CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs magic - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ddeaefb76dc46aec4aebfd61a85e57e8cdc9f6c7fd4cf93ecbf415f6507f436
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TheMongolzof TheMongolz, magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $324,286
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $376,611
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $324,286 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 289 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked TheMongolz | 61c | 25,679$15,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,089.04 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed TheMongolz | 56c | 13,266$7,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,775.8 | 376 | 46.3%174 W · 202 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked magic | 33c | 11,355$3,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,768.01 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked magic | 36c | 9,996$3,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,588.02 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed magic | 38c | 8,999$3,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,411.56 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2df3…d7e5backed magic | 24c | 8,042$1,953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,953.02 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed magic | 27c | 7,622$2,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,030.96 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked TheMongolz | 68c | 6,549$4,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,095.07 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebe7…ddf5backed TheMongolz | 58c | 5,818$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,418.45 | 341 | 56.6%193 W · 148 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed magic | 38c | 5,416$2,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,059.51 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked magic | 28c | 4,748$1,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,332.78 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde8f…2c72backed magic | 44c | 3,630$1,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590.95 | 280 | 56.4%158 W · 122 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed TheMongolz | 65c | 3,366$2,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,163.78 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc99…ce7ebacked magic | 53c | 3,031$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 189 | 33.9%64 W · 125 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…0e3fbacked TheMongolz | 37c | 2,733$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,732.84 | 260 | 45%117 W · 143 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed magic | 37c | 2,708$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.24 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked TheMongolz | 79c | 2,499$1,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.37 | 421 | 49.6%209 W · 212 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed magic | 34c | 2,020$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.91 | 870 | 47.9%417 W · 453 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked magic | 35c | 2,018$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.3 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked TheMongolz | 74c | 2,006$1,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.74 | 449 | 57.5%258 W · 191 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed magic | 24c | 2,004$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.81 | 786 | 39.4%310 W · 476 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked TheMongolz | 47c | 1,973$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038.67 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x021e…f194backed TheMongolz | 55c | 1,588$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.71 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked magic | 49c | 1,582$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.25 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c93…33d5backed TheMongolz | 42c | 1,390$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.17 | 484 | 37.6%182 W · 302 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed TheMongolz | 61c | 1,295$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.23 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked magic | 49c | 1,228$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 752 | 45.5%342 W · 410 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5846…0388backed magic | 28c | 1,181$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.42 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed magic | 79c | 1,164$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.99 | 450 | 58.9%265 W · 185 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed TheMongolz | 40c | 1,145$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.32 | 463 | 45.6%211 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8718…5040backed TheMongolz | 72c | 1,127$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.88 | 86 | 70.9%61 W · 25 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed magic | 48c | 1,065$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.49 | 148 | 39.2%58 W · 90 L | -15.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…4df8backed magic | 48c | 1,040$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.2 | 183 | 56.3%103 W · 80 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked TheMongolz | 56c | 999.99$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 535 | 45%241 W · 294 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked TheMongolz | 78c | 994.85$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed TheMongolz | 76c | 847.2$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.33 | 388 | 68.3%265 W · 123 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked TheMongolz | 69c | 812.97$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.02 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed magic | 29c | 789$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.51 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed magic | 37c | 760.48$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.77 | 157 | 40.8%64 W · 93 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed TheMongolz | 29c | 754.35$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.23 | 573 | 22.3%128 W · 445 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e9…5ef8backed TheMongolz | 42c | 749.97$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.48 | 321 | 36.8%118 W · 203 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked TheMongolz | 19c | 739.52$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.21 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked TheMongolz | 50c | 724.47$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.93 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32f1…c96ebacked TheMongolz | 71c | 649.99$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.5 | 86 | 64%55 W · 31 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed magic | 31c | 647.