CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs magic - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4432f578b68b5f7902ebb36dec0e17c7ec2c324d63b4e38053c86edf63a4942b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- magicof FUT Esports, magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $574,381
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $616,399
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $574,381 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 250 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed magic | 62c | 75,894$47,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,466.52 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1610…ae49backed FUT Esports | 27c | 49,433$13,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,564.4 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2b…9e83backed FUT Esports | 48c | 13,623$6,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,539.07 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9166…b479backed magic | 43c | 11,256$4,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,415.87 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked FUT Esports | 50c | 9,893$4,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,939.27 | 325 | 48.3%157 W · 168 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8718…5040backed FUT Esports | 57c | 8,772$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 86 | 70.9%61 W · 25 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf80…3259backed FUT Esports | 49c | 6,699$3,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,254.73 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked FUT Esports | 32c | 5,577$1,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,811.24 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a7…dc87backed FUT Esports | 56c | 4,601$2,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,576.76 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 55cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…0eb4backed magic | 70c | 4,580$3,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,363.79 | 371 | 57.7%214 W · 157 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked FUT Esports | 33c | 4,463$1,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,488.37 | 752 | 45.3%341 W · 411 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed FUT Esports | 30c | 4,424$1,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,347.09 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d6…730abacked magic | 52c | 3,993$2,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,899.55 | 95 | 65.3%62 W · 33 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked FUT Esports | 44c | 3,840$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed magic | 63c | 3,653$2,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,361.38 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f3…5402backed FUT Esports | 38c | 3,640$1,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,371.17 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed FUT Esports | 33c | 3,386$1,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,128.41 | 870 | 47.9%417 W · 453 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed magic | 66c | 3,310$2,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,134.34 | 402 | 64.7%260 W · 142 L | +49.2wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked magic | 68c | 3,266$2,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.55 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22f6…eb09backed FUT Esports | 41c | 3,125$1,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,271.98 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed magic | 79c | 3,053$2,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.26 | 170 | 62.9%107 W · 63 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10d7…bbf6backed magic | 63c | 3,041$1,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,126.77 | 194 | 68.6%133 W · 61 L | +25.9wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed FUT Esports | 56c | 3,000$1,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,689.99 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked magic | 77c | 2,968$2,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.86 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dcd…5ef7backed FUT Esports | 59c | 2,953$1,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,742.15 | 301 | 53.8%162 W · 139 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked FUT Esports | 50c | 2,892$1,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,446.01 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked magic | 41c | 2,782$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,641.13 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked FUT Esports | 31c | 2,609$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.84 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked FUT Esports | 31c | 2,511$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.35 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked FUT Esports | 59c | 2,484$1,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,465.3 | 609 | 53.4%325 W · 284 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec37…85bdbacked FUT Esports | 42c | 2,476$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.04 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -5.2wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed FUT Esports | 28c | 2,454$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.87 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bb…bd8ebacked magic | 61c | 2,421$1,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.88 | 192 | 36.5%70 W · 122 L | -15.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked magic | 66c | 2,416$1,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.33 | 402 | 53.7%216 W · 186 L | +25.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed magic | 62c | 2,277$1,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.03 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked FUT Esports | 58c | 2,222$1,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,296.71 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed magic | 44c | 2,144$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200.54 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64f4…b38ebacked FUT Esports | 33c | 2,140$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 141 | 47.5%67 W · 74 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe46d…7e4dbacked magic | 52c | 2,032$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.25 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked magic | 42c | 1,896$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102.64 | 752 | 45.5%342 W · 410 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9f…345cbacked magic | 44c | 1,747$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.09 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e89…af95backed FUT Esports | 41c | 1,700$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed FUT Esports | 25c | 1,672$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.54 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked FUT Esports | 56c | 1,623$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.81 | 149 | 34.9%52 W · 97 L | -14.