TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
9zof FURIA, 9z
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$85,536
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$89,060

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,536 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf559…f462backed 9z64c38,301$24,684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,61719055.8%106 W · 84 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked FURIA35c17,002$5,936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,935.531,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88d1…18dabacked 9z65c15,500$10,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,424.922354.7%122 W · 101 L-9.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked FURIA36c12,160$4,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,377.636152.6%190 W · 171 L+13.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked FURIA35c10,241$3,584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,584.3575652.6%398 W · 358 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked FURIA39c9,603$3,711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,711.465,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0224…292abacked 9z61c4,713$2,857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,855.331361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+15%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked FURIA35c4,322$1,513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,512.732552.6%171 W · 154 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed FURIA35c4,000$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40061948%297 W · 322 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked 9z61c3,493$2,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,367.971,49651.5%771 W · 725 L-7.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed FURIA36c3,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,08078639.4%310 W · 476 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked 9z53c2,615$1,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,225.0716142.9%69 W · 92 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed FURIA41c2,161$888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$887.611,40738.9%547 W · 860 L-41.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2316…9819backed FURIA36c1,943$699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.482748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed FURIA38c1,840$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.22,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dcd…5ef7backed 9z65c1,301$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.3930153.8%162 W · 139 L-1.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed FURIA39c1,053$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.512,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed FURIA39c1,026$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40059755.4%331 W · 266 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe738…df65backed FURIA36c999.98$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.9914950.3%75 W · 74 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbadb…31a7backed 9z62c999.15$619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.6812344.7%55 W · 68 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked 9z62c999$619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.621,14449.4%565 W · 579 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8be4…a700backed 9z62c980$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.45253.8%28 W · 24 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-15.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf84d…8830backed FURIA35c857.14$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006663.6%42 W · 24 L+7.8wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+22.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1448…e868backed FURIA36c727.36$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.217138%27 W · 44 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeffb…4fb5backed 9z64c625$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2254057.5%23 W · 17 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked 9z60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20039548.6%192 W · 203 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbaf…2a03backed 9z64c500$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18011341.6%47 W · 66 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick37cpaid-2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3724…69b5backed 9z66c466.67$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.677943%34 W · 45 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f88…c6e8backed 9z50c460.01$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.599033.3%30 W · 60 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed FURIA49c437$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.442,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc51f…5dc6backed 9z64c414.06$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.0613454.5%73 W · 61 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbbb…3df5backed 9z66c400$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13610148.5%49 W · 52 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e48…6158backed 9z64c400$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14438052.6%200 W · 180 L+0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc57…2b3cbacked 9z65c386.93$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.9314659.6%87 W · 59 L+8.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1c5e…269bbacked 9z61c351.6$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.1242050%210 W · 210 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1769…94efbacked FURIA35c350$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12491648.9%448 W · 468 L+4.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked 9z63c335$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.41,15748.2%558 W · 599 L+3.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c0b…f0fbbacked 9z61c333$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.871145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83c4…3212backed 9z62c322.58$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.5831761.2%194 W · 123 L+22.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+11.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe41c…afabbacked 9z64c304.7$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.6949651.2%254 W · 242 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed FURIA37c300.91$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.3499148.3%479 W · 512 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked FURIA42c282$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.22,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked FURIA37c281.3$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.0848948.9%239 W · 250 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47c2…d39ebacked FURIA36c277.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1e7…f2e5backed FURIA36c276.94$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$992646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2396…9485backed 9z65c274.77$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.172934.5%10 W · 19 L-5.1wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-36.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x584f…54b9backed FURIA36c264.06$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.0612259%72 W · 50 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick60cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5519…f7e1backed 9z57c244.67$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.555463%34 W · 20 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed 9z63c238.26$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.2621263.7%135 W · 77 L-0.5wins0.00per pick64cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e9e…b513backed FURIA43c234.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002969%20 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed FURIA36c222$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.9216945%76 W · 93 L+10.0wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+0.