TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Astralisof G2, Astralis
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$60,123
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$64,317

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,123 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x29b5…cc6cbacked G238c24,856$9,513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,512.555,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Astralis60c11,733$7,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,641.861,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed Astralis62c10,000$6,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,749.9911638.8%45 W · 71 L-7.3wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5bd0…c890backed G240c8,250$3,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,3001838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Astralis60c8,000$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,2001,40738.9%547 W · 860 L-41.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Astralis62c5,000$3,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,90023145.9%106 W · 125 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x73e3…1be9backed G239c3,026$1,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,180.1420354.2%110 W · 93 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed G238c2,894$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,100.022,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked Astralis61c2,459$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.0232348.9%158 W · 165 L-11.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb525…bdc7backed Astralis63c2,194$1,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.4925845.7%118 W · 140 L-18.3wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Astralis61c2,000$1,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78060248.7%293 W · 309 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Astralis63c2,000$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.9678639.4%310 W · 476 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6261…4adbbacked G237c1,892$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7002552%13 W · 12 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x63d4…a2f1backed G239c1,500$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58518254.9%100 W · 82 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked G241c1,500$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61519346.1%89 W · 104 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked Astralis62c1,500$923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.51,49651.5%771 W · 725 L-7.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed G236c1,170$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.0561948%297 W · 322 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed G240c1,130$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45223949%117 W · 122 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Astralis62c1,111$689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.181,14449.4%565 W · 579 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed G238c1,081$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.8159755.4%331 W · 266 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed G240c1,026$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.262,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Astralis60c941.37$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.5536152.6%190 W · 171 L+13.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c2f…9765backed G241c820.46$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.396960.9%42 W · 27 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc444…416cbacked Astralis61c668.9$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.8714454.9%79 W · 65 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed G237c500$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18557641.1%237 W · 339 L-21.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xce08…510bbacked Astralis61c500$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19510136.6%37 W · 64 L-9.9wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-24.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8feb…63fcbacked G237c399.96$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.987846.2%36 W · 42 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c5e…269bbacked G239c389.98$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.0942050%210 W · 210 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed G237c354.73$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.2548240%193 W · 289 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Astralis60c333.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.3332344.3%143 W · 180 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Astralis63c300.57$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.1868753.9%370 W · 317 L-21.6wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1025…7e11backed Astralis61c300$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11755941%229 W · 330 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked Astralis62c300$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11476748%368 W · 399 L-21.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x023f…4247backed Astralis62c270.56$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.31580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+41.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Astralis64c268$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.485567.3%37 W · 18 L+7.0wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+25.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Astralis61c256$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.082,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed Astralis60c250$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10021263.7%135 W · 77 L-0.5wins0.00per pick64cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5537…f9c8backed G237c219.05$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8230259.3%179 W · 123 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a14…be99backed G240c175$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-30.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaffc…1d31backed Astralis62c170$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.62166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x52df…92dbbacked Astralis62c158$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.042100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick60cpaid+68.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x997c…51f3backed Astralis76c146$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.3322954.6%125 W · 104 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95c2…421bbacked G239c128.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507057.1%40 W · 30 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3da2…22b6backed G240c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5038945.8%178 W · 211 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x910a…1aa7backed G241c120.21$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.294163.4%26 W · 15 L+5.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+27.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3ad1…b4c5backed G241c120$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.27352.1%38 W · 35 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05c9…271bbacked Astralis63c119.99$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.49848%47 W · 51 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9deb…536fbacked Astralis62c110$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.83056.7%17 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed G240c110$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4465946.6%307 W · 352 L+12.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6117…29ffbacked G241c107.63$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.132020%4 W · 16 L-5.2wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-57.7%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x0612…559abacked Astralis64c103$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.0813556.3%76 W · 59 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Astralis69c101.06$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.772,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a7e…9dc6backed Astralis61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3920755.1%114 W · 93 L+11.2wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Astralis60c99.13$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.6526952.8%142 W · 127 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Astralis68c90$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.91,03353.2%550 W · 483 L+64.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Astralis61c88.52$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.5252837.1%196 W · 332 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11ca…2737backed Astralis60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.33580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+17.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x203a…935fbacked Astralis62c80.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.6528454.9%156 W · 128 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81a9…df08backed Astralis64c78$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.082661.5%16 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+16.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc59…35f7backed G237c67.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256942%29 W · 40 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2221…ec1bbacked G241c60.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253951.3%20 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f24…3a09backed Astralis61c60.66$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.663847.4%18 W · 20 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Astralis62c60$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.167750.2%340 W · 337 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Astralis73c55$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1568659.5%408 W · 278 L+65.9wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+13.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7ad3…1af6backed G237c54.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205341.5%22 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked G237c50.56$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7139548.6%192 W · 203 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Astralis62c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1932554.8%178 W · 147 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd8fe…ba40backed G240c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2022060.9%134 W · 86 L+16.0wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5fd2…2b73backed G239c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.56434.4%22 W · 42 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x183b…b6e9backed G240c49.88$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9532054.4%174 W · 146 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1f…1e14backed G240c49.88$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9519453.6%104 W · 90 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed G238c48.14$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1813050.8%66 W · 64 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed G229c45.55$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.122,46824.6%607 W · 1,861 L-317.8wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed G240c43.43$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3769445%312 W · 382 L-24.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x13e9…7cd4backed Astralis61c40.98$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.986657.6%38 W · 28 L+6.4wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+29.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfb42…176ebacked G237c40.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153844.7%17 W · 21 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf07…4a12backed G238c40$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.234742.9%149 W · 198 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc313…6645backed G237c40$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.622651.3%116 W · 110 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd337…4e56backed Astralis63c40$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.81030%3 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-49%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x93dc…3728backed G240c37.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1549947.5%237 W · 262 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25c7…4338backed Astralis60c33.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.333259.4%19 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x077c…5df1backed Astralis63c33$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.213565.7%23 W · 12 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x497e…a18abacked Astralis61c32.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.796958%40 W · 29 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x69d2…a218backed Astralis61c32.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.783036.7%11 W · 19 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-25.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8059…5addbacked Astralis62c31.52$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.988662.8%54 W · 32 L+11.6wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+18.7%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xde36…f41cbacked G240c30.78$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3111250%56 W · 56 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed G238c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.460451%308 W · 296 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8818…f8acbacked Astralis62c30$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.416660.8%101 W · 65 L-0.5wins0.00per pick61cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Astralis68c25$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.057,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fcc…77efbacked Astralis61c24.59$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.593046.7%14 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+25.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1fd…10ccbacked Astralis75c23.14$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.7315469.5%107 W · 47 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x697e…c4dfbacked Astralis67c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.626862.3%167 W · 101 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5926…e20abacked Astralis64c18$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.48862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a96…b382backed Astralis64c16$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.767454.1%40 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.