TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8b90…8a6d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
40
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: NBA, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 54 out of 100; worst Token Launches at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT1872.2%13 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs ex-RUBY - Map 2 Winnerbacked ex-RUBY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+63.5%+$7.62
Map Handicap: 9z (-1.5) vs magic (+1.5)backed magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+37%+$4.35
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic - Map 1 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.78
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+30.9%+$5.26
Counter-Strike: K27 vs magic - Map 2 Winnerbacked K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+46.6%+$13.17
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.48
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+30.1%+$7.54
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+48%+$24.97
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+32.4%+$3.89
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Gentle Mates - Map 1 Winnerbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+43.6%+$5.23
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.78
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+42.5%+$9.98
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs magic - Map 1 Winnerbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.66
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Gentle Mates - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+33.1%+$7.29
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+63.3%+$121.94
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Heroic - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.27
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Heroic - Map 1 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+65.2%+$58.26
All 18 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick70cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Yasmine Kabbaj vs Berfu Cengizbacked Berfu Cengiz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Parma: Camila Osorio vs Barbora Krejcikovabacked Camila Osorio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.41
Valencia: Alejandro Tabilo vs Dusan Lajovicbacked Alejandro Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+34.5%+$4.55
Paris: Katie Volynets vs Yulia Starodubtsevabacked Yulia Starodubtseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+65.1%+$11.72
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Simona Waltert vs Hailey Baptistebacked Hailey Baptiste · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+30.8%+$9.24
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Laura Siegemundbacked Laura Siegemund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+41.8%+$8.36
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Dino Prizmic vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Xinyu Wang vs Alexandra Ealabacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+43.9%+$64.69
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jasmine Paolini vs Leolia Jeanjeanbacked Jasmine Paolini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+31.5%+$4.69
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Noemi Basiletti vs Ajla Tomljanovicbacked Noemi Basiletti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+35%+$43.02
All 10 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick71cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+49.7%+$6.93
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+42.8%+$16.7
Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 210.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+45.4%+$71.42
All 3 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-32%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+35.2%+$6.68
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.