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x421e…1e47backed FUT Esports | 39c | 1,544$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 90 | 23.3%21 W · 69 L | -9.4wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed FUT Esports | 31c | 1,424$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.45 | 100 | 36%36 W · 64 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4adf…d623backed FUT Esports | 32c | 1,422$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 61 | 73.8%45 W · 16 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4905…1683backed FUT Esports | 33c | 1,388$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.98 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f2…b422backed magic | 74c | 1,329$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.77 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6421…045dbacked magic | 45c | 1,327$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.96 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed magic | 66c | 1,320$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.13 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked FUT Esports | 19c | 1,317$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.67 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd772…1d8fbacked FUT Esports | 49c | 1,246$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed FUT Esports | 17c | 1,217$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.74 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4031…92c8backed FUT Esports | 43c | 1,200$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516 | 508 | 46.3%235 W · 273 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3d…51b8backed FUT Esports | 36c | 1,128$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7b…6e9dbacked magic | 44c | 1,045$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.45 | 184 | 44%81 W · 103 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x968b…87f6backed FUT Esports | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…7275backed FUT Esports | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18e4…e2bbbacked FUT Esports | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | +14.2wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed FUT Esports | 57c | 952.38$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.86 | 129 | 37.2%48 W · 81 L | -14.7wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…ca3fbacked FUT Esports | 24c | 888$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.57 | 358 | 47.5%170 W · 188 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe6…94f1backed FUT Esports | 37c | 856.13$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.86 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad1f…7f94backed FUT Esports | 24c | 842.83$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.28 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff4…d731backed FUT Esports | 36c | 825$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.9 | 198 | 40.9%81 W · 117 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked magic | 43c | 795.05$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.18 | 361 | 52.6%190 W · 171 L | +13.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa103…1c14backed magic | 42c | 785.17$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.4 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed FUT Esports | 36c | 765.16$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.48 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked FUT Esports | 31c | 740$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.59 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3885…2cd8backed FUT Esports | 58c | 689.66$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…2d72backed magic | 42c | 681.76$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.42 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8e…0c69backed magic | 44c | 642.09$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.57 | 274 | 38.3%105 W · 169 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce20…0b7bbacked magic | 66c | 606.06$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.06 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked FUT Esports | 34c | 590.62$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.69 | 211 | 46%97 W · 114 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked FUT Esports | 31c | 515.19$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.06 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed magic | 74c | 500$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 456 | 46.9%214 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed FUT Esports | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 177 | 37.3%66 W · 111 L | -16.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0c…dac0backed magic | 79c | 500$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.46 | 414 | 75.4%312 W · 102 L | +22.1wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19fb…bd68backed magic | 67c | 500$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +99.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed FUT Esports | 35c | 500$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.38 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed FUT Esports | 34c | 499.99$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 552 | 36.2%200 W · 352 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed FUT Esports | 36c | 490$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.4 | 557 | 38.4%214 W · 343 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45da…72febacked FUT Esports | 40c | 485.43$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.17 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cf…427fbacked FUT Esports | 50c | 450$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbe…1f4abacked magic | 74c | 447.12$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.12 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5acf…ead4backed FUT Esports | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fd…3193backed FUT Esports | 53c | 433.96$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…195cbacked FUT Esports | 57c | 432.4$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.47 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x891a…f778backed FUT Esports | 40c | 399.78$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.91 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc1…9a14backed FUT Esports | 46c | 390.8$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.77 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…3126backed FUT Esports | 18c | 387.06$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 151 | 32.5%49 W · 102 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed magic | 70c | 367$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.09 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b49…d827backed FUT Esports | 37c | 361.97$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.93 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c63…3cbbbacked magic | 69c | 361.66$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.66 | 461 | 65.5%302 W · 159 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…0c16backed FUT Esports | 43c | 360$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.61 | 190 | 35.8%68 W · 122 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed FUT Esports | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 323 | 44.3%143 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe203…1b53backed magic | 56c | 356.35$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.35 | 353 | 44.8%158 W · 195 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…d647backed FUT Esports | 59c | 339.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…5fafbacked FUT Esports | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 250 | 45.2%113 W · 137 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4b…ecc5backed FUT Esports | 32c | 329.81$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.54 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs magic - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs magic (BO3) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsFUT Esports won
- Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs magic - Map 2 WinnerFUT Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-3.5) vs magic (+3.5)FUT Esports won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs magic (+1.5)magic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.