NBA · resolved market
Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 210.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x027e671a2d56411743c55f144571c62f1dae64db83b05d06d03d1c8d72a15a00
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $183,913
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $189,371
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $183,913 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 189 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Over | 52c | 30,746$15,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,793.63 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 50c | 12,021$5,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,990.5 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Over | 49c | 10,719$5,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,473.66 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…ad9bbacked Under | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,699.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 49c | 9,945$4,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,828.07 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 52c | 9,906$5,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800.5 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 48c | 7,419$3,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,595.87 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Under | 22c | 5,894$1,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,317.74 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0279…e25ebacked Under | 47c | 5,680$2,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,669.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Under | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 199 | 37.2%74 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4852…67c4backed Over | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Over | 53c | 4,000$2,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,860 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 36c | 3,691$1,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,367.47 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 46c | 3,186$1,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,474 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1509…ca95backed Over | 52c | 2,948$1,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,414.85 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Under | 63c | 2,834$1,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,788.04 | 263 | 37.3%98 W · 165 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Under | 51c | 2,833$1,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,444.84 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked Over | 53c | 2,830$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330.19 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 47c | 2,467$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159.52 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 47c | 2,467$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159.52 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x456a…6a90backed Under | 47c | 2,236$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,051.02 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 48c | 2,234$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,077.79 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 13c | 1,900$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.65 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | -12.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 54c | 1,876$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.86 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73f3…0d2cbacked Over | 52c | 1,842$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.31 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 51c | 1,579$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.68 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 48c | 1,571$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.44 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09d4…5f81backed Over | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -40%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Over | 56c | 1,500$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.99 | 313 | 54.3%170 W · 143 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…06b3backed Over | 53c | 1,391$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.57 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.9wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 37c | 1,192$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.18 | 469 | 59.1%277 W · 192 L | +28.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Under | 44c | 1,184$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.8 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Over | 52c | 1,161$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.28 | 175 | 40.6%71 W · 104 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 40c | 1,112$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 42c | 1,101$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.45 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 51c | 985.9$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.08 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Over | 52c | 914.98$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.19 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Under | 47c | 809.83$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.46 | 528 | 61.9%327 W · 201 L | +32.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 48c | 800$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.99 | 931 | 45.8%426 W · 505 L | -25.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b62…728abacked Over | 52c | 768.91$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.08 | 115 | 56.5%65 W · 50 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed Under | 64c | 728.86$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.15 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 52c | 621.64$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.55 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed Under | 51c | 600$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 167 | 50.3%84 W · 83 L | -12.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 47c | 546.04$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.89 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Over | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Under | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 329 | 57.4%189 W · 140 L | +18.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32f1…c96ebacked Over | 53c | 499.99$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 39c | 466$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.22 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 45c | 448.21$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.57 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 74c | 419.65$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.7 | 521 | 50.9%265 W · 256 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76e4…febcbacked Under | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8476…dc8dbacked Over | 49c | 409.27$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.73 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 50c | 408.06$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.88 | 447 | 40.7%182 W · 265 L | -27.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Over | 51c | 397.99$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.01 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 56c | 385.95$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.33 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Over | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 384 | 32.6%125 W · 259 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45b5…2d74backed Over | 53c | 358.49$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.49 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Over | 50c | 340.05$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.03 | 128 | 57.8%74 W · 54 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 47c | 324.51$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.45 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d16…821abacked Under | 62c | 319.05$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.81 | 134 | 41%55 W · 79 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7474…279fbacked Under | 6c | 309.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 46c | 309.24$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.23 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3565…0b17backed Under | 49c | 307.76$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba0c…7800backed Over | 53c | 302.05$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.31 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked Under | 42c | 278.97$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.17 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 63c | 271.99$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.4 | 272 | 45.6%124 W · 148 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…2909backed Under | 49c | 270$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.3 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under | 47c | 255.32$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…a1e1backed Over | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +5.7wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +51%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8b90…8a6dbacked Over | 69c | 228.88$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.42 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad84…1897backed Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Under | 48c | 208.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aae…16e6backed Over | 53c | 203.77$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.77 | 124 | 58.9%73 W · 51 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27cf…979abacked Under | 47c | 202.95$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.39 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -7.6wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5fe…c03dbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87d7…05b5backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c6…85b9backed Over | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -4.2wins | -0.25per pick | 42cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x86f3…685cbacked Under | 51c | 199.98$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.99 | 125 | 58.4%73 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…bf14backed Over | 53c | 198$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.06 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4668…3b66backed Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x612a…a940backed Under | 48c | 194.74$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.48 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d6…9e5bbacked Under | 49c | 194$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.06 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaa88…b48bbacked Under | 49c | 194$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.06 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 364 | 50.8%185 W · 179 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed Under | 48c | 192.07$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.19 | 176 | 43.2%76 W · 100 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcad3…377fbacked Over | 52c | 191.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.95 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf665…8298backed Over | 52c | 191.2$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.78 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa04…796bbacked Over | 52c | 180$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.4 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 66c | 177.71$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.8 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 51c | 177.14$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3d…58f5backed Under | 22c | 175.04$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.13 | 141 | 53.9%76 W · 65 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 45c | 174.41$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.59 | 237 | 41.4%98 W · 139 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…8a71backed Over | 52c | 173.08$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.08 | 178 | 48.3%86 W · 92 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Over | 38c | 168.16$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.38 | 592 | 55.4%328 W · 264 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Under | 64c | 164.99$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.84 | 361 | 54.8%198 W · 163 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26f2…1761backed Under | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb37…7d86backed Over | 38c | 162.88$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.63 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 48c | 162.1$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.81 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Under | 48c | 159.85$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.73 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 210.5this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Lakers won
- Ajay Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Austin Reaves: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Deandre Ayton: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- Deandre Ayton: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Lakers vs. ThunderThunder won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineLakers won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 107.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 108.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 209.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 211.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5Over won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Marcus Smart: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Rui Hachimura: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 28.5No won
- Spread: Thunder (-14.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-15.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-16.5)Thunder won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.