CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: FaZe (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb81762b0abd9629f115ab4d2f889dd956c6ad5844ddf9df3a3073fde406758dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TheMongolzof FaZe, TheMongolz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,831
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,730
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,831 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked FaZe | 34c | 3,782$1,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,285.83 | 361 | 52.6%190 W · 171 L | +13.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb525…bdc7backed TheMongolz | 68c | 2,639$1,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.14 | 258 | 45.7%118 W · 140 L | -18.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94cb…64e3backed FaZe | 32c | 2,500$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 158 | 38%60 W · 98 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24c7…77c4backed TheMongolz | 66c | 1,515$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.15 | 188 | 46.3%87 W · 101 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65fa…4c6abacked TheMongolz | 66c | 757.58$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.58 | 115 | 64.3%74 W · 41 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked TheMongolz | 67c | 694.06$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.86 | 277 | 53.8%149 W · 128 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9a…2c72backed FaZe | 35c | 659.83$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.94 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked FaZe | 33c | 652$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.16 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked TheMongolz | 65c | 499.98$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.99 | 236 | 53.8%127 W · 109 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed TheMongolz | 65c | 484.31$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.51 | 253 | 55.7%141 W · 112 L | +19.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe390…2b57backed TheMongolz | 66c | 483.33$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed TheMongolz | 66c | 468.97$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.45 | 550 | 39.6%218 W · 332 L | -20.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed TheMongolz | 49c | 425.11$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.98 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…5627backed TheMongolz | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 405 | 58.8%238 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed TheMongolz | 66c | 296.88$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.94 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…da67backed FaZe | 53c | 265.07$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 387 | 54.8%212 W · 175 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb438…a67cbacked FaZe | 27c | 244.36$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.85 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked FaZe | 33c | 239.99$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…cd9dbacked TheMongolz | 68c | 220.59$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 213 | 62.4%133 W · 80 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked FaZe | 31c | 203.86$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.2 | 395 | 48.6%192 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed FaZe | 35c | 195.6$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.46 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed FaZe | 34c | 195.3$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.4 | 465 | 55.1%256 W · 209 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2914…aff6backed TheMongolz | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +4.6wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6eec…1ddfbacked FaZe | 35c | 142.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.84 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked TheMongolz | 70c | 124.78$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.73 | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76b5…a423backed TheMongolz | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked TheMongolz | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.38 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e47…bdbfbacked TheMongolz | 60c | 82.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.05 | 384 | 69.5%267 W · 117 L | +31.6wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed TheMongolz | 69c | 79.06$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.16 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf17d…6f86backed TheMongolz | 75c | 79$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.75 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked FaZe | 34c | 73.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked FaZe | 30c | 69.44$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 132 | 40.9%54 W · 78 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xded3…c56bbacked FaZe | 31c | 64.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…97b4backed TheMongolz | 66c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 471 | 65.2%307 W · 164 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f24…3a09backed TheMongolz | 68c | 59.19$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.19 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed FaZe | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 347 | 42.9%149 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb11…9845backed FaZe | 31c | 48.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df0…95b3backed TheMongolz | 55c | 46.88$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.1 | 138 | 71%98 W · 40 L | +15.7wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed FaZe | 34c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 269 | 52.8%142 W · 127 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed TheMongolz | 63c | 36.49$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.49 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15fe…74babacked TheMongolz | 67c | 35.82$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.82 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed FaZe | 32c | 35.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 488 | 51.8%253 W · 235 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe53b…fe03backed TheMongolz | 66c | 30.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.38 | 413 | 72.2%298 W · 115 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9755…ab85backed TheMongolz | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -9.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x104b…e9cebacked TheMongolz | 70c | 21.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 184 | 81.5%150 W · 34 L | +13.6wins | +0.07per pick | 74cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed TheMongolz | 75c | 20.76$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 686 | 59.5%408 W · 278 L | +65.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5040…ac99backed TheMongolz | 73c | 17.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: FaZe (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty PlayoffsFaZe won
- Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz - Map 1 WinnerFaZe won
- Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz - Map 2 WinnerTheMongolz won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FaZe (-3.5) vs TheMongolz (+3.5)FaZe won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FaZe (-3.5) vs TheMongolz (+3.5)TheMongolz won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: TheMongolz (-3.5) vs FaZe (+3.5)TheMongolz won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FaZe (-3.5) vs TheMongolz (+3.5)FaZe won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.