TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1c5e…269b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
449
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Valorant, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 52 out of 100; worst Lol at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT42050%210 W · 210 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 420 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,069Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,068.99
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$348Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$273.19
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+80.4%+$482.19
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FURIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$615Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$614.99
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5)backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$459.99
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$230
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FaZe (+1.5)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$714Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$714
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs TheMongolz (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$158.93
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs magic (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs magic (+1.5)backed magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$28.57
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$152.09
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$212.96
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NIP (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$170.2
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$302.37
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs PARIVISION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$315
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$156
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Lynn Vision (+1.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$96
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$126.32
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+39.3%+$78.67
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$137.12
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$301.75
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Vitality (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Map Handicap: IMP (-1.5) vs Isurus (+1.5)backed Imperial · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$183.99
Showing 25 of 420 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+64.6%+$193.83
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$216.67
France vs. England: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+53.9%+$107.86
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+61.9%+$123.89
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$402Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+37%+$148.5
Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$75.44
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$191.8
Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$38.82
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 16 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$308Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$308
LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$499Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$361.19
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$320
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffsbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$400.4
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.76
LoL: Natus Vincere vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Group Stagebacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
LoL: SK Gaming vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Group Stagebacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$293.63
LoL: Team Heretics vs SK Gaming (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$324Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+85.2%+$276.4
LoL: SK Gaming vs Fnatic (BO1)backed SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+263.5%+$790.41
All 10 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+23.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.