TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
FURIAof FURIA, 9z
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,483,616
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,683,872

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,483,616 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 723 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1610…ae49backed 9z32c111,862$35,247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,246.8113548.9%66 W · 69 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+5.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x79ae…9a4abacked 9z36c91,546$32,956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,956.4414145.4%64 W · 77 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x73e3…1be9backed FURIA64c50,000$32,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,00020153.7%108 W · 93 L+9.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked FURIA63c43,609$27,614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,994.191,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc64f…e677backed 9z36c40,000$14,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,399.96540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-31.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed 9z33c31,004$10,174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,174.3910747.7%51 W · 56 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked 9z36c30,856$10,965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,964.9647836.8%176 W · 302 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07b1…6dfcbacked FURIA65c30,000$19,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,499.931844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked FURIA64c27,784$17,891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,893.095,02855%2,763 W · 2,265 L+112.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed 9z18c26,320$4,617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,616.921,39638.9%543 W · 853 L-41.2wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed FURIA64c24,552$15,738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,814.6467645%304 W · 372 L-24.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd30…f316backed FURIA64c24,453$15,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,803.0212249.2%60 W · 62 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked FURIA58c21,289$12,349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,939.5775452.7%397 W · 357 L+27.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed FURIA63c20,250$12,681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,568.76152.5%32 W · 29 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed FURIA74c20,000$14,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,20060853.3%324 W · 284 L+20.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf559…f462backed 9z35c18,213$6,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,374.5719055.8%106 W · 84 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed 9z39c17,395$6,778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,778.1541649.8%207 W · 209 L+19.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9c4…7433backed FURIA64c16,493$10,516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,977.3313244.7%59 W · 73 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9166…b479backed 9z40c16,420$6,565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,564.5410749.5%53 W · 54 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked FURIA80c15,000$11,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,002.818964%57 W · 32 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick61cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd63…050fbacked 9z13c15,000$1,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9503050%15 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x689f…259cbacked 9z23c14,298$3,249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,249.293023.3%7 W · 23 L-5.2wins-0.17per pick41cpaid-39%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed FURIA65c13,000$8,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,61566551.9%345 W · 320 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9d6…730abacked FURIA61c11,938$7,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,695.979565.3%62 W · 33 L+9.0wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x495d…68d8backed 9z33c11,697$3,898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,897.9217554.9%96 W · 79 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa931…1387backed 9z35c11,429$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,000742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked 9z38c11,075$4,181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,181.441,00752.4%528 W · 479 L+27.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed FURIA64c10,000$6,387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,612.6750054.4%272 W · 228 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked FURIA64c10,000$6,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,60036152.6%190 W · 171 L+13.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed FURIA64c9,723$6,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,500.2835153.8%189 W · 162 L+12.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d83…d89cbacked FURIA65c9,207$5,985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,222.485451.9%28 W · 26 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+19.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf177…5f6abacked FURIA66c9,199$6,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,127.692060%12 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+25.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked FURIA58c8,722$5,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,630.2232552.6%171 W · 154 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked 9z17c7,862$1,373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,372.882,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c71…c0e5backed 9z19c7,629$1,432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,432.2336146.8%169 W · 192 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed FURIA65c7,367$4,783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,584.1484658.4%494 W · 352 L+60.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x10d7…bbf6backed FURIA80c7,210$5,738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,472.6319468.6%133 W · 61 L+25.9wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+12.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed FURIA60c6,984$4,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,80142142%177 W · 244 L+0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed 9z37c6,757$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50019455.2%107 W · 87 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb218…ad30backed 9z39c6,663$2,596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,595.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed 9z34c6,600$2,244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2441662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.18per pick44cpaid+29%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x19ae…395cbacked 9z37c6,286$2,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,327.8223938.5%92 W · 147 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed FURIA62c6,187$3,807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,379.942,61051.7%1,349 W · 1,261 L+16.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50f9…c327backed 9z41c5,703$2,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,35017761%108 W · 69 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8adb…e4f6backed 9z37c5,412$1,989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,988.7929449.3%145 W · 149 L-10.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1bcd…0a69backed 9z37c5,399$1,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,997.569047.8%43 W · 47 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked 9z29c5,308$1,552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,552.41,15448.3%557 W · 597 L+4.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x508a…b337backed FURIA64c5,192$3,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,869.12475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+20.