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked TheMongolz | 56c | 640.01$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.64 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed TheMongolz | 60c | 634.18$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.08 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed magic | 44c | 616.17$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.1 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed magic | 23c | 609.1$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.92 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc011…0a62backed TheMongolz | 43c | 608.16$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.17 | 163 | 54%88 W · 75 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed magic | 31c | 601.57$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.29 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…dcb9backed TheMongolz | 33c | 600$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255f…cd91backed TheMongolz | 63c | 600$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 89 | 47.2%42 W · 47 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed magic | 35c | 600$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed TheMongolz | 65c | 600$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 461 | 49.9%230 W · 231 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e69…7f76backed TheMongolz | 35c | 599.94$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.96 | 323 | 46.1%149 W · 174 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12bc…bf2fbacked TheMongolz | 16c | 581.4$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.78 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6f…f0f0backed TheMongolz | 69c | 568.92$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.13 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ec…c574backed TheMongolz | 55c | 565.44$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.44 | 483 | 50.9%246 W · 237 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed TheMongolz | 65c | 553.64$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.07 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked TheMongolz | 50c | 542.46$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.81 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed magic | 42c | 518.11$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.27 | 196 | 58.2%114 W · 82 L | +11.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked TheMongolz | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 436 | 40.6%177 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2d…dd1ebacked TheMongolz | 76c | 500$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 399 | 70.7%282 W · 117 L | +38.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked TheMongolz | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66e5…d3c7backed TheMongolz | 33c | 445.45$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.45 | 233 | 54.9%128 W · 105 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed magic | 13c | 432.63$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.89 | 193 | 29%56 W · 137 L | -23.4wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed TheMongolz | 63c | 420.43$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.31 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed TheMongolz | 50c | 420$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.01 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked magic | 24c | 417$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.08 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf4…20b3backed TheMongolz | 49c | 411$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…f4e0backed magic | 41c | 400$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.75 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +147%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed magic | 24c | 399.96$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.14 | 608 | 38.2%232 W · 376 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b14…039bbacked TheMongolz | 69c | 398.72$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.16 | 118 | 71.2%84 W · 34 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…a496backed TheMongolz | 67c | 394.55$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.93 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17fe…b0cabacked TheMongolz | 48c | 392.81$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.81 | 158 | 38%60 W · 98 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…f4adbacked TheMongolz | 44c | 373.58$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.21 | 190 | 47.9%91 W · 99 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed magic | 32c | 370.99$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.97 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x495d…68d8backed TheMongolz | 80c | 368.75$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.75 | 175 | 54.9%96 W · 79 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked TheMongolz | 51c | 350.57$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.63 | 760 | 58%441 W · 319 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0136…8e5dbacked TheMongolz | 29c | 350$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.5 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x008b…c1cfbacked magic | 34c | 332$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.88 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked TheMongolz | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 314 | 51.6%162 W · 152 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x483a…01d6backed magic | 71c | 310.83$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.25 | 203 | 49.3%100 W · 103 L | -12.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed magic | 72c | 310$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b73…174ebacked TheMongolz | 34c | 304.31$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.89 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed TheMongolz | 29c | 300.04$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.65 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4dd…4f27backed TheMongolz | 69c | 300$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.45 | 509 | 47%239 W · 270 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04db…7703backed TheMongolz | 25c | 300$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 416 | 45.9%191 W · 225 L | +22.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b37…17bdbacked TheMongolz | 47c | 299.95$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.97 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 36cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed magic | 64c | 290$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.6 | 499 | 41.7%208 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked TheMongolz | 50c | 283.84$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.48 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbb…7e44backed TheMongolz | 52c | 280.35$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.35 | 128 | 71.9%92 W · 36 L | +16.8wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe2fe…695dbacked magic | 37c | 273.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 149 | 40.3%60 W · 89 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked TheMongolz | 46c | 273.09$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.27 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9227…7cedbacked TheMongolz | 42c | 271.05$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.21 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a1…d6ecbacked TheMongolz | 80c | 269.18$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.18 | 198 | 57.6%114 W · 84 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed magic | 27c | 266.41$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.35 | 559 | 50.3%281 W · 278 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb963…3fa0backed TheMongolz | 22c | 265.98$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.47 | 500 | 43%215 W · 285 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked TheMongolz | 76c | 262.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.64 | 250 | 70.8%177 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs magic - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group StageTheMongolz won
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs magic - Map 2 WinnerTheMongolz won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs magic (+1.5)TheMongolz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.