TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Astralisof G2, Astralis
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$372,900
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$481,487

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $372,900 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 238 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed G233c82,553$26,983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,983.011,40738.9%547 W · 860 L-41.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1610…ae49backed Astralis57c33,858$19,404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,453.8113548.9%66 W · 69 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+5.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x89a6…429abacked Astralis42c26,250$11,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,225.241861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked G257c15,862$9,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,041.381,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9166…b479backed Astralis43c15,000$6,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,55010749.5%53 W · 54 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcdfb…980cbacked G258c8,682$5,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,035.7532548.3%157 W · 168 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8718…5040backed Astralis75c8,470$6,353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,117.848670.9%61 W · 25 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe1f3…5402backed G238c8,286$3,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,140.862650%13 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f0e…0200backed Astralis68c7,348$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,348.291758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd052…7ab9backed Astralis70c7,141$4,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,142.341369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+21.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0063…2dd2backed Astralis67c6,878$4,627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,250.8340264.7%260 W · 142 L+49.2wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+10.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xf9d6…730abacked Astralis61c6,167$3,741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,425.49565.3%62 W · 33 L+9.0wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x4214…db99backed Astralis80c6,000$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,20011740.2%47 W · 70 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95c2…421bbacked Astralis74c5,432$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,431.787057.1%40 W · 30 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10d7…bbf6backed Astralis67c5,346$3,596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,750.1319468.6%133 W · 61 L+25.9wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+12.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed G231c4,786$1,461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,461.1687047.9%417 W · 453 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed G245c4,284$1,946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,945.922,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed G229c4,238$1,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,237.832,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a2b…9e83backed G258c4,235$2,456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,456.034553.3%24 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked Astralis62c4,225$2,638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,586.875245.3%341 W · 411 L-1.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-23.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x568b…4727backed Astralis57c3,960$2,254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,706.262864.3%18 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+21.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked G231c3,887$1,212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,212.082,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa803…2949backed G259c3,311$1,953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,952.6110739.3%42 W · 65 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed G255c2,991$1,652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,652.4569445%312 W · 382 L-24.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b1f…d6d5backed Astralis76c2,937$2,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.771250%6 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-30%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Astralis75c2,805$2,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691.6288746.7%414 W · 473 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed Astralis60c2,683$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,083.0348350.9%246 W · 237 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xee82…bd96backed Astralis76c2,630$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630.49862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick69cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6479…30b6backed G241c2,382$966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965.7620%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Astralis70c2,373$1,661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711.871,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c52…1a59backed Astralis43c2,000$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1409550.5%48 W · 47 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf148…0b4fbacked Astralis58c1,991$1,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841.8916946.7%79 W · 90 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed Astralis60c1,962$1,177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784.861034.3%209 W · 401 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed Astralis58c1,777$1,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$746.312,52243%1,085 W · 1,437 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8400…274cbacked Astralis61c1,554$948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606.085658.9%33 W · 23 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked G229c1,534$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.883,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed G227c1,342$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.2345646.9%214 W · 242 L-1.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8a6…5d97backed G223c1,310$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.35052%26 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked G232c1,269$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.851,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked G258c1,261$732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731.5275245.5%342 W · 410 L-21.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6421…045dbacked Astralis51c1,144$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.3816248.1%78 W · 84 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc303…8129backed Astralis58c1,113$646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.46944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec37…85bdbacked G218c1,101$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.13426.5%9 W · 25 L-5.2wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-35.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x634a…6de3backed Astralis42c1,086$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630.0242651.6%220 W · 206 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc9bf…81c0backed G258c1,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ee0…d6a6backed Astralis56c999.99$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4404553.3%24 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x00a1…5062backed G232c943.04$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004429.5%13 W · 31 L-7.1wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-40.