Tennis · resolved market
Busan: Sho Shimabukuro vs Ilia Simakin
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a1a9aedf68876ad71d464995f2cf85506145ec06e0bbb0ca814782a374ea07c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sho Shimabukuroof Sho Shimabukuro, Ilia Simakin
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,028
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,189
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,028 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Ilia Simakin | 37c | 2,895$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065.14 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Sho Shimabukuro | 69c | 2,164$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.16 | 340 | 47.4%161 W · 179 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Sho Shimabukuro | 72c | 1,942$1,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.76 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Ilia Simakin | 23c | 1,722$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.78 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Ilia Simakin | 27c | 1,712$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.83 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Sho Shimabukuro | 52c | 1,443$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.95 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a08…64a7backed Ilia Simakin | 47c | 1,065$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.56 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Ilia Simakin | 44c | 1,009$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.87 | 582 | 32%186 W · 396 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Sho Shimabukuro | 53c | 989.24$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.94 | 253 | 42.7%108 W · 145 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95bd…b9bebacked Ilia Simakin | 49c | 970.37$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.48 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Ilia Simakin | 33c | 839.9$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.5 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8868…ec09backed Sho Shimabukuro | 54c | 543.57$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Ilia Simakin | 46c | 441.74$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.2 | 1,421 | 55%782 W · 639 L | +23.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Ilia Simakin | 41c | 437.45$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.4 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sho Shimabukuro | 79c | 425.42$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.33 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Ilia Simakin | 36c | 409.9$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.56 | 420 | 46.9%197 W · 223 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Sho Shimabukuro | 72c | 343.77$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.66 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x448d…3adebacked Ilia Simakin | 45c | 325.86$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.64 | 322 | 47.2%152 W · 170 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Sho Shimabukuro | 67c | 310.08$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.87 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Ilia Simakin | 46c | 271.72$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.99 | 1,923 | 55.4%1,066 W · 857 L | -44.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…2b92backed Sho Shimabukuro | 55c | 265.36$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.41 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Sho Shimabukuro | 54c | 254.03$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.06 | 977 | 45.2%442 W · 535 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Sho Shimabukuro | 56c | 217.57$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.85 | 659 | 52.5%346 W · 313 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x400d…e759backed Sho Shimabukuro | 55c | 195.57$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.01 | 608 | 56.6%344 W · 264 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Sho Shimabukuro | 54c | 185.18$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.18 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Sho Shimabukuro | 54c | 137.85$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.41 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Sho Shimabukuro | 73c | 117$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.59 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…a8e9backed Ilia Simakin | 31c | 116.48$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.11 | 535 | 44.1%236 W · 299 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ba…b283backed Ilia Simakin | 48c | 110.77$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.17 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa93…a0c9backed Sho Shimabukuro | 62c | 102.02$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.36 | 75 | 62.7%47 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Ilia Simakin | 45c | 99.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Sho Shimabukuro | 55c | 99.3$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.68 | 1,639 | 55.1%903 W · 736 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8277…7d31backed Ilia Simakin | 39c | 98.91$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.75 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d84…a7bdbacked Sho Shimabukuro | 52c | 97.12$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.62 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae63…9dcdbacked Sho Shimabukuro | 55c | 93.44$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.05 | 205 | 52.2%107 W · 98 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Ilia Simakin | 29c | 89$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.24 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7f…3223backed Sho Shimabukuro | 56c | 86.93$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 76 | 63.2%48 W · 28 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Sho Shimabukuro | 36c | 84$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.08 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Sho Shimabukuro | 57c | 82.03$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.99 | 1,678 | 50.8%852 W · 826 L | +30.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed Ilia Simakin | 42c | 80.43$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.78 | 814 | 57%464 W · 350 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Sho Shimabukuro | 57c | 77.19$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.54 | 305 | 55.4%169 W · 136 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Sho Shimabukuro | 57c | 77.19$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.54 | 617 | 52.5%324 W · 293 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Sho Shimabukuro | 57c | 77.19$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.54 | 296 | 52.4%155 W · 141 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Ilia Simakin | 29c | 75.53$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.12 | 568 | 17.4%99 W · 469 L | -74.2wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…3aa6backed Sho Shimabukuro | 80c | 75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Sho Shimabukuro | 70c | 71.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.48 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Sho Shimabukuro | 56c | 71.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.4 | 1,174 | 51.9%609 W · 565 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Sho Shimabukuro | 56c | 71.