CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs magic (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ca4a5b831d13ffa84d05afc841d3c8165c4d53e315a55aa9e2d529181b7ad5b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TheMongolzof TheMongolz, magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,451
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,528
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,451 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7645…3117backed magic | 53c | 7,000$3,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,709.96 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63d4…a2f1backed TheMongolz | 47c | 4,784$2,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,535.43 | 182 | 54.9%100 W · 82 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked magic | 50c | 3,486$1,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,743.24 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked magic | 58c | 3,359$1,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,963.04 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed magic | 54c | 2,717$1,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,467.24 | 786 | 39.4%310 W · 476 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…d9dcbacked TheMongolz | 58c | 2,667$1,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,132.91 | 656 | 50.3%330 W · 326 L | -15.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf38…848bbacked TheMongolz | 55c | 2,443$1,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.43 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff4…d735backed TheMongolz | 8c | 2,372$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,172 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed magic | 53c | 2,264$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.92 | 602 | 48.7%293 W · 309 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed TheMongolz | 46c | 1,739$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.13 | 352 | 36.4%128 W · 224 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66ea…6791backed TheMongolz | 50c | 1,465$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.78 | 179 | 48%86 W · 93 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8976…7367backed TheMongolz | 38c | 1,448$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.69 | 156 | 48.1%75 W · 81 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked TheMongolz | 47c | 1,435$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.55 | 216 | 55.1%119 W · 97 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed magic | 48c | 1,200$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked magic | 54c | 1,150$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.99 | 193 | 46.1%89 W · 104 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8df…4b48backed TheMongolz | 50c | 1,007$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.57 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44dd…f476backed TheMongolz | 49c | 1,001$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.73 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed magic | 55c | 804.83$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442 | 267 | 43.1%115 W · 152 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed magic | 51c | 600$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89eb…cff9backed TheMongolz | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 364 | 50.3%183 W · 181 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5e…269bbacked TheMongolz | 47c | 600$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318 | 420 | 50%210 W · 210 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed TheMongolz | 44c | 594.13$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.71 | 287 | 38%109 W · 178 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f47…120dbacked TheMongolz | 50c | 590.89$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.45 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xace6…5556backed TheMongolz | 46c | 516.4$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.59 | 676 | 51.8%350 W · 326 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed TheMongolz | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9345…0afbbacked TheMongolz | 53c | 480.82$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.95 | 153 | 63.4%97 W · 56 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed TheMongolz | 46c | 474.88$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.08 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed TheMongolz | 48c | 472.07$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.84 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd2…1b21backed TheMongolz | 41c | 460$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.4 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed magic | 53c | 425$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.25 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked TheMongolz | 46c | 421.79$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.15 | 250 | 42.4%106 W · 144 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed TheMongolz | 47c | 338.94$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.94 | 474 | 47.5%225 W · 249 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b6…e762backed TheMongolz | 47c | 325$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.25 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed magic | 46c | 324.14$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.31 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed TheMongolz | 46c | 300$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…ec52backed TheMongolz | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 389 | 54.5%212 W · 177 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed magic | 56c | 300$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 250 | 45.2%113 W · 137 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed TheMongolz | 54c | 299.99$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…164bbacked TheMongolz | 49c | 289.18$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.05 | 334 | 59%197 W · 137 L | +24.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed magic | 53c | 288.57$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.32 | 154 | 36.4%56 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec10…ff8cbacked TheMongolz | 48c | 271.17$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4e…9516backed TheMongolz | 38c | 258.35$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39e4…f089backed TheMongolz | 48c | 247.65$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.25 | 321 | 38.3%123 W · 198 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…84ecbacked TheMongolz | 47c | 203.23$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.71 | 488 | 45.7%223 W · 265 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed TheMongolz | 45c | 200.55$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.3 | 406 | 39.4%160 W · 246 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed magic | 53c | 199.99$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 328 | 44.5%146 W · 182 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…1f6fbacked magic | 52c | 199.96$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.98 | 263 | 41.1%108 W · 155 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf29…834cbacked magic | 53c | 189$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.17 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e6…e722backed magic | 53c | 175.73$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.93 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed TheMongolz | 41c | 169.95$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.95 | 442 | 44.1%195 W · 247 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65c5…2862backed magic | 56c | 160.71$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | -7.