TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6170…f3fd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
383
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 57 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT27762.8%174 W · 103 L+18.2wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 277 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Open, Qualification ATP: Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Christopher O'Connellbacked Christopher O'Connell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$587.3
US Open, Qualification ATP: Henrique Rocha vs Michael Mmohbacked Henrique Rocha · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$640Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$426.67
US Open, Qualification ATP: Moise Kouame vs Nishesh Basavareddybacked Moise Kouame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
US Open, Qualification ATP: Luka Mikrut vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdobacked Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
US Open, Qualification ATP: Michael Antonius vs Henry Searlebacked Michael Antonius · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$430.77
US Open, Qualification ATP: Jack Pinnington Jones vs Trevor Svajdabacked Trevor Svajda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
US Open, Qualification ATP: Laslo Djere vs Alexandre Mullerbacked Laslo Djere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$640Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$640
US Open, Qualification ATP: Pol Martin Tiffon vs Tom Gentzschbacked Tom Gentzsch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$359.42
US Open, Qualification ATP: Otto Virtanen vs Ugo Blanchetbacked Otto Virtanen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$282.35
US Open, Qualification ATP: Francesco Passaro vs Felix Gillbacked Francesco Passaro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$572.73
US Open, Qualification ATP: Spencer Johnson vs Cristian Garinbacked Cristian Garin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$742.86
US Open, Qualification ATP: Remy Bertola vs Alejandro Moro Canasbacked Alejandro Moro Canas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
US Open, Qualification ATP: Vilius Gaubas vs Kilian Feldbauschbacked Vilius Gaubas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+83.6%+$501.43
US Open, Qualification ATP: Federico Agustin Gomez vs Aziz Dougazbacked Aziz Dougaz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$409.09
US Open, Qualification ATP: Mark Lajal vs Jordan Leebacked Mark Lajal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
US Open, Qualification ATP: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Frederico Ferreira Silvabacked Frederico Ferreira Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$511.11
Set Handicap: Fils (-1.5) vs Tiafoe (+1.5)backed Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$610Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$423.9
Quebec City: Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Luca Van Asschebacked Luca Van Assche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+54.1%+$649.26
Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$936.73
Quebec City: Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Taro Danielbacked Taro Daniel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Cincinnati Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Arthur Filsbacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$320
Quebec City: Hugo Gaston vs Luca Van Asschebacked Luca Van Assche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$492.6
Cincinnati Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+64.1%+$512.64
Set Handicap: Fearnley (-1.5) vs Daniel (+1.5)backed Daniel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+64%+$511.64
Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Showing 25 of 277 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT4665.2%30 W · 16 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$700
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$234.62
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$662.79
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$434.48
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$611.11
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$704.35
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Spread: Thunder (-12.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$257.58
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$359.76
Spread: Thunder (-14.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$255.74
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$416.95
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$610Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$214.32
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$316.22
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$253.45
Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+100%+$242.5
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+150%+$216.9
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$242Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$252.24
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1681.3%13 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.17per pick64cpaid+32.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$371.43
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$492Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$172.94
Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$198.45
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$99.34
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$85.08
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$69.8
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$496Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$193.07
St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+62.6%+$62.09
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$24.44
Miami Hurricanes vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$96.79
Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartansbacked Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$24.44
Missouri Tigers vs. Miami Hurricanesbacked Miami Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.36
Utah State Aggies vs. Villanova Wildcatsbacked Utah State Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$23.37
SMU Mustangs vs. Miami (OH) RedHawksbacked SMU Mustangs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.79
North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Texas Longhornsbacked Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$19.83
Howard Bison vs. UMBC Retrieversbacked UMBC Retrievers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.83
All 16 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-29.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,100
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$694.92
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+61.9%+$619.43
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Spread: Spain (-3.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)backed Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$700
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$531.25
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$314.49
Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+27.2%+$53.73
All 13 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-49.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-40.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-47.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valencia vs. Real Madridbacked Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+56.6%+$282.94
Saski Baskonia vs. Maccabi Tel Avivbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$790Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$790.38
Barcelona vs. Panathinaikosbacked Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.05
All 3 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$388.56
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-08-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$928.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+65.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+65.1%+$325.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+35.8%+$178.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AC Milan vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.