 W · 225 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5101…4a4fbacked Juan Carlos Prado73c28.53$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.725366.8%169 W · 84 L+16.0wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6472…81e3backed Juan Carlos Prado72c28.51$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.9812457.3%71 W · 53 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Juan Carlos Prado69c28.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.822,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3db2…be55backed Juan Carlos Prado71c27.68$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.034472.7%32 W · 12 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x99f4…335fbacked Juan Carlos Prado66c15.26$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.1924274%179 W · 63 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick71cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Juan Carlos Prado70c14.56$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.3781255.3%449 W · 363 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbba9…0e39backed Juan Carlos Prado71c14.56$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.182259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.