TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs magic (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
FUT Esportsof FUT Esports, magic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,697,416
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,040,870

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,697,416 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 794 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcd30…f316backed magic35c204,177$71,462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71,461.9612348.8%60 W · 63 L+6.5wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed magic58c124,085$71,562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71,562.3925355.7%141 W · 112 L+19.4wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf177…5f6abacked FUT Esports41c94,188$38,617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55,571.062060%12 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+25.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1610…ae49backed FUT Esports54c75,000$40,715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,284.4913548.9%66 W · 69 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+5.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e52…eb43backed FUT Esports64c70,653$45,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,605.153666.7%24 W · 12 L+4.6wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+24.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x73e3…1be9backed FUT Esports65c70,000$45,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,499.9920354.2%110 W · 93 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd66…664fbacked FUT Esports65c61,209$39,786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,422.9938358.7%225 W · 158 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked magic35c50,019$17,697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,696.945,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed magic54c49,619$26,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,569.751,40738.9%547 W · 860 L-41.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf559…f462backed magic34c49,323$17,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,00019055.8%106 W · 84 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79ae…9a4abacked FUT Esports65c34,905$22,805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,099.7514145.4%64 W · 77 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked FUT Esports64c29,823$19,087 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,736.2875652.6%398 W · 358 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x088b…21ccbacked FUT Esports65c28,308$18,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,907.69650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+56.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x994e…6136backed FUT Esports60c25,317$15,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,084.23250%16 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1f3…5402backed FUT Esports44c23,759$10,431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,328.292650%13 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed magic45c21,668$9,739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,738.882,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8813…47e6backed FUT Esports42c16,191$6,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,470.546560%39 W · 26 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked magic47c15,557$7,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,290.791,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa103…1c14backed magic41c15,000$6,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,149.974650%23 W · 23 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a0…4469backed FUT Esports65c14,777$9,605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,171.9514759.2%87 W · 60 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9d6…730abacked FUT Esports47c13,563$6,309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,254.159565.3%62 W · 33 L+9.0wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed FUT Esports58c13,115$7,557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,557.7310946.8%51 W · 58 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89a6…429abacked magic49c12,586$6,191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,190.871861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked magic35c12,000$4,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,199.9836152.6%190 W · 171 L+13.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed magic58c12,000$7,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,009.9664552.9%341 W · 304 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e5e…7315backed FUT Esports70c11,852$8,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,501.1822943.7%100 W · 129 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed magic34c11,627$3,953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,953.16152.5%32 W · 29 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed FUT Esports63c11,555$7,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,260.1217062.9%107 W · 63 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed magic34c11,100$3,737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,737.1857641.1%237 W · 339 L-21.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked magic45c10,302$4,671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,670.821,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed magic34c10,000$3,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,399.9960853.3%324 W · 284 L+20.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x19ae…395cbacked magic26c9,962$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,60024038.3%92 W · 148 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed magic31c9,560$3,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,010.2587047.9%417 W · 453 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed FUT Esports65c9,247$6,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,236.611662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.18per pick44cpaid+29%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed FUT Esports56c8,484$4,768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,716.5942142%177 W · 244 L+0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed magic54c8,334$4,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,495.7888746.7%414 W · 473 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88d1…18dabacked FUT Esports43c7,907$3,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,506.9822354.7%122 W · 101 L-9.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked magic35c7,777$2,722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,721.9218550.8%94 W · 91 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed FUT Esports51c7,769$3,964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,805.112,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3724…69b5backed FUT Esports63c7,557$4,761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,796.147943%34 W · 45 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35f8…daa1backed FUT Esports66c7,500$4,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,550650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked magic28c7,464$2,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,111.071,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b89…1069backed FUT Esports59c6,990$4,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,876.128752.9%46 W · 41 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f0e…0200backed FUT Esports60c6,536$3,933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,602.861758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93c1…f7c4backed FUT Esports62c6,505$4,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,471.971127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-53.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x609d…3fa9backed FUT Esports61c6,453$3,935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,518.39963.6%63 W · 36 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed magic34c6,118$2,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0801,62052.7%853 W · 767 L+57.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x21d6…86fdbacked magic59c6,080$3,587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,587.194257.1%24 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb68…a240backed magic34c6,000$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,039.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed FUT Esports73c5,612$4,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,523.3369445%312 W · 382 L-24.