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.4 | 630 | 52.4%330 W · 300 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Sho Shimabukuro | 56c | 71.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.4 | 501 | 56.1%281 W · 220 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Sho Shimabukuro | 56c | 71.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.4 | 603 | 55.4%334 W · 269 L | +19.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Sho Shimabukuro | 56c | 71.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.4 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Sho Shimabukuro | 56c | 71.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.4 | 1,132 | 50.3%569 W · 563 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Sho Shimabukuro | 56c | 71.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.4 | 484 | 53.7%260 W · 224 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Sho Shimabukuro | 56c | 71.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.4 | 184 | 59.8%110 W · 74 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…a496backed Ilia Simakin | 40c | 68.59$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.33 | 181 | 52.5%95 W · 86 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f5…8314backed Sho Shimabukuro | 55c | 68.07$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.63 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Ilia Simakin | 46c | 66.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.46 | 292 | 30.5%89 W · 203 L | -11.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed Ilia Simakin | 20c | 65.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Ilia Simakin | 29c | 65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.71 | 355 | 59.4%211 W · 144 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea3…8499backed Ilia Simakin | 46c | 63.1$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Sho Shimabukuro | 55c | 61.16$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 416 | 58.7%244 W · 172 L | +22.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Sho Shimabukuro | 76c | 60.94$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.88 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9221…9419backed Ilia Simakin | 46c | 59.15$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.21 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbced…5808backed Ilia Simakin | 41c | 55.95$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.94 | 345 | 60%207 W · 138 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Ilia Simakin | 35c | 55.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Sho Shimabukuro | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 1,151 | 48.7%560 W · 591 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Sho Shimabukuro | 58c | 46.27$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.26 | 567 | 54.5%309 W · 258 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b83…f841backed Sho Shimabukuro | 53c | 45.32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.37 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…d6c0backed Ilia Simakin | 48c | 44.87$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Sho Shimabukuro | 55c | 44.23$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 230 | 57%131 W · 99 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed Sho Shimabukuro | 55c | 44.23$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 314 | 63.1%198 W · 116 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c6…b50bbacked Ilia Simakin | 48c | 42.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed Sho Shimabukuro | 59c | 40.41$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 572 | 67.3%385 W · 187 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x449f…f386backed Sho Shimabukuro | 67c | 39.31$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.97 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Sho Shimabukuro | 55c | 35.55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.09 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0f…8b08backed Sho Shimabukuro | 73c | 35.42$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 252 | 65.1%164 W · 88 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08e7…1e4dbacked Sho Shimabukuro | 55c | 35.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb1…c96ebacked Ilia Simakin | 31c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Ilia Simakin | 38c | 34.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Ilia Simakin | 33c | 33.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf053…51e1backed Ilia Simakin | 34c | 33.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Sho Shimabukuro | 54c | 32.42$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6e…326cbacked Ilia Simakin | 46c | 31.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…3d9bbacked Ilia Simakin | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 190 | 52.1%99 W · 91 L | -12.9wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb05…955cbacked Ilia Simakin | 46c | 29.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Sho Shimabukuro | 54c | 28.52$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.98 | 405 | 48.1%195 W · 210 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x800f…5b35backed Sho Shimabukuro | 55c | 28.31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x782d…8211backed Sho Shimabukuro | 61c | 26.49$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.33 | 704 | 56.8%400 W · 304 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked Ilia Simakin | 46c | 26.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 113 | 31%35 W · 78 L | -11.2wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -38%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed Sho Shimabukuro | 69c | 23.96$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.43 | 149 | 58.4%87 W · 62 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Sho Shimabukuro | 56c | 23.37$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.28 | 1,228 | 41.1%505 W · 723 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Ilia Simakin | 45c | 23.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f98…ec35backed Sho Shimabukuro | 66c | 22.37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 145 | 33.1%48 W · 97 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4cd…f4fdbacked Sho Shimabukuro | 68c | 21.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…86dbbacked Sho Shimabukuro | 64c | 20.87$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 139 | 49.6%69 W · 70 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Sho Shimabukuro | 64c | 20.87$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 768 | 53%407 W · 361 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ae…f71ebacked Sho Shimabukuro | 68c | 20.8$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 390 | 39.5%154 W · 236 L | -46.8wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x848f…612fbacked Sho Shimabukuro | 54c | 19.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.07 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Sho Shimabukuro | 66c | 17.56$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.05 | 486 | 52.1%253 W · 233 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd650…8d74backed Sho Shimabukuro | 69c | 17.21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.34 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Busan: Sho Shimabukuro vs Ilia Simakinthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Shimabukuro vs SimakinShimabukuro won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.