Tennis · resolved market
Madrid Open, Qualification: Elmer Moeller vs Hugo Gaston
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd7068115bf44696693d444e1dc58f4f5d29c1b0774a97360a2a6ea1428cf70db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Elmer Moellerof Elmer Moeller, Hugo Gaston
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $113,540
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $124,568
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $113,540 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0ebb…cb1abacked Hugo Gaston | 57c | 17,088$9,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,742.06 | 300 | 56.7%170 W · 130 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Hugo Gaston | 16c | 11,769$1,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,841.97 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Elmer Moeller | 48c | 5,772$2,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,997.63 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb3…4d75backed Hugo Gaston | 21c | 3,216$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.3 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Hugo Gaston | 14c | 2,476$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.16 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62ae…c975backed Elmer Moeller | 36c | 2,216$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,407.57 | 215 | 37.2%80 W · 135 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Elmer Moeller | 54c | 2,146$1,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.76 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Elmer Moeller | 73c | 2,044$1,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.01 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf402…ce7abacked Hugo Gaston | 22c | 1,758$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.21 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Hugo Gaston | 58c | 1,462$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.22 | 586 | 39.6%232 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Hugo Gaston | 64c | 1,426$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.61 | 724 | 52.6%381 W · 343 L | +34.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Hugo Gaston | 14c | 1,308$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.09 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Elmer Moeller | 34c | 1,077$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.88 | 582 | 32%186 W · 396 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d30…89ccbacked Hugo Gaston | 18c | 1,035$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.21 | 174 | 50%87 W · 87 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Elmer Moeller | 36c | 1,003$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.82 | 587 | 34.6%203 W · 384 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a41…1cbbbacked Hugo Gaston | 66c | 989.69$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.2 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | -10.5wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f05…d802backed Hugo Gaston | 36c | 849.15$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.69 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x463e…fa8ebacked Elmer Moeller | 35c | 818.73$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.18 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde80…d8b9backed Hugo Gaston | 60c | 813.79$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.27 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Hugo Gaston | 38c | 722.15$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.29 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6170…f3fdbacked Hugo Gaston | 66c | 595.18$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.82 | 277 | 62.8%174 W · 103 L | +18.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Hugo Gaston | 30c | 584.51$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.55 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Elmer Moeller | 36c | 555.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.55 | 340 | 47.4%161 W · 179 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Hugo Gaston | 28c | 554.14$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.92 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Hugo Gaston | 59c | 520$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.8 | 351 | 64.1%225 W · 126 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5444…bbdabacked Hugo Gaston | 60c | 496.13$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.68 | 331 | 49.2%163 W · 168 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad8f…e299backed Elmer Moeller | 41c | 466.66$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.68 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa724…7bdabacked Elmer Moeller | 43c | 464.01$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.49 | 297 | 54.5%162 W · 135 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Hugo Gaston | 64c | 458.63$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.52 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Hugo Gaston | 14c | 446.41$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.34 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Hugo Gaston | 67c | 438.89$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.06 | 1,923 | 55.4%1,066 W · 857 L | -44.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48d…5182backed Hugo Gaston | 64c | 430.5$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.52 | 245 | 58.8%144 W · 101 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Hugo Gaston | 60c | 420.39$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.26 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Elmer Moeller | 36c | 400$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256 | 287 | 47.7%137 W · 150 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e3…99a1backed Hugo Gaston | 18c | 395.83$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.91 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…5018backed Elmer Moeller | 51c | 393.96$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.21 | 208 | 44.2%92 W · 116 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Hugo Gaston | 63c | 369.81$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.98 | 977 | 45.2%442 W · 535 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Hugo Gaston | 62c | 362.51$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.76 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a5…f64abacked Hugo Gaston | 64c | 305.75$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.68 | 849 | 63.1%536 W · 313 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked Hugo Gaston | 64c | 305.75$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.68 | 294 | 44.2%130 W · 164 L | -18.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Hugo Gaston | 65c | 301.39$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.8 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Elmer Moeller | 33c | 300$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201 | 359 | 32.6%117 W · 242 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…1fe3backed Elmer Moeller | 42c | 293.82$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.42 | 179 | 58.1%104 W · 75 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Elmer Moeller | 51c | 282.89$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.92 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x471c…3b43backed Hugo Gaston | 59c | 277.74$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.87 | 175 | 49.7%87 W · 88 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Hugo Gaston | 17c | 277.25$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.26 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Hugo Gaston | 27c | 272.2$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.71 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc3…0670backed Elmer Moeller | 37c | 257.45$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.2 | 481 | 44.5%214 W · 267 L | +14.