TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs magic (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
TheMongolzof TheMongolz, magic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$43,451
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$49,528

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,451 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7645…3117backed magic53c7,000$3,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,709.9671645.9%329 W · 387 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x63d4…a2f1backed TheMongolz47c4,784$2,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,535.4318254.9%100 W · 82 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked magic50c3,486$1,743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,743.2484454.3%458 W · 386 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked magic58c3,359$1,963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,963.043,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed magic54c2,717$1,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,467.2478639.4%310 W · 476 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe41f…d9dcbacked TheMongolz58c2,667$1,534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,132.9165650.3%330 W · 326 L-15.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf38…848bbacked TheMongolz55c2,443$1,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,099.4312950.4%65 W · 64 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ff4…d735backed TheMongolz8c2,372$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1724122%9 W · 32 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick16cpaid+15.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed magic53c2,264$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.9260248.7%293 W · 309 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed TheMongolz46c1,739$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$939.1335236.4%128 W · 224 L-1.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66ea…6791backed TheMongolz50c1,465$729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$735.7817948%86 W · 93 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8976…7367backed TheMongolz38c1,448$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$897.6915648.1%75 W · 81 L+10.0wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+9.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked TheMongolz47c1,435$674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$760.5521655.1%119 W · 97 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed magic48c1,200$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5762,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked magic54c1,150$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$620.9919346.1%89 W · 104 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8df…4b48backed TheMongolz50c1,007$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.572552%13 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44dd…f476backed TheMongolz49c1,001$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.732951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed magic55c804.83$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44226743.1%115 W · 152 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed magic51c600$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3061,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89eb…cff9backed TheMongolz50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30036450.3%183 W · 181 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c5e…269bbacked TheMongolz47c600$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31842050%210 W · 210 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed TheMongolz44c594.13$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.7128738%109 W · 178 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f47…120dbacked TheMongolz50c590.89$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.456744.8%30 W · 37 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-23.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xace6…5556backed TheMongolz46c516.4$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.5967651.8%350 W · 326 L+2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8052…1124backed TheMongolz46c500$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27014454.2%78 W · 66 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9345…0afbbacked TheMongolz53c480.82$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.9515363.4%97 W · 56 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed TheMongolz46c474.88$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.081,27821.9%280 W · 998 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed TheMongolz48c472.07$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.841,03839.9%414 W · 624 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd2…1b21backed TheMongolz41c460$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.42744.4%12 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed magic53c425$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.254156.1%23 W · 18 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x021a…d3aebacked TheMongolz46c421.79$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.1525042.4%106 W · 144 L+0.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed TheMongolz47c338.94$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.9447447.5%225 W · 249 L-12.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5b6…e762backed TheMongolz47c325$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.255244.2%23 W · 29 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-24.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed magic46c324.14$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.311,08150.9%550 W · 531 L+37.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed TheMongolz46c300$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16210546.7%49 W · 56 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d40…ec52backed TheMongolz53c300$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14138954.5%212 W · 177 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b38…4d61backed magic56c300$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16825045.2%113 W · 137 L-1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed TheMongolz54c299.99$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1381,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x04a7…164bbacked TheMongolz49c289.18$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.0533459%197 W · 137 L+24.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+17.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed magic53c288.57$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.3215436.4%56 W · 98 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec10…ff8cbacked TheMongolz48c271.17$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.17450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4e…9516backed TheMongolz38c258.35$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.18450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39e4…f089backed TheMongolz48c247.65$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.2532138.3%123 W · 198 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe601…84ecbacked TheMongolz47c203.23$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.7148845.7%223 W · 265 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bac…d241backed TheMongolz45c200.55$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.340639.4%160 W · 246 L-1.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe463…f7b2backed magic53c199.99$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10632844.5%146 W · 182 L-0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe337…1f6fbacked magic52c199.96$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.9826341.1%108 W · 155 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf29…834cbacked magic53c189$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.177051.4%36 W · 34 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86e6…e722backed magic53c175.73$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.9326245.8%120 W · 142 L-11.