CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1eb12e72f33fa34674b70cb4c4f83639ee0cfee586495b73829c9a3e03d4fb1a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,064
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,556
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,064 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf559…f462backed Over | 48c | 12,520$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,519.51 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 52c | 10,999$5,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,700.79 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 610 | 47.7%291 W · 319 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…3c32backed Over | 49c | 1,023$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.29 | 190 | 61.6%117 W · 73 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Under | 53c | 920.95$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.71 | 1,476 | 51.8%765 W · 711 L | -4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6da…fb9abacked Over | 49c | 780.45$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.03 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 60c | 707.87$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.17 | 1,396 | 38.9%543 W · 853 L | -41.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 37c | 643.49$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.4 | 676 | 45%304 W · 372 L | -24.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 52c | 610.3$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.46 | 270 | 45.9%124 W · 146 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94cb…64e3backed Over | 46c | 541.02$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.15 | 158 | 38%60 W · 98 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf07b…def2backed Under | 54c | 361.67$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2316…9819backed Under | 52c | 354.38$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.28 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Over | 48c | 250.39$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.2 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -5.1wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 52c | 228.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.96 | 2,599 | 47.8%1,242 W · 1,357 L | -30.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b0…b4d1backed Under | 54c | 222.22$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 258 | 51.9%134 W · 124 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb64d…7392backed Over | 47c | 212.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.87 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 56c | 191.14$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.92 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Under | 64c | 179.73$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.7 | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 32c | 179.38$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.1 | 789 | 52%410 W · 379 L | +26.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Under | 54c | 150$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Over | 30c | 128.97$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.92 | 349 | 41.5%145 W · 204 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e47…bdbfbacked Under | 61c | 122.95$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 382 | 69.4%265 W · 117 L | +30.8wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9674…1302backed Over | 47c | 107$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.71 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 21c | 101.52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.97 | 735 | 48.4%356 W · 379 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc562…41e0backed Over | 47c | 84.64$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96d6…0c2abacked Over | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 110 | 32.7%36 W · 74 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Under | 55c | 73.69$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Under | 55c | 73.64$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c94…1b47backed Under | 53c | 61.7$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 43c | 58.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 3,415 | 29.3%1,001 W · 2,414 L | -275.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa108…573ebacked Over | 48c | 51$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 132 | 45.5%60 W · 72 L | -8.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe53b…fe03backed Under | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 409 | 71.9%294 W · 115 L | +23.6wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f88…c6e8backed Under | 54c | 45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 90 | 33.3%30 W · 60 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd374…9d82backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Over | 69c | 40.52$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.52 | 680 | 59.3%403 W · 277 L | +64.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed Over | 30c | 39.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 216 | 52.8%114 W · 102 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Over | 49c | 37.78$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.27 | 1,606 | 46.8%752 W · 854 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 46c | 32.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.66 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf2…15adbacked Over | 48c | 30.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.87 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd30…9a01backed Under | 56c | 26.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 285 | 61.1%174 W · 111 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1761…2969backed Over | 73c | 21.75$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.87 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70a0…2dc3backed Over | 46c | 21.74$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 176 | 26.1%46 W · 130 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed Under | 58c | 21.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 607 | 53.9%327 W · 280 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f21…8af5backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe36d…783ebacked Under | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group DFURIA won
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z - Map 1 WinnerFURIA won
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z - Map 2 Winner9z won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs 9z (+3.5)9z won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)9z won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.