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ca2…3ff2backed FUT Esports76c5,415$4,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,315.12580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+49.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xae2b…9cc3backed magic59c5,068$2,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,990.1121854.1%118 W · 100 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8adb…e4f6backed FUT Esports66c5,000$3,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,70029449.3%145 W · 149 L-10.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8853…c058backed FUT Esports41c5,000$2,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,950666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+39.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdcaf…e271backed FUT Esports66c5,000$3,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,703.337946.4%176 W · 203 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2d0…7bbfbacked FUT Esports43c4,987$2,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,842.596036.7%22 W · 38 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed magic35c4,595$1,608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,608.1426952.8%142 W · 127 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0385…acafbacked magic35c4,500$1,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,574.991346.2%6 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10d7…bbf6backed FUT Esports80c4,370$3,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$874.3319468.6%133 W · 61 L+25.9wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+12.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked FUT Esports64c4,341$2,784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,556.8844957.5%258 W · 191 L-19.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-5.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb29…947abacked FUT Esports65c4,300$2,795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,504.972100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+85.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed magic30c4,226$1,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,272.342,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb93b…4208backed FUT Esports53c3,700$1,979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,720.9924339.5%96 W · 147 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e77…6d85backed FUT Esports53c3,688$1,955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,733.43875%6 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+47.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed FUT Esports41c3,659$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,158.5411540.9%47 W · 68 L-13.1wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-27.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed magic24c3,608$851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$850.8961034.3%209 W · 401 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed magic59c3,600$2,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,11612055%66 W · 54 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x568b…4727backed magic60c3,421$2,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,064.832864.3%18 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+21.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked FUT Esports59c3,394$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,394.4281751.7%422 W · 395 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebb4…1374backed FUT Esports42c3,391$1,441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,950.348951.7%46 W · 43 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked FUT Esports66c3,184$2,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,082.561,49651.5%771 W · 725 L-7.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked FUT Esports60c3,083$1,838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,244.691,15748.2%558 W · 599 L+3.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed magic30c3,017$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900.1119949.7%99 W · 100 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+14.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked FUT Esports65c3,000$1,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0508051.3%41 W · 39 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d76…1298backed FUT Esports63c3,000$1,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1101361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick57cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked magic43c2,938$1,253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,25352837.1%196 W · 332 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked magic43c2,935$1,249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,248.761,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf148…0b4fbacked magic38c2,895$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10016946.7%79 W · 90 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed magic35c2,857$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.9959755.4%331 W · 266 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefbc…b344backed magic31c2,800$875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$875.2640542%170 W · 235 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5be5…2d9abacked FUT Esports65c2,792$1,815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$977.24450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9572…efffbacked magic15c2,784$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.2322241.4%92 W · 130 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9c4…7433backed FUT Esports65c2,769$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$969.1513244.7%59 W · 73 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b8e…ea9dbacked magic1c2,618$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.62466.7%16 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0af2…a2bbbacked FUT Esports65c2,592$1,685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$907.24348.8%21 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae63…6e0cbacked FUT Esports65c2,551$1,658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$892.8520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-69.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4097…9397backed FUT Esports53c2,550$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,199.753551.4%18 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7353…b476backed FUT Esports50c2,515$1,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,249.829246.7%43 W · 49 L-0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed magic35c2,461$854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$854.238841.8%162 W · 226 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked FUT Esports66c2,380$1,571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809.25567.3%37 W · 18 L+7.0wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+25.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe46d…7e4dbacked FUT Esports41c2,362$968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,393.431952.6%10 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed magic36c2,338$842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841.788242.3%373 W · 509 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked FUT Esports43c2,326$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,325.5832348.9%158 W · 165 L-11.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7fca…6ac3backed magic40c2,314$916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$915.964643.5%20 W · 26 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8400…274cbacked FUT Esports65c2,308$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$807.695658.9%33 W · 23 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed magic37c2,300$851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$850.991,41133.7%475 W · 936 L+42.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked magic16c2,294$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.7840253.7%216 W · 186 L+25.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x415a…cea5backed FUT Esports65c2,271$1,476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$794.971464.3%9 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick65cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x547f…2937backed FUT Esports65c2,263$1,471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$792.21338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick56cpaid-33.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x051c…ca3fbacked FUT Esports64c2,242$1,434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$807.1635847.5%170 W · 188 L-13.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.