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa533…acacbacked 9z66c200.88$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.323858.4%139 W · 99 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3da6…9ac4backed 9z62c200$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$761266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+68%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa7cc…644ebacked 9z61c190.86$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.34450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8037…04fabacked 9z65c184.22$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.488048.8%39 W · 41 L-9.2wins-0.12per pick60cpaid-24.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8d19…e27cbacked 9z60c171.55$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.778159.3%48 W · 33 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xca4e…38d3backed 9z64c160$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.61566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked FURIA39c154.92$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.571,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed FURIA35c151.7$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.132344.3%143 W · 180 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed 9z60c129.83$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.491,36566.3%905 W · 460 L+76.1wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e47…bdbfbacked FURIA58c128.2$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.3638469.5%267 W · 117 L+31.6wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed FURIA39c110$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.965946.6%307 W · 352 L+12.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09f3…40f4backed 9z38c107.2$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.462133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.8wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-37.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked 9z38c104.42$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.041,65032.7%540 W · 1,110 L-49.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8059…5addbacked 9z63c103.14$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.728662.8%54 W · 32 L+11.6wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+18.7%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x1c47…2e55backed FURIA48c103.07$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.4724047.9%115 W · 125 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1c62…ca89backed FURIA38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384055%22 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb53…2860backed 9z61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397925.3%20 W · 59 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked FURIA36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.1972353.5%387 W · 336 L+28.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6cd3…226ebacked FURIA39c86.66$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.8737922.2%84 W · 295 L-43.1wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-47.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x203a…935fbacked 9z62c80.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.6528454.9%156 W · 128 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed FURIA36c80.24$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1613050.8%66 W · 64 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3e…7befbacked 9z63c80$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.618950.8%96 W · 93 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c64…89babacked 9z36c76.55$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2334542.3%146 W · 199 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a7e…9dc6backed FURIA39c66$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.7420755.1%114 W · 93 L+11.2wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b49…ac0bbacked FURIA46c65.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-31.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x72d0…c89bbacked 9z65c63.66$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.332846.4%13 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe549…ea83backed 9z65c63.21$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.2132561.2%199 W · 126 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdfb…9680backed 9z64c60.94$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.941369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed FURIA37c57.37$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2367750.2%340 W · 337 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59eb…ae8cbacked FURIA43c52.94$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.763745.9%17 W · 20 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+21.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4223…42c7backed 9z78c52$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.672975.9%22 W · 7 L+7.2wins+0.25per pick51cpaid+47.6%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x850b…5493backed FURIA35c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.52050%10 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x089c…33dabacked 9z63c50$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.522455.8%125 W · 99 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe53b…fe03backed FURIA64c47.24$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2341372.2%298 W · 115 L+25.0wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+9.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfce8…2686backed 9z64c46.88$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8823963.2%151 W · 88 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed FURIA36c45$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.232554.8%178 W · 147 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed FURIA27c40$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.868659.5%408 W · 278 L+65.9wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+13.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5d1f…1e14backed FURIA40c39.9$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9619453.6%104 W · 90 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1fd…10ccbacked FURIA39c39.9$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5615469.5%107 W · 47 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6628…3d33backed FURIA63c39.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9942274.2%313 W · 109 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick71cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e8e…c937backed 9z64c39.06$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.06540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-27.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde36…f41cbacked FURIA38c35.37$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3811250%56 W · 56 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed 9z63c32.02$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.851,84847.6%879 W · 969 L-55.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd8ef…f7a1backed FURIA36c31.58$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3713358.6%78 W · 55 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd8fe…ba40backed 9z62c30$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.422060.9%134 W · 86 L+16.0wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xbd30…9a01backed FURIA53c28.02$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8528761.3%176 W · 111 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0003…9492backed FURIA48c24.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129255.4%51 W · 41 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb05a…abdebacked FURIA48c24.91$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.969552.6%50 W · 45 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x497e…a18abacked 9z64c23.44$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.446958%40 W · 29 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.