TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6919…da67

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
582
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NBA, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 54 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT38754.8%212 W · 175 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 387 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$97
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$44.93
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FURIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.59
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FaZe (+1.5)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$59.07
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs TheMongolz (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$22.49
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs GamerLegion (+1.5)backed GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$36
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+33.4%+$14.02
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+62.6%+$140.24
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs magic (+1.5)backed magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$41.11
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+54.5%+$27.27
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.05
Map Handicap: FaZe (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$66.67
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$90.65
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs 3DMAX (+1.5)backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+114.3%+$128.8
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+129.2%+$32.3
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs 3DMAX (+1.5)backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$40.91
Counter-Strike: NIP vs paiN (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs FOKUS (+1.5)backed FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs HOTU (+1.5)backed HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+44.6%+$40.17
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Showing 25 of 387 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT13357.1%76 W · 57 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 133 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+34.6%+$21.16
Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$577Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+65.8%+$379.18
Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$197.04
Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$268Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$268.47
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$174.66
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.48
England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+48.1%+$65
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.52
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Norway vs. England: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+108.8%+$40.74
Norway vs. England: Norway O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
France vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$10
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will USA reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.4
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 133 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT1752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+58.4%+$32.14
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$48.46
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Donald Trump sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+105.4%+$31.63
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+238%+$35.91
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+43.5%+$39.15
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.55
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Trump praise Allah again by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+100%+$15
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.4
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$18.6
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$25.79
All 17 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+76.1%+$14.84
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.7
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$9.6
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 11.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.6
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.4
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.99
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$23.57
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+65%+$32.51
All 11 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick23cpaid-38.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-59.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.35per pick32cpaid+83.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick33cpaid+126.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.86per pick14cpaid+633.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+633.5%+$190.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+151.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+151.1%+$90.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+77.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+77.5%+$54.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.