CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x01dc0cc7604fd7f84ba261e728ce64066a564390ba37224e3bd52d93a0829f1e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,600
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,150
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,600 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Over | 46c | 4,359$1,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,373.78 | 221 | 42.5%94 W · 127 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Under | 54c | 3,750$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Over | 47c | 1,299$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.7 | 359 | 40.4%145 W · 214 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 288 | 43.1%124 W · 164 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa28d…83bfbacked Over | 45c | 750$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 55c | 521.51$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.95 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 395 | 48.6%192 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 53c | 499.99$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 576 | 41.1%237 W · 339 L | -21.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeffb…4fb5backed Over | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 45c | 316.53$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.43 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…70e3backed Under | 54c | 224.1$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.01 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5537…f9c8backed Over | 48c | 200.47$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 302 | 59.3%179 W · 123 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 379 | 49.3%187 W · 192 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8348…acb0backed Over | 58c | 172.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.76 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93c1…f7c4backed Under | 34c | 118.01$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.12 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 31c | 84.24$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.06 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf418…a37ebacked Over | 45c | 75$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 54c | 65.82$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.57 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4845…82eebacked Over | 47c | 63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Under | 46c | 61.6$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.43 | 351 | 41.6%146 W · 205 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Over | 66c | 58.36$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.84 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4223…42c7backed Over | 57c | 54.05$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +7.2wins | +0.25per pick | 51cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…33dabacked Under | 53c | 49.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 224 | 55.8%125 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 60c | 46.79$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.77 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e5…e9e7backed Over | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb526…cd0dbacked Under | 54c | 42$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Over | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 347 | 42.9%149 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Under | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 686 | 59.5%408 W · 278 L | +65.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Over | 47c | 39.34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf595…fd9ebacked Over | 64c | 38.77$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7870…4d9ebacked Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69d2…a218backed Under | 53c | 37.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c94…1b47backed Under | 57c | 36.11$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…5df1backed Under | 53c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Under | 53c | 29.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -4.4wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 61c | 27.8$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Under | 54c | 27.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Under | 52c | 26.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 323 | 44.3%143 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47a5…9370backed Under | 54c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb44…f556backed Over | 47c | 21.1$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Under | 53c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs magic (BO3) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsFUT Esports won
- Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs magic - Map 1 Winnermagic won
- Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs magic - Map 2 WinnerFUT Esports won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-3.5) vs magic (+3.5)FUT Esports won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs magic (+1.5)magic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.