TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3a08…64a7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
101
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 57 out of 100; worst Tennis at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT3633.3%12 W · 24 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-25.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Marta Kostyuk vs Ann Libacked Ann Li · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$311Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$311.11
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Karolina Muchova vs Coco Gauffbacked Karolina Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,240Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$2,760
BMW Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Fabian Marozsanbacked Fabian Marozsan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.54
Oeiras 3: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Jonas Forejtekbacked Jonas Forejtek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.08
Busan: August Holmgren vs Alexis Galarneaubacked August Holmgren · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$15
Tallahassee: Garrett Johns vs Hynek Bartonbacked Garrett Johns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.16
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Marta Kostyuk vs Caty McNallybacked Caty McNally · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.2
Barcelona Open: Rafael Jodar vs Camilo Ugo Carabellibacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$407Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$406.74
Oeiras 3: Henrique Rocha vs Tom Gentzschbacked Henrique Rocha · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6
Barcelona Open: Nuno Borges vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Nuno Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$518Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$1,473.85
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Harmony Tan vs Anna Bondarbacked Harmony Tan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.79
Oeiras 3: Anouk Koevermans vs Robin Montgomerybacked Robin Montgomery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$153.52
Wuning 2: Fajing Sun vs Tai Sachbacked Fajing Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$13.53
Busan: Yunchaokete Bu vs Marat Sharipovbacked Marat Sharipov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Santa Cruz: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Facundo Menabacked Juan Pablo Varillas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.17
Oeiras 3: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Tiago Pereirabacked Tiago Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.55
Barcelona Open: Mariano Navone vs Andrey Rublevbacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$667Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$666.68
Busan: Ui-Sung Park vs Beibit Zhukayevbacked Ui-Sung Park · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$308Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$308
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Caty McNally vs Katie Volynetsbacked Katie Volynets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.18
Oeiras 3: Jonas Forejtek vs Mattia Belluccibacked Mattia Bellucci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.74
Busan: Alexis Galarneau vs Kaichi Uchidabacked Alexis Galarneau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$59.36
Busan: Sho Shimabukuro vs Ilia Simakinbacked Ilia Simakin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$501Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$500.56
Oeiras 3: Max Houkes vs Zdenek Kolarbacked Max Houkes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$416Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$450.19
Santa Cruz: Murkel Dellien vs Juan Carlos Pradobacked Murkel Dellien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.84
Santa Cruz: Eric Vanshelboim vs Santiago Rodriguez Tavernabacked Eric Vanshelboim · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.49
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1872.2%13 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+44.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$648Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+517.3%+$3,352
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$6,544Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,543.65
United States leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$8.6
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$10.59
Spread: United States (-1.5)backed Türkiye · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.68
Japan leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$8.19
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$10.71
Spread: Japan (-1.5)backed Sweden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.67
Germany leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$9.66
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$5.81
Czechia vs. Mexico: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.26
Czechia vs. Mexico: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$9.7
Spread: Mexico (-1.5)backed Czechia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.35
Morocco vs. Haiti: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.66
Canada leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.6
Will Canada win on 2026-06-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$5.88
Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.2
Switzerland vs. Canada: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9.8
All 18 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)backed Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$396Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$396
New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,316Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,315.77
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.3
Los Angeles Angels vs. New York Yankees: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$259Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$269.07
San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.98
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)backed St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8.05
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$528Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$572
Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+104.8%+$36.17
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)backed Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.7
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$481Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$377.8
Los Angeles Angels vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.08
San Francisco Giants vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$73
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$14.21
All 13 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$17,280Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$17,280
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-6.5)backed Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$8,319Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$9,381
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$663Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$3,020.92
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Kentucky Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12,870Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12,870
Missouri Tigers vs. Miami Hurricanesbacked Missouri Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$6,308Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,307.71
Prairie View A&M Panthers vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Prairie View A&M Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$844Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$843.95
Hofstra Pride vs. Alabama Crimson Tidebacked Hofstra Pride · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$8,889Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,889.35
Saint Louis Billikens vs. Georgia Bulldogsbacked Georgia Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$4,980Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,980.4
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-27.5)backed Siena Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$6,288Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$6,544.35
South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinalsbacked Louisville Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13,100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+52.7%+$6,899.99
All 10 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.33per pick47cpaid+58.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+31.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$337.23
T20 World Cup: England vs Italy (Game 1)backed Italy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$23
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$7,580Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,580.05
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$5,160Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+316.7%+$16,340
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+72.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Galatasaray SK (-1.5)backed Galatasaray SK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$550
Spread: Konyaspor (-1.5)backed Konyaspor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$64.53
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-34.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$10,705Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$3,380.4
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.56
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.58
Moonbirds FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.77
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-04-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$640Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$640
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,693Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$1,626.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne vs. Fenerbahcebacked Fenerbahce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,480Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+37%+$547.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$368Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$368
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Real Betis Balompié vs. Elche CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$172.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweetslast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.58
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.