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcaf…e271backed FURIA63c5,023$3,164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,859.0337946.4%176 W · 203 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e04…28a9backed FURIA58c5,000$2,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,09036645.4%166 W · 200 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed 9z40c5,000$2,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,019.9926952.8%142 W · 127 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa103…1c14backed 9z35c4,861$1,716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,715.84650%23 W · 23 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf148…0b4fbacked 9z42c4,794$2,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,013.3816946.7%79 W · 90 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf679…2d3dbacked 9z17c4,793$796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$795.7436440.1%146 W · 218 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-21.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked FURIA75c4,431$3,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,086.291,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33d5…0d68backed FURIA61c4,330$2,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,704.96366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked 9z30c4,299$1,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2891,62144.8%726 W · 895 L+3.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked FURIA65c4,245$2,738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,506.144657.2%255 W · 191 L-20.6wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-5.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed FURIA73c4,168$3,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,136.9887047.9%417 W · 453 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0562…18a4backed 9z36c4,117$1,482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,481.9620448.5%99 W · 105 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8b8…ef79backed 9z17c4,091$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702.871618.8%3 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick23cpaid+20.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ee5…e798backed 9z26c4,036$1,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,03518837.2%70 W · 118 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed FURIA66c4,000$2,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,359.9971645.9%329 W · 387 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd47c…39b5backed 9z38c3,881$1,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,470.615054%27 W · 23 L+6.0wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+25.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0724…9091backed 9z34c3,840$1,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,315.142142.9%9 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+18.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed 9z35c3,804$1,338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,337.9738841.8%162 W · 226 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a2b…9e83backed FURIA60c3,619$2,164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,454.734553.3%24 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3705…9677backed 9z37c3,506$1,297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,297.233033.3%10 W · 20 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6dcd…5ef7backed 9z38c3,422$1,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,284.8730153.8%162 W · 139 L-1.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed FURIA65c3,413$2,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,207.7125255.6%140 W · 112 L+18.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+14.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0c7b…6e9dbacked FURIA61c3,253$1,984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,268.5518444%81 W · 103 L-9.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-20.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed FURIA65c3,089$2,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0851,08050.9%550 W · 530 L+38.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9b2…8e7dbacked 9z38c3,067$1,172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,172.3214247.2%67 W · 75 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed FURIA65c3,024$1,956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,068.281,60552.6%845 W · 760 L+57.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeac2…dddcbacked 9z36c3,008$1,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,082.953729.7%11 W · 26 L-5.1wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-35.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed FURIA65c3,000$1,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,05078639.4%310 W · 476 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed FURIA63c3,000$1,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,11088746.7%414 W · 473 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed FURIA61c3,000$1,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,170.0430340.3%122 W · 181 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xed31…d9c8backed 9z29c2,938$866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$866.2937440.4%151 W · 223 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6340…e272backed 9z39c2,882$1,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,112.64825%2 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-50.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked FURIA60c2,808$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,128.6881751.7%422 W · 395 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c2b…825ebacked 9z12c2,710$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33013151.1%67 W · 64 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed 9z33c2,501$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$825.4775350.5%380 W · 373 L+16.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked FURIA64c2,500$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9007850%39 W · 39 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked FURIA60c2,491$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991.4727452.9%145 W · 129 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed 9z21c2,460$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.932,30945.1%1,041 W · 1,268 L-62.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22f6…eb09backed FURIA61c2,420$1,481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$939.057844.9%35 W · 43 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2687…1363backed FURIA78c2,414$1,879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.6238868.3%265 W · 123 L+25.7wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+3.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3b89…1069backed FURIA57c2,400$1,373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,027.28752.9%46 W · 41 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…a742backed FURIA80c2,363$1,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.616950.9%86 W · 83 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d76…1298backed FURIA61c2,300$1,403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$896.991361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick57cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4adf…d623backed FURIA77c2,281$1,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.266173.8%45 W · 16 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick65cpaid+12.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2bc6…315dbacked FURIA60c2,208$1,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$880.191546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-13.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked FURIA71c2,106$1,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607.8940253.7%216 W · 186 L+25.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed 9z25c2,100$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5265,81037.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L+78.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7819…bdb0backed 9z40c2,085$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$840.341338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.20per pick59cpaid-40.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc865…2f6ebacked 9z35c2,085$723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723.095425.9%14 W · 40 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-41.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb552…b70cbacked 9z32c2,083$667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666.664240.5%17 W · 25 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-17%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc800…4117backed FURIA79c2,058$1,626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.189728.9%28 W · 69 L-10.3wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-36.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked FURIA76c2,000$1,513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.221,76859.2%1,047 W · 721 L+105.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.