TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x99a2…feed

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
145
Categories scored
3
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Valorant, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 56 out of 100; worst CS2 at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT12132.2%39 W · 82 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 121 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$135
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$107
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$178
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$134
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN - Map 1 Winnerbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.24
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.36
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$165.99
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.7
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision - Map 2 Winnerbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision - Map 1 Winnerbacked Lynn Vision · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$63
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.6
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z - Map 1 Winnerbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.9
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$87
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 9z - Map 1 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+893.6%+$557.59
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+1,328.6%+$1,023
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.34
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.9
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.2
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$171.34
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$157.33
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$86.7
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Showing 25 of 121 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1428.6%4 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick18cpaid-11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.5
Exact Score: England 3 - 3 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: France 3 - 3 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.18
Exact Score: Norway 3 - 3 France?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.16
Exact Score: Ecuador 0 - 0 Germany?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.62
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$20.05
Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.44
Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$55.69
England vs. Ghana: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$19.71
Exact Score: England 3 - 1 Ghana?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.03
Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 1 Sweden?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.64
Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$581
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.2
All 14 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST1060%6 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+24.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Valorant — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$136.57
Valorant: T1 vs EDward Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+36.7%+$38.9
Valorant: T1 vs EDward Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Valorant: Paper Rex vs NRG - Map 2 Winnerbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Valorant: Paper Rex vs NRG - Map 1 Winnerbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+156.4%+$56.73
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Group Stagebacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+117.4%+$108
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Paper Rex - Map 2 Winnerbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+185.7%+$130
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Paper Rex - Map 1 Winnerbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+83.6%+$90.59
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Group Stagebacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+66.7%+$60
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs EDward Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$28.88
All 10 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.