TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5556…3aa6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
56
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Euroleague, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Euroleague at 51 out of 100; worst Ligue 1 at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT3366.7%22 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-1.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Madrid Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Tommy Paulbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.02
Savannah: Kilian Feldbausch vs Clement Taburbacked Clement Tabur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.64
Madrid Open: Cameron Norrie vs Tomas Machacbacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$26.46
Madrid Open: Caty McNally vs Victoria Mbokobacked Caty McNally · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.22
Madrid Open: Zizou Bergs vs Marin Cilicbacked Zizou Bergs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.69
Madrid Open: Panna Udvardy vs Kimberly Birrellbacked Kimberly Birrell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.49
Madrid Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Carlota Martinez Cirezbacked Carlota Martinez Cirez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.84
Madrid Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Emilio Navabacked Jenson Brooksby · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.26
Madrid Open: Shuai Zhang vs Eva Lysbacked Shuai Zhang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$17.93
Madrid Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Vit Koprivabacked Vit Kopriva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$13.83
Madrid Open, Qualification: Sara Sorribes Tormo vs Tamara Korpatschbacked Tamara Korpatsch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.54
Oeiras 4: Sofia Costoulas vs Anouk Koevermansbacked Sofia Costoulas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.09
Madrid Open, Qualification: Panna Udvardy vs Julieta Parejabacked Panna Udvardy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$26.44
Madrid Open, Qualification: Billy Harris vs Daniel Merida Aguilarbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$6.57
Madrid Open, Qualification: Donna Vekic vs Leolia Jeanjeanbacked Donna Vekic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.52
Madrid Open, Qualification: Elmer Moeller vs Hugo Gastonbacked Elmer Moeller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+146%+$28.17
Madrid Open, Qualification: Otto Virtanen vs Titouan Droguetbacked Otto Virtanen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.48
Tallahassee: Clement Tabur vs Michael Mmohbacked Clement Tabur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+30.8%+$12.16
Oeiras 3: Valentin Royer vs Max Houkesbacked Valentin Royer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+37%+$25.47
Barcelona Open: Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Filsbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.12
BMW Open: Justin Engel vs Vit Koprivabacked Vit Kopriva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$7.8
Busan: Sho Shimabukuro vs Ilia Simakinbacked Sho Shimabukuro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+25%+$15
Mexico City: James Duckworth vs Stefano Napolitanobacked Stefano Napolitano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.03
BMW Open: Emilio Nava vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$29.4
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Daria Kasatkina vs Ann Libacked Ann Li · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$13.23
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick74cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick78cpaid-36.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-55.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick65cpaid-55%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$8.7
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.57
Suns vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.4
All 3 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.16
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.43
All 2 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Burgos vs. Real Madridbacked Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+35.3%+$17.36
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.