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0758…9532backed G241c927.98$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.4718736.4%68 W · 119 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3885…2cd8backed G255c908.63$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50015150.3%76 W · 75 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdf3…1bb5backed G214c894.93$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.4917538.3%67 W · 108 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3230…f430backed Astralis67c873.62$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.611421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-66%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked G231c870.66$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.192,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6cb6…d647backed G258c862.07$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004266.7%28 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73bc…46cebacked G238c855.67$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.057250%36 W · 36 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67d6…6562backed G239c753.02$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.153956.4%22 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f8e…0c69backed G252c702.3$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36527438.3%105 W · 169 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x538e…c195backed G258c651.18$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.6816349.7%81 W · 82 L-19.7wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-21.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x99a2…feedbacked G230c599.99$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17812132.2%39 W · 82 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5592…aedebacked Astralis50c598.04$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.0419357%110 W · 83 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61a8…519dbacked Astralis42c595.24$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.2414544.8%65 W · 80 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6f1…5729backed Astralis51c537.2$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.237065.7%46 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x825e…2a99backed Astralis58c517.5$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.51154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Astralis55c506.75$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.0438454.2%208 W · 176 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cbc…96a6backed Astralis43c500$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2852665.4%17 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1aee…637abacked G233c500$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1652766.7%18 W · 9 L+4.1wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+19.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x22f6…eb09backed Astralis42c500$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2907844.9%35 W · 43 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x215a…7275backed G229c499.98$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.994134.1%14 W · 27 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed G231c499.8$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.742,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc0c…dac0backed Astralis75c490.67$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.7241475.4%312 W · 102 L+22.1wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+6.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbc4b…ecc5backed Astralis68c484.48$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.036942%29 W · 40 L-5.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-28%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed G220c457.32$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.44,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Astralis41c440.67$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26014934.9%52 W · 97 L-14.1wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-21.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked G248c423.89$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.9648948.9%239 W · 250 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed G223c400$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.911,30426.5%345 W · 959 L-89.4wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe41f…d9dcbacked Astralis43c400$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22865650.3%330 W · 326 L-15.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4031…92c8backed Astralis67c400$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13250846.3%235 W · 273 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed Astralis41c400$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2361,03839.9%414 W · 624 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8532…5fafbacked Astralis50c397.2$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.225045.2%113 W · 137 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf897…8453backed G258c379.31$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2201330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-49.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5038…6236backed G242c377$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.3417737.3%66 W · 111 L-16.0wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-20.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd2bb…bd8ebacked G229c374.94$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.0219236.5%70 W · 122 L-15.5wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-37.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6c2d…dd1ebacked G232c374.93$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.2239970.7%282 W · 117 L+38.7wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+14.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x86f4…bd70backed G242c355.99$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.523154.8%17 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd786…59b8backed G241c355.34$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.4710036%36 W · 64 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-31.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7de0…7429backed G258c338.07$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.0810556.2%59 W · 46 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f0c…da03backed Astralis61c337.57$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.655046%23 W · 27 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x546b…1582backed G260c330$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.9633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-42.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1747…4afcbacked Astralis61c327.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.8720755.1%114 W · 93 L+13.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5acf…ead4backed G246c326.09$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504431.8%14 W · 30 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaea5…6163backed G242c320.38$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.5611265.2%73 W · 39 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick64cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa35b…60e9backed Astralis51c316.29$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.9855043.1%237 W · 313 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c63…3cbbbacked Astralis79c314.79$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.7946165.5%302 W · 159 L+0.4wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9048…d351backed G232c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa8…8b99backed Astralis55c301.82$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.821457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd7cf…427fbacked G240c300$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1191833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8941…3126backed G210c296.55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3015132.5%49 W · 102 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-25.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf71e…917bbacked Astralis73c272.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.126560%39 W · 26 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b57…de6bbacked G231c256.92$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.3619443.3%84 W · 110 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b5a…1457backed G223c255$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.3821143.1%91 W · 120 L-0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed G224c251.28$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.062,50841%1,029 W · 1,479 L-115.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.