CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x83c7e2faecfc2dc346f9d3a2318b5d2804c3e4bfb1aa75020ba48435f45052a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,632
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,268
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,632 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf559…f462backed Over | 47c | 27,165$12,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,284.39 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 55c | 12,558$6,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,940.19 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Under | 53c | 8,579$4,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,546.72 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Under | 54c | 3,074$1,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,648.91 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 52c | 3,000$1,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,570 | 288 | 43.1%124 W · 164 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Over | 28c | 2,071$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,491.43 | 333 | 40.2%134 W · 199 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b09…eed0backed Over | 47c | 2,043$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,073.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 52c | 1,699$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.75 | 619 | 48%297 W · 322 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 53c | 1,132$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2316…9819backed Under | 53c | 1,001$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.69 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Over | 48c | 799.93$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.96 | 559 | 41%229 W · 330 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 395 | 48.6%192 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 576 | 41.1%237 W · 339 L | -21.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4527…12f5backed Over | 46c | 467.39$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.39 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeffb…4fb5backed Over | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 53c | 405.25$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.36 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Over | 48c | 350$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Over | 49c | 343.29$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.1 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -5.1wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…e183backed Under | 53c | 335.85$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 53c | 315$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.95 | 495 | 36.4%180 W · 315 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5822…8774backed Under | 9c | 294.7$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.22 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Under | 52c | 284.81$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.1 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6117…29ffbacked Under | 38c | 265.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -5.2wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x94cb…64e3backed Over | 46c | 263.67$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.38 | 158 | 38%60 W · 98 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 379 | 49.3%187 W · 192 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked Under | 53c | 188.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.01 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c4…8129backed Over | 74c | 159.6$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.84 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a51…bf4cbacked Over | 48c | 154$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.08 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05c9…271bbacked Over | 47c | 140$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.2 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaeb…c2d0backed Over | 46c | 123.5$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.69 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Under | 53c | 109.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.3 | 659 | 46.6%307 W · 352 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…1306backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc59…35f7backed Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5c…091abacked Over | 63c | 95.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.89 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b0…b4d1backed Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdd…e70ebacked Under | 53c | 94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.82 | 143 | 35%50 W · 93 L | -13.4wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -26%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed Over | 48c | 77$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.04 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked Under | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 324 | 58%188 W · 136 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8348…acb0backed Over | 76c | 65.73$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.73 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x497e…a18abacked Over | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25c7…4338backed Over | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9c…8927backed Over | 49c | 62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.62 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62cd…7b19backed Under | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x183b…b6e9backed Under | 54c | 55.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.04 | 320 | 54.4%174 W · 146 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1f…1e14backed Under | 54c | 55.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.04 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Under | 41c | 53$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.91 | 379 | 22.2%84 W · 295 L | -43.1wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3546…1a58backed Under | 19c | 52.64$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 235 | 26.4%62 W · 173 L | -15.2wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…33dabacked Under | 52c | 49.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 224 | 55.8%125 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…f194backed Over | 53c | 47.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.29 | 186 | 43.5%81 W · 105 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Under | 53c | 45.2$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.96 | 122 | 59%72 W · 50 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c94…1b47backed Under | 54c | 44.44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb29…947abacked Over | 46c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +85.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69d2…a218backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4a…4ce0backed Over | 49c | 41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 45c | 38.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.26 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7870…4d9ebacked Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb3e…db66backed Under | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde36…f41cbacked Under | 53c | 33.95$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0789…f7adbacked Under | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 56c | 28.48$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.62 | 694 | 45%312 W · 382 L | -24.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x472e…f338backed Under | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3637…21a4backed Under | 52c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc28b…3683backed Over | 55c | 27.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.14 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Under | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 325 | 54.8%178 W · 147 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe567…f0cfbacked Under | 52c | 23.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0855…32debacked Over | 47c | 22.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe0b…84a5backed Over | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a0…f673backed Over | 49c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Over | 59c | 20.56$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 686 | 59.5%408 W · 278 L | +65.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2d…b69dbacked Under | 53c | 18.87$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…87e7backed Under | 54c | 18.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis (BO3) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsG2 won
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis - Map 1 WinnerAstralis won
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis - Map 2 WinnerG2 won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)Astralis won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.