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe9b…cbe5backed TheMongolz41c169.95$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.9544244.1%195 W · 247 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x65c5…2862backed magic56c160.71$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$909046.7%42 W · 48 L-7.6wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-17.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2ce5…a07fbacked magic48c144.1$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.591936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-36.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed TheMongolz45c132.87$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.0848240%193 W · 289 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf437…ff9bbacked TheMongolz46c130.43$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.4329052.4%152 W · 138 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe062…4907backed magic54c122.9$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.379240.2%37 W · 55 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed magic51c117.43$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.457944.3%35 W · 44 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa175…5597backed TheMongolz46c113.07$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.06333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa92e…1160backed TheMongolz50c110$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5520732.4%67 W · 140 L-11.2wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-23.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0ee5…6ac0backed TheMongolz47c110$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.39252.2%48 W · 44 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c98…186dbacked magic54c106.3$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.435947.9%172 W · 187 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f3b…0cf9backed TheMongolz49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.045959.3%35 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0c8…97b4backed TheMongolz47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5347165.2%307 W · 164 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d61…eb8ebacked TheMongolz46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5481246.2%375 W · 437 L-35.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked TheMongolz46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5425143.8%110 W · 141 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed TheMongolz52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4852449%257 W · 267 L-27.7wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed TheMongolz76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.411,36566.3%905 W · 460 L+76.1wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1cdf…6498backed magic50c99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.52962.1%18 W · 11 L+5.0wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+29.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed TheMongolz69c97.39$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.1979951.7%413 W · 386 L+25.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed magic53c96$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.8838848.5%188 W · 200 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac5d…7235backed magic55c90.09$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.554165.9%27 W · 14 L+6.8wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+25.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3a0e…b0babacked magic56c89.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509445.7%43 W · 51 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed magic54c83.64$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.5412856.3%72 W · 56 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x675c…4341backed TheMongolz47c82.06$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.4918748.1%90 W · 97 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2ae…0864backed TheMongolz46c79.99$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.593261.7%575 W · 357 L-4.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cf7…4b3abacked TheMongolz18c79.73$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.3815646.8%73 W · 83 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fcd…42f2backed TheMongolz46c77.38$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.7963541.1%261 W · 374 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf98b…57bbbacked TheMongolz42c72$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.7638157.7%220 W · 161 L-1.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked TheMongolz46c66$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.6454348.6%264 W · 279 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x989e…6529backed TheMongolz47c63.83$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.8313040%52 W · 78 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b3c…a34abacked TheMongolz47c63.83$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.8326443.2%114 W · 150 L-10.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c27…21a9backed magic54c61.52$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.2223158.4%135 W · 96 L-1.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d2a…9ee3backed TheMongolz50c60.75$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.6821650.9%110 W · 106 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b51…9ea6backed TheMongolz47c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.819053.2%101 W · 89 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6347…3047backed TheMongolz48c59.99$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.1918145.9%83 W · 98 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41b1…b470backed TheMongolz46c54.35$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.354436.4%16 W · 28 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-20.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe0fc…0ef5backed TheMongolz47c53.19$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.198359%49 W · 34 L+6.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4ecd…3923backed TheMongolz48c52.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.082055%11 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked TheMongolz49c51.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.029758.8%57 W · 40 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed magic45c50.79$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.891,00355.7%559 W · 444 L+24.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed TheMongolz46c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2715740.8%64 W · 93 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe90a…f6b5backed TheMongolz41c47.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.9512165.3%79 W · 42 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b0b…12ffbacked TheMongolz47c42.02$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.2710149.5%50 W · 51 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe479…70dfbacked TheMongolz50c40.02$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.022740.7%11 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe026…0404backed magic51c39.19$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9944552.4%233 W · 212 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa820…2dcebacked magic55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2016946.2%78 W · 91 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x901f…b8b0backed TheMongolz47c34.04$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.0429558.6%173 W · 122 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed TheMongolz33c32.95$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.092,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x1288…d200backed TheMongolz71c32.64$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.391060%6 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93dc…3728backed TheMongolz46c32.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6149947.5%237 W · 262 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7344…98f6backed TheMongolz46c32.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6118043.3%78 W · 102 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.