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce5…a07fbacked magic | 48c | 144.1$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.59 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed TheMongolz | 45c | 132.87$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.08 | 482 | 40%193 W · 289 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf437…ff9bbacked TheMongolz | 46c | 130.43$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.43 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed magic | 54c | 122.9$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.37 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed magic | 51c | 117.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.45 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa175…5597backed TheMongolz | 46c | 113.07$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa92e…1160backed TheMongolz | 50c | 110$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 207 | 32.4%67 W · 140 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…6ac0backed TheMongolz | 47c | 110$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.3 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked magic | 54c | 106.3$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.4 | 359 | 47.9%172 W · 187 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3b…0cf9backed TheMongolz | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…97b4backed TheMongolz | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 471 | 65.2%307 W · 164 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…eb8ebacked TheMongolz | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 812 | 46.2%375 W · 437 L | -35.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked TheMongolz | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 251 | 43.8%110 W · 141 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed TheMongolz | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | -27.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed TheMongolz | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.41 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdf…6498backed magic | 50c | 99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +5.0wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed TheMongolz | 69c | 97.39$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.19 | 799 | 51.7%413 W · 386 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed magic | 53c | 96$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.88 | 388 | 48.5%188 W · 200 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac5d…7235backed magic | 55c | 90.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.55 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +6.8wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked magic | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed magic | 54c | 83.64$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.54 | 128 | 56.3%72 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x675c…4341backed TheMongolz | 47c | 82.06$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.49 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed TheMongolz | 46c | 79.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 932 | 61.7%575 W · 357 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf7…4b3abacked TheMongolz | 18c | 79.73$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.38 | 156 | 46.8%73 W · 83 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed TheMongolz | 46c | 77.38$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.79 | 635 | 41.1%261 W · 374 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf98b…57bbbacked TheMongolz | 42c | 72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.76 | 381 | 57.7%220 W · 161 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked TheMongolz | 46c | 66$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x989e…6529backed TheMongolz | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3c…a34abacked TheMongolz | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 264 | 43.2%114 W · 150 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c27…21a9backed magic | 54c | 61.52$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.22 | 231 | 58.4%135 W · 96 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2a…9ee3backed TheMongolz | 50c | 60.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.68 | 216 | 50.9%110 W · 106 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b51…9ea6backed TheMongolz | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6347…3047backed TheMongolz | 48c | 59.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.19 | 181 | 45.9%83 W · 98 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b1…b470backed TheMongolz | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fc…0ef5backed TheMongolz | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecd…3923backed TheMongolz | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked TheMongolz | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed magic | 45c | 50.79$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.89 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed TheMongolz | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 157 | 40.8%64 W · 93 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90a…f6b5backed TheMongolz | 41c | 47.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.95 | 121 | 65.3%79 W · 42 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked TheMongolz | 47c | 42.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.27 | 101 | 49.5%50 W · 51 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe479…70dfbacked TheMongolz | 50c | 40.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.02 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed magic | 51c | 39.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 445 | 52.4%233 W · 212 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked magic | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 169 | 46.2%78 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x901f…b8b0backed TheMongolz | 47c | 34.04$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.04 | 295 | 58.6%173 W · 122 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed TheMongolz | 33c | 32.95$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.09 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1288…d200backed TheMongolz | 71c | 32.64$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed TheMongolz | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 499 | 47.5%237 W · 262 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7344…98f6backed TheMongolz | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 180 | 43.3%78 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs magic (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group StageTheMongolz won
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs magic - Map 1 WinnerTheMongolz won
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs magic - Map 2 WinnerTheMongolz won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.