CS2 · resolved market
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20525d2b21c8035540ab665fe2f013bba8c786962e6b07ad2449d56dc6a18f24
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,191
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,473
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,191 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 48c | 2,141$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,115.96 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5592…aedebacked Over | 51c | 980.67$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 193 | 57%110 W · 83 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc57…2b3cbacked Over | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 146 | 59.6%87 W · 59 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Under | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 285 | 49.5%141 W · 144 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9572…efffbacked Over | 53c | 474.93$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.99 | 222 | 41.4%92 W · 130 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2a…3706backed Under | 49c | 443.76$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.32 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed Under | 46c | 236.14$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.52 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…8731backed Under | 46c | 182$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.28 | 374 | 53.2%199 W · 175 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3da2…22b6backed Over | 54c | 168.52$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 389 | 45.8%178 W · 211 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1b…de56backed Under | 48c | 142.08$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.88 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2c50backed Under | 58c | 99.04$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.34 | 721 | 39.7%286 W · 435 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…18babacked Over | 55c | 91.74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68e9…845cbacked Over | 53c | 63.21$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 302 | 36.8%111 W · 191 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdce3…7537backed Over | 43c | 57.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.72 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8eeb…4962backed Over | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -4.5wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x95e9…67b6backed Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 64c | 39.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x267c…5bfdbacked Over | 30c | 36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 179 | 55.3%99 W · 80 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb11…9845backed Over | 33c | 32.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd924…7bc2backed Under | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 121 | 43.8%53 W · 68 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked Over | 68c | 29.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 357 | 45.4%162 W · 195 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Under | 68c | 24.44$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x022d…d8cebacked Under | 49c | 20.61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.51 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…eb8ebacked Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 812 | 46.2%375 W · 437 L | -35.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Under | 67c | 18.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 47 | 76.6%36 W · 11 L | +9.9wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +35%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5this page
- Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty PlayoffsFaZe won
- Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz - Map 1 WinnerFaZe won
- Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz - Map 2 WinnerTheMongolz won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FaZe (-3.5) vs TheMongolz (+3.5)FaZe won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FaZe (-3.5) vs TheMongolz (+3.5)TheMongolz won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: TheMongolz (-3.5) vs FaZe (+3.5)TheMongolz won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FaZe (-3.5) vs TheMongolz (+3.5)FaZe won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: FaZe (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)TheMongolz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.