CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x66e2ff43892bc06e9dc65a24dd0fa446f9db66ea8c34ea6f2a9d09a22bc43828
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,320
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,710
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,320 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe4a1…e26abacked Over | 47c | 2,504$1,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,317.42 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +5.7wins | +0.22per pick | 40cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 53c | 2,025$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.49 | 488 | 51.8%253 W · 235 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Under | 53c | 1,353$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.11 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Over | 46c | 1,154$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.91 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94cb…64e3backed Over | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 158 | 38%60 W · 98 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…b594backed Over | 49c | 917.31$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.76 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Under | 52c | 660.53$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.47 | 597 | 55.4%331 W · 266 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Over | 48c | 587$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.24 | 648 | 52%337 W · 311 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Under | 51c | 541.14$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.75 | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 55c | 504.99$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.74 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 53c | 491.09$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.28 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Under | 51c | 491.09$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.46 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 50c | 490.84$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.42 | 395 | 48.6%192 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Over | 48c | 478.29$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.71 | 285 | 49.5%141 W · 144 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0645…a8a7backed Over | 50c | 451.32$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.66 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ed…8243backed Over | 48c | 442.94$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed Under | 54c | 417.75$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.59 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68e9…845cbacked Over | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 302 | 36.8%111 W · 191 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5323…326abacked Under | 52c | 190.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x639e…d914backed Over | 48c | 180.78$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.01 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe075…bf89backed Under | 53c | 147.6$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.23 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 48c | 142.22$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.43 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Under | 22c | 141$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.59 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Under | 53c | 110$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.9 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 47c | 102.98$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.58 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc59…35f7backed Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x304f…af95backed Over | 47c | 97.87$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.87 | 237 | 57%135 W · 102 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Under | 49c | 90.78$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.48 | 247 | 46.6%115 W · 132 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8076…3762backed Over | 47c | 82.47$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.71 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +5.4wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad3…1af6backed Under | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…6182backed Under | 51c | 78.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Over | 52c | 63$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.43 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 51c | 61.49$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.56 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14b8…81a9backed Over | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa7…8332backed Under | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Under | 48c | 53.48$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.67 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafe9…f34abacked Over | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 31 | 77.4%24 W · 7 L | +5.0wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Under | 52c | 46.91$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.39 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Over | 55c | 45.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.51 | 664 | 36.6%243 W · 421 L | -35.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce0a…2a11backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc313…6645backed Over | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 226 | 51.3%116 W · 110 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c3…e829backed Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62cd…7b19backed Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba2…6b6cbacked Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 177 | 64.4%114 W · 63 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9c…5369backed Over | 50c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 187 | 58.3%109 W · 78 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…f194backed Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 186 | 43.5%81 W · 105 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x403c…7f06backed Under | 38c | 28.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked Under | 53c | 24.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51da…a701backed Over | 53c | 22.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 121 | 57.9%70 W · 51 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x475f…82d7backed Over | 51c | 21.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x697e…c4dfbacked Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 268 | 62.3%167 W · 101 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7488…9cfbbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1f…1e14backed Under | 53c | 19.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty PlayoffsFaZe won
- Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz - Map 1 WinnerFaZe won
- Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz - Map 2 WinnerTheMongolz won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FaZe (-3.5) vs TheMongolz (+3.5)FaZe won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FaZe (-3.5) vs TheMongolz (+3.5)TheMongolz won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: TheMongolz (-3.5) vs FaZe (+3.5)TheMongolz won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FaZe (-3.5) vs TheMongolz (+3.5)FaZe won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: FaZe (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)TheMongolz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.