TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x697e…c4df

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
398
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NBA, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 53 out of 100; worst Lol at 37.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT26862.3%167 W · 101 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 268 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit - Map 4 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+37%+$3.89
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit - Map 3 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.5
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.36
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Legacy - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$29.42
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$62
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$19.57
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.25
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Will FaZe Clan Win the CS2 EWC 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.68
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs TheMongolz (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$8.8
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$5.44
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.6
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NIP (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$11.2
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NIP - Map 1 Winnerbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.48
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs PARIVISION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+25%+$4.8
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs BIG (+1.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.01
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.81
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$14.2
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$16.29
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.72
Showing 25 of 268 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT5549.1%27 W · 28 L-9.5wins-0.17per pick66cpaid-26%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
Lol — the 55 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.53
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.57
LoL: SK Gaming vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$10.96
LoL: KT Rolster vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$9.6
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.8
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.6
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Will Bilibili Gaming win MSI 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.54
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.96
Game Handicap: HLE (-2.5) vs LYON (+2.5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.63
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 3 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.37
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 2 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$7.38
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.6
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$157.46
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.8
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$24.2
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$24.36
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Top Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+83.2%+$38.6
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.11
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+83.6%+$16.85
Showing 25 of 55 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.2
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+65.3%+$6.72
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.18
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$6.46
France vs. Morocco: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$9.8
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Colombia vs. Portugal: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
France leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
United States vs. Australia: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$18.5
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$8.96
Will England win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$35.45
Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$21.5
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$30
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$34
Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+145.7%+$59.74
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$58
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$9
All 24 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT1758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Nuggets vs. Rockets: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$10.8
Heat vs. Bullsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+127.3%+$12.88
Pacers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 236.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+127.3%+$12.88
76ers vs. Bucks: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$20.4
Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$16.2
Kings vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+81.8%+$13.5
Spread: Magic (-5.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+96.1%+$14.7
Clippers vs. Magic: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$28.5
Spread: Knicks (-8.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$10.8
Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+100%+$15
Kings vs. Thunder: O/U 232.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+96.1%+$14.7
Kings vs. Thunder: O/U 230.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+117.4%+$16.2
Spread: Thunder (-17.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$10.8
Warriors vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+47.8%+$19.4
Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+72.4%+$12.6
Knicks vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+81.8%+$9
All 17 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT1376.9%10 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick72cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO5) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Leviatán Esports (BO5) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$15
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$13.2
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+29.5%+$6.83
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stagebacked Global Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.29
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stagebacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$20.8
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Group Stagebacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+29.9%+$58.42
Valorant: T1 vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Group Stagebacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+42.9%+$58.8
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Group Stagebacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+47.1%+$6.4
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Group Stagebacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+44.9%+$7.44
Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO5) - VCT China Kickoff Playoffsbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+31.1%+$16.63
Valorant: TYLOO vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Kickoff Playoffsbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$13.87
Valorant: VARREL vs Gen.G Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Kickoff Playoffsbacked Gen.G Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+47.1%+$6.4
All 13 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-26.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Capitals vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$17.4
Islanders vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$18.3
Utah vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+47.1%+$6.4
Kings vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+92.3%+$9.6
All 4 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-56.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick75cpaid+34.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-02-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+38.9%+$11.2
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+29.9%+$22.08
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Bills (-3.5)backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+138.1%+$17.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Celtic FC vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+58.7%+$7.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$105.1
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.