CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs magic (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x30ac1368322dc0654cff89deb5ce17cc66c730456021ed5a4b274cf5026dc18e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- magicof FUT Esports, magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,688
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,221
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,688 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed FUT Esports | 37c | 11,516$4,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,260.92 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed magic | 65c | 10,000$6,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,550 | 500 | 54.4%272 W · 228 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked FUT Esports | 35c | 8,444$2,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,990.01 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked magic | 63c | 7,780$4,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,878.42 | 361 | 52.6%190 W · 171 L | +13.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked magic | 63c | 5,879$3,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,157.29 | 5,028 | 55%2,763 W · 2,265 L | +112.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked FUT Esports | 37c | 4,000$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480 | 149 | 34.9%52 W · 97 L | -14.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed magic | 78c | 1,762$1,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.53 | 1,017 | 53.4%543 W · 474 L | +65.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed magic | 63c | 1,743$1,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.71 | 2,610 | 51.7%1,349 W · 1,261 L | +16.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed FUT Esports | 22c | 1,698$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.45 | 1,396 | 38.9%543 W · 853 L | -41.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6261…4adbbacked FUT Esports | 39c | 1,028$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63d4…a2f1backed FUT Esports | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 182 | 54.9%100 W · 82 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked FUT Esports | 37c | 936.5$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.51 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51b3…3989backed magic | 64c | 888$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed magic | 61c | 678.93$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.57 | 554 | 41.2%228 W · 326 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93c1…f7c4backed FUT Esports | 37c | 668.91$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.42 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed magic | 63c | 645.16$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.71 | 590 | 55.3%326 W · 264 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed magic | 63c | 645.14$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.7 | 1,998 | 53.7%1,073 W · 925 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc57…2b3cbacked magic | 64c | 625$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 146 | 59.6%87 W · 59 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2316…9819backed magic | 61c | 619.89$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.76 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed FUT Esports | 37c | 600$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 5,810 | 37.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L | +78.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked magic | 62c | 596.86$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.81 | 1,476 | 51.8%765 W · 711 L | -4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked magic | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 767 | 48%368 W · 399 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x203a…935fbacked FUT Esports | 37c | 486.49$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 279 | 54.5%152 W · 127 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c4…3212backed magic | 64c | 471.23$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.23 | 312 | 61.2%191 W · 121 L | +21.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked magic | 62c | 453.84$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.73 | 2,599 | 47.8%1,242 W · 1,357 L | -30.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…195cbacked FUT Esports | 37c | 450.31$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.61 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…ca3fbacked FUT Esports | 37c | 400$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 353 | 47.9%169 W · 184 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed FUT Esports | 36c | 371.16$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.62 | 317 | 44.8%142 W · 175 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68e9…845cbacked FUT Esports | 37c | 340$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.8 | 302 | 36.8%111 W · 191 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f1…2fa5backed FUT Esports | 37c | 322.14$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.19 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95c2…421bbacked magic | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9deb…536fbacked FUT Esports | 38c | 309.99$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.8 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…ec52backed FUT Esports | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 389 | 54.5%212 W · 177 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed FUT Esports | 20c | 285.28$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.97 | 2,429 | 44.6%1,083 W · 1,346 L | -63.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed FUT Esports | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 400 | 50.8%203 W · 197 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3da2…22b6backed FUT Esports | 38c | 171.05$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 389 | 45.8%178 W · 211 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked FUT Esports | 37c | 166.67$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.67 | 395 | 48.6%192 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed FUT Esports | 37c | 166.65$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.66 | 569 | 41.3%235 W · 334 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb8…a470backed magic | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x230b…d318backed FUT Esports | 23c | 157.3$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.18 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +5.6wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +81.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed magic | 77c | 157.12$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.63 | 216 | 52.8%114 W · 102 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x173e…9ff4backed FUT Esports | 38c | 150$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 104 | 37.5%39 W · 65 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd25f…eab3backed magic | 63c | 150$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56fd…d60dbacked magic | 65c | 134.35$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.08 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x871f…3330backed FUT Esports | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc06…7f72backed FUT Esports | 39c | 121.81$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.44 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…da67backed magic | 63c | 111.11$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.11 | 387 | 54.8%212 W · 175 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed magic | 63c | 110$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.7 | 659 | 46.6%307 W · 352 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2914…aff6backed magic | 63c | 101.59$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.59 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +4.6wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed magic | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 358 | 57.8%207 W · 151 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde9…7d86backed FUT Esports | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18c2…529abacked FUT Esports | 37c | 88.2$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.63 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5e…269bbacked magic | 62c | 75.18$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.57 | 420 | 50%210 W · 210 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked magic | 74c | 70$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 1,768 | 59.2%1,047 W · 721 L | +105.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked FUT Esports | 38c | 69.34$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.35 | 485 | 48.7%236 W · 249 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b24…e53bbacked FUT Esports | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | +10.6wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed magic | 71c | 62.08$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.88 | 680 | 59.3%403 W · 277 L | +64.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed magic | 73c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 97 | 35.1%34 W · 63 L | -7.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked FUT Esports | 25c | 56.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 373 | 22.3%83 W · 290 L | -42.1wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -47%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x088b…21ccbacked FUT Esports | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed FUT Esports | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1,277 | 21.9%280 W · 997 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fe…ba40backed FUT Esports | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 220 | 60.9%134 W · 86 L | +16.0wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed magic | 62c | 49.42$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.54 | 1,828 | 47.6%871 W · 957 L | -54.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70b4…6815backed magic | 63c | 48.5$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.86 | 232 | 65.1%151 W · 81 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed FUT Esports | 38c | 44.55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 2,309 | 45.1%1,041 W · 1,268 L | -62.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed magic | 63c | 36.6$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.54 | 211 | 51.7%109 W · 102 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked magic | 69c | 34.13$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 147 | 69.4%102 W · 45 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed magic | 64c | 33.75$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 676 | 45%304 W · 372 L | -24.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x183b…b6e9backed magic | 64c | 31.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.46 | 320 | 54.4%174 W · 146 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1f…1e14backed magic | 64c | 31.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.46 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad8…5004backed magic | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 143 | 44.1%63 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…fbccbacked FUT Esports | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd337…4e56backed FUT Esports | 40c | 26.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -49%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fcc…77efbacked magic | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa718…9d33backed magic | 64c | 20.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab3e…8869backed magic | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 151 | 59.6%90 W · 61 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…c8dabacked magic | 78c | 17.53$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.86 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32e2…af02backed magic | 64c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs magic (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs magic (BO3) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsFUT Esports won
- Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs magic - Map 1 Winnermagic won
- Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs magic - Map 2 WinnerFUT Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-3.5) vs magic (+3.5)FUT Esports won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.