CS2 · resolved market
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FaZe (-3.5) vs TheMongolz (+3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d1534aeaf970a862390262b3817faebce4bb87602b242e3995fb602de41a561
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TheMongolzof FaZe, TheMongolz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,538
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,766
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,538 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked FaZe | 38c | 8,568$3,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,237.09 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked TheMongolz | 62c | 5,308$3,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,016.88 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7029…1136backed TheMongolz | 62c | 1,830$1,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.35 | 213 | 51.2%109 W · 104 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked TheMongolz | 63c | 1,500$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.5 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed FaZe | 38c | 1,042$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed FaZe | 39c | 1,029$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.53 | 465 | 55.1%256 W · 209 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked TheMongolz | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked TheMongolz | 60c | 500.78$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.31 | 249 | 43.8%109 W · 140 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed FaZe | 38c | 332.79$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.46 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…b594backed TheMongolz | 64c | 294.22$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.92 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed FaZe | 62c | 205.79$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.59 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked TheMongolz | 38c | 200$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 333 | 40.2%134 W · 199 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed TheMongolz | 62c | 180$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.4 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked TheMongolz | 61c | 126.23$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.23 | 357 | 45.4%162 W · 195 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdccf…faeabacked TheMongolz | 60c | 126$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked TheMongolz | 63c | 126$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.62 | 228 | 38.6%88 W · 140 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked TheMongolz | 61c | 120$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 393 | 38.2%150 W · 243 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed FaZe | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 659 | 46.6%307 W · 352 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x267c…5bfdbacked TheMongolz | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 179 | 55.3%99 W · 80 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdd…e70ebacked TheMongolz | 62c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 143 | 35%50 W · 93 L | -13.4wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -26%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked TheMongolz | 63c | 55.56$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.56 | 140 | 68.6%96 W · 44 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked FaZe | 39c | 53.76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.05 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1f…1e14backed FaZe | 40c | 40.35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…1e57backed TheMongolz | 62c | 28.43$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdffd…0efebacked TheMongolz | 63c | 27.97$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +150.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa245…2152backed TheMongolz | 59c | 23.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x610c…d29bbacked TheMongolz | 63c | 21.16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FaZe (-3.5) vs TheMongolz (+3.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty PlayoffsFaZe won
- Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz - Map 1 WinnerFaZe won
- Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz - Map 2 WinnerTheMongolz won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FaZe (-3.5) vs TheMongolz (+3.5)FaZe won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: TheMongolz (-3.5) vs FaZe (+3.5)TheMongolz won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FaZe (-3.5) vs TheMongolz (+3.5)FaZe won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: FaZe (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)TheMongolz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.