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Elmer Moeller | 36c | 250.06$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.34 | 280 | 38.2%107 W · 173 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Elmer Moeller | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 509 | 52.1%265 W · 244 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Hugo Gaston | 40c | 241$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.4 | 1,287 | 60.7%781 W · 506 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee4c…8572backed Elmer Moeller | 53c | 236.34$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.48 | 234 | 29.1%68 W · 166 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6712…a95bbacked Hugo Gaston | 36c | 235.06$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.62 | 141 | 46.1%65 W · 76 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551d…9326backed Hugo Gaston | 64c | 230.4$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.45 | 277 | 39%108 W · 169 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Elmer Moeller | 44c | 222.4$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.8 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…b516backed Elmer Moeller | 35c | 210.1$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.57 | 259 | 50.2%130 W · 129 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaad3…f49ebacked Elmer Moeller | 34c | 208.1$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.09 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf91…dc43backed Hugo Gaston | 51c | 203.03$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.53 | 132 | 61.4%81 W · 51 L | +11.0wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Hugo Gaston | 33c | 202$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.84 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x448d…3adebacked Elmer Moeller | 35c | 196.57$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.77 | 322 | 47.2%152 W · 170 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed Elmer Moeller | 35c | 193.1$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.51 | 159 | 48.4%77 W · 82 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Hugo Gaston | 13c | 191.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.37 | 625 | 34.4%215 W · 410 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Elmer Moeller | 56c | 182.55$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.47 | 567 | 54.5%309 W · 258 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Hugo Gaston | 30c | 168.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.23 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6c…d56cbacked Hugo Gaston | 63c | 164.06$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.35 | 244 | 51.6%126 W · 118 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c7…70d1backed Hugo Gaston | 61c | 163.18$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3831…7f10backed Hugo Gaston | 61c | 159.82$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.8 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa6…d3c2backed Hugo Gaston | 64c | 152.88$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.84 | 465 | 62.6%291 W · 174 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Hugo Gaston | 31c | 150$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 68 | 23.5%16 W · 52 L | -7.2wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Elmer Moeller | 67c | 149.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.19 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff8…d7fdbacked Hugo Gaston | 66c | 148.42$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.96 | 434 | 49.1%213 W · 221 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x956d…b750backed Hugo Gaston | 66c | 148.42$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.96 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Hugo Gaston | 64c | 148.25$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.88 | 1,065 | 57.4%611 W · 454 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf40e…9addbacked Hugo Gaston | 66c | 147.97$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.97 | 386 | 64%247 W · 139 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Hugo Gaston | 42c | 147.7$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.31 | 1,354 | 43.9%595 W · 759 L | -62.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c0…dadabacked Hugo Gaston | 30c | 147.26$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.59 | 546 | 34.4%188 W · 358 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Hugo Gaston | 28c | 144.06$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.71 | 568 | 17.4%99 W · 469 L | -74.2wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2798…a9c7backed Hugo Gaston | 46c | 142.24$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.43 | 110 | 41.8%46 W · 64 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Hugo Gaston | 63c | 141.99$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.46 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8c…ecaebacked Elmer Moeller | 73c | 135.64$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Hugo Gaston | 10c | 127.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 221 | 13.6%30 W · 191 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc060…8956backed Hugo Gaston | 58c | 124.52$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.17 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | -8.9wins | -0.12per pick | 66cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x025c…8c60backed Elmer Moeller | 53c | 117.99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0510…78f5backed Elmer Moeller | 37c | 115.46$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.74 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 55cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2374…a426backed Hugo Gaston | 35c | 114.19$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.29 | 873 | 37.1%324 W · 549 L | -3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Elmer Moeller | 55c | 112.13$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.04 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c5…b613backed Elmer Moeller | 41c | 111.25$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.64 | 502 | 59%296 W · 206 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed19…83babacked Hugo Gaston | 49c | 109.7$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.68 | 847 | 36%305 W · 542 L | -35.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Elmer Moeller | 45c | 107.44$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.09 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd205…e7fbbacked Hugo Gaston | 58c | 100.84$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.49 | 310 | 39.4%122 W · 188 L | -10.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Elmer Moeller | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Hugo Gaston | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 1,094 | 52.4%573 W · 521 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked Hugo Gaston | 66c | 99.25$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.51 | 264 | 62.1%164 W · 100 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…db26backed Hugo Gaston | 60c | 97.6$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.56 | 825 | 60.5%499 W · 326 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed Elmer Moeller | 42c | 93.62$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.3 | 814 | 57%464 W · 350 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2439…3ed7backed Hugo Gaston | 36c | 93.49$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.66 | 128 | 53.9%69 W · 59 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Elmer Moeller | 33c | 88.43$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.25 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7411…52c1backed Hugo Gaston | 64c | 88.06$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Hugo Gaston | 50c | 84.5$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.09 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Hugo Gaston | 14c | 84.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Madrid Open, Qualification: Elmer Moeller vs Hugo Gastonthis page
- Moeller vs. Gaston: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Moeller vs GastonMoeller won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.