NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-14.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x836373b73a4f074a524ba4dd011aa7cf1c3e2e56ffaca2d5dcc80f7021cc571e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Thunder, Lakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $863,129
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $860,880
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $863,129 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 319 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Lakers | 46c | 147,247$67,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67,733.66 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…8d9bbacked Thunder | 54c | 145,597$78,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66,974.84 | 203 | 52.7%107 W · 96 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Lakers | 48c | 105,550$50,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,663.87 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Lakers | 47c | 100,659$46,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,902.99 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Thunder | 54c | 86,942$46,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,993.14 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Lakers | 47c | 80,800$37,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,983.96 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Thunder | 53c | 80,262$42,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,723.12 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Thunder | 52c | 78,628$40,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,791.55 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed8…4388backed Thunder | 53c | 40,000$21,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,799.95 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Lakers | 46c | 33,754$15,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,526.78 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54d2…ac37backed Lakers | 47c | 33,289$15,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,645.97 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed Thunder | 53c | 23,867$12,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,217.26 | 108 | 60.2%65 W · 43 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +109.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Thunder | 53c | 16,981$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,981.13 | 219 | 43.4%95 W · 124 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Thunder | 60c | 16,636$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,636.28 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Thunder | 52c | 14,998$7,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,133.35 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lakers | 33c | 13,744$4,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,572.64 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Lakers | 49c | 12,427$6,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,089 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75b1…323cbacked Thunder | 53c | 10,641$5,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,001.17 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Thunder | 52c | 10,319$5,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,930.78 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb475…c136backed Thunder | 53c | 9,690$5,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,554.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Thunder | 26c | 9,605$2,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,131.82 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b1…04debacked Thunder | 53c | 9,403$4,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,419.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Thunder | 44c | 8,888$3,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,975.84 | 143 | 34.3%49 W · 94 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6687…bf8cbacked Thunder | 53c | 8,600$4,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,042 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Thunder | 52c | 7,857$4,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,771.18 | 443 | 37.9%168 W · 275 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Thunder | 53c | 7,358$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,458.49 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Thunder | 53c | 5,991$3,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,845.56 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Thunder | 21c | 5,982$1,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,745.4 | 263 | 37.3%98 W · 165 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6c…236dbacked Thunder | 53c | 5,900$3,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,773 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Thunder | 40c | 5,859$2,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,505.66 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dfb…0b3dbacked Thunder | 53c | 5,660$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,660.38 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54e6…036dbacked Lakers | 73c | 5,375$3,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,939.25 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c85…94a4backed Thunder | 52c | 5,199$2,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,473.52 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e56…7627backed Lakers | 47c | 5,196$2,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,442.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Thunder | 59c | 5,063$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,063.13 | 432 | 69.2%299 W · 133 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Thunder | 52c | 5,016$2,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,419.02 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5df…382dbacked Lakers | 46c | 4,578$2,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,108.7 | 163 | 35.6%58 W · 105 L | -12.2wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Lakers | 46c | 4,526$2,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,078.28 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c55…97d4backed Thunder | 52c | 4,273$2,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,051.08 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Thunder | 47c | 4,270$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,269.66 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…7191backed Thunder | 53c | 4,189$2,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,968.85 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1103…bb2fbacked Thunder | 54c | 4,161$2,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,913.92 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c9…0f2bbacked Lakers | 45c | 4,112$1,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,843.78 | 135 | 43.7%59 W · 76 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Thunder | 50c | 4,000$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000.6 | 328 | 46.6%153 W · 175 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb57a…b8c3backed Thunder | 27c | 3,976$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,902.7 | 196 | 53.6%105 W · 91 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47bc…9504backed Lakers | 47c | 3,805$1,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,788.48 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Thunder | 38c | 3,780$1,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,362.17 | 166 | 33.7%56 W · 110 L | -11.6wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Thunder | 53c | 3,400$1,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,598 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32f1…c96ebacked Thunder | 55c | 3,288$1,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,491.66 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0c…cfc9backed Thunder | 33c | 3,176$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,125.39 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lakers | 57c | 3,155$1,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,783.82 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b75…433bbacked Lakers | 49c | 3,061$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Lakers | 54c | 3,000$1,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,619.28 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32bf…ec60backed Thunder | 29c | 2,947$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080.43 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1da3…2f94backed Thunder | 54c | 2,755$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,255.1 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…cff4backed Lakers | 48c | 2,604$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40b4…1483backed Thunder | 53c | 2,429$1,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,151.04 | 140 | 45.7%64 W · 76 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab2…8fdabacked Thunder | 53c | 2,355$1,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,106.85 | 197 | 45.2%89 W · 108 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Lakers | 69c | 2,318$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8d…01debacked Lakers | 47c | 2,249$1,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,057.15 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lakers | 70c | 2,217$1,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,554.41 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Lakers | 47c | 2,156$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.81 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Lakers | 46c | 2,016$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.99 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Lakers | 46c | 2,016$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.99 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3a…a56bbacked Thunder | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Thunder | 53c | 1,981$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931.07 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Thunder | 51c | 1,960$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.54 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Thunder | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.79 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9948…47e7backed Thunder | 55c | 1,877$1,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.79 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf964…a4cebacked Thunder | 53c | 1,696$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.12 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +104.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x368c…9f72backed Lakers | 58c | 1,650$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.47 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe7…ddf5backed Thunder | 39c | 1,641$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.42 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9163backed Thunder | 52c | 1,507$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.5 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Thunder | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 710 | 44.6%317 W · 393 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ff…9d91backed Thunder | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Lakers | 51c | 1,409$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.1 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Lakers | 47c | 1,396$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.74 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Thunder | 52c | 1,347$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.53 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0554…7a1fbacked Thunder | 56c | 1,267$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.5 | 183 | 37.2%68 W · 115 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Thunder | 35c | 1,231$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.82 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Thunder | 53c | 1,228$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.8 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Lakers | 46c | 1,185$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545 | 101 | 38.6%39 W · 62 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d16…821abacked Lakers | 50c | 1,183$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.3 | 134 | 41%55 W · 79 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Lakers | 31c | 1,166$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.51 | 342 | 55.6%190 W · 152 L | +28.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +36%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Lakers | 45c | 1,146$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.55 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Lakers | 48c | 1,136$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.51 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Lakers | 41c | 1,086$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.2 | 469 | 59.1%277 W · 192 L | +28.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd283…4c3abacked Lakers | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Thunder | 26c | 1,014$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…48a4backed Thunder | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…06b3backed Thunder | 53c | 999.88$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.95 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.9wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Thunder | 29c | 998.63$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.63 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked Thunder | 14c | 957.14$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.14 | 74 | 32.4%24 W · 50 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15d4…b79fbacked Thunder | 46c | 949.97$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.8 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Thunder | 56c | 885.81$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.95 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa62a…f05bbacked Lakers | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 68cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Lakers | 50c | 804.99$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.32 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Thunder | 52c | 780.23$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.51 | 235 | 53.6%126 W · 109 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a64…3c0abacked Thunder | 20c | 750$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Lakers | 45c | 711.2$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.04 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-14.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Lakers won
- Ajay Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Austin Reaves: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Deandre Ayton: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- Deandre Ayton: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Lakers vs. ThunderThunder won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineLakers won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 107.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 108.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 209.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 210.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 211.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5Over won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Marcus Smart: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Rui Hachimura: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 28.5No won
- Spread: Thunder (-15.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-16.5)Thunder won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.