TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: Norway 3 - 3 France?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,089,049
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,045,448

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,089,049 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes2c202,891$4,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,188.468,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb465…0d8dbacked Yes2c80,507$1,609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,608.58498.2%4 W · 45 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick11cpaid-60.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefe5…6f6bbacked Yes2c30,462$658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658.13513.9%2 W · 49 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-32.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6320…7e94backed Yes2c20,999$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.9738817.5%68 W · 320 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcaef…c642backed Yes2c14,873$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.576813.2%9 W · 59 L+0.1wins0.00per pick13cpaid-47.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6891…6f66backed Yes2c12,074$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.5120%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ad9…7e66backed Yes2c10,151$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.727631.6%24 W · 52 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+15.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe04…45cdbacked Yes2c10,012$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.431612.5%2 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick12cpaid-40.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac35…ad85backed Yes2c9,962$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007320.5%15 W · 58 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick20cpaid-19.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e95…1776backed Yes2c8,500$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.981567.7%12 W · 144 L-0.4wins0.00per pick8cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes2c7,471$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.724,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23d6…e7acbacked Yes2c7,358$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.019717.5%17 W · 80 L-0.1wins0.00per pick18cpaid-38.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4ae…8eadbacked Yes2c7,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14035514.4%51 W · 304 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick14cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed Yes2c6,898$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.4128229.4%83 W · 199 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9689…df62backed Yes2c6,666$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9923427.8%65 W · 169 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick25cpaid+42.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7ff…5c2abacked Yes2c6,526$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1408714.9%13 W · 74 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick10cpaid+47.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb47…3502backed Yes2c6,410$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.5744524.9%111 W · 334 L-1.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e72…0306backed Yes2c6,350$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003318.2%6 W · 27 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick11cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5605…83e2backed Yes2c6,097$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.5535110.8%38 W · 313 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick10cpaid+13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3797…bca3backed Yes2c6,078$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10060%0 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x05da…43d7backed Yes2c5,466$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120120%0 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc468…3f67backed Yes2c5,392$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.2311616.4%19 W · 97 L+0.2wins0.00per pick16cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd202…1ef5backed Yes1c5,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017827.5%49 W · 129 L+0.3wins0.00per pick27cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Yes1c4,999$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9934731.1%108 W · 239 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2878…466dbacked Yes2c4,931$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005032%16 W · 34 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fd0…08a0backed Yes2c4,867$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.4230%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0571…78bebacked Yes2c4,650$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006627.3%18 W · 48 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa52e…48febacked Yes2c4,381$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95619.8%6 W · 55 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick14cpaid-42.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2824…4aacbacked Yes5c4,349$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010921.1%23 W · 86 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick26cpaid+3.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x83fc…6c92backed Yes2c3,779$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.383414.7%5 W · 29 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-67.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x91d7…0dfcbacked Yes1c3,641$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.7358530.9%181 W · 404 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-28%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb37…f9bbbacked Yes2c3,432$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756939.1%27 W · 42 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x27ea…863dbacked Yes2c3,200$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485728.1%16 W · 41 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-32.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa553…789dbacked Yes2c3,174$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.919517.9%35 W · 160 L0.0wins0.00per pick18cpaid-35.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37e9…08d3backed Yes2c3,133$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473030%9 W · 21 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf8a…2d3cbacked Yes2c3,000$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5326216%42 W · 220 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+35%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9629…972bbacked Yes2c2,839$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.742187.3%16 W · 202 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc47…a4efbacked Yes2c2,684$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4950%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd26b…b09fbacked Yes2c2,648$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5035714%50 W · 307 L-0.3wins0.00per pick14cpaid-14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5d8…c833backed Yes2c2,631$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5080%0 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b9d…9b0ebacked Yes1c2,500$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.524825.8%64 W · 184 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-22.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44e9…ec97backed Yes2c2,500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504953.1%26 W · 23 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick46cpaid-14.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x811e…ce09backed Yes2c2,500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508035%28 W · 52 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcba9…f812backed Yes2c2,373$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507913.9%11 W · 68 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick19cpaid-27.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa447…4bfebacked Yes2c2,342$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523514.3%5 W · 30 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick10cpaid+48.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8621…ecdbbacked Yes0c2,302$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6180%0 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b75…2e6dbacked Yes2c2,284$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408727.6%24 W · 63 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick25cpaid+16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1da5…55bbbacked Yes2c2,273$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick33cpaid-30.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x11be…7712backed Yes2c2,273$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5022620.4%46 W · 180 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick19cpaid+21.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafe8…42ccbacked Yes2c2,219$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5035621.9%78 W · 278 L+0.6wins0.00per pick22cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x005e…67ffbacked Yes7c2,218$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1526533.8%22 W · 43 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+15.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes1c2,166$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.464,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b0f…179abacked Yes2c2,010$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.0810038%38 W · 62 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick32cpaid-5.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Yes2c2,000$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.9835229.3%103 W · 249 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+20.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0886…b3a6backed Yes2c1,830$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4032922.5%74 W · 255 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x635d…7047backed Yes1c1,759$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.091756.9%12 W · 163 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick6cpaid+112.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1101…dfd5backed Yes1c1,717$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.7627732.5%90 W · 187 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3362…a769backed Yes3c1,548$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505922%13 W · 46 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-36.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1318…69afbacked Yes2c1,500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3018028.3%51 W · 129 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick25cpaid-17.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d6f…4997backed Yes2c1,500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3023513.2%31 W · 204 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick11cpaid+52%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6c7…f1f3backed Yes2c1,500$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.313122.1%29 W · 102 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick19cpaid+30.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdbf…e028backed Yes2c1,500$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.57335.6%26 W · 47 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ef6…b8e3backed Yes2c1,388$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.98137.7%1 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-77.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6467…61acbacked Yes2c1,364$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30348.8%3 W · 31 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick6cpaid+86.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Yes2c1,342$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.042,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc6b…8115backed Yes2c1,329$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2722914%32 W · 197 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick13cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99a2…feedbacked Yes1c1,320$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.161428.6%4 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick18cpaid-11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2bf…8e4bbacked Yes2c1,316$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.272516%4 W · 21 L-4.1wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-65.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3ae4…7084backed Yes2c1,304$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3013453%71 W · 63 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa543…66e5backed Yes2c1,301$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc32a…f7ebbacked Yes2c1,300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.91219.1%11 W · 110 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick7cpaid+16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbec0…9bddbacked Yes2c1,234$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3662633.9%212 W · 414 L-28.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-37.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0367…e7fbbacked Yes2c1,176$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207319.2%14 W · 59 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick15cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2ec…7f46backed Yes2c1,167$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fe1…c364backed Yes2c1,150$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201618.8%3 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.16per pick35cpaid-44.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd671…634cbacked Yes2c1,150$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.48250%0 W · 25 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Yes2c1,149$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.342,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11d1…0b41backed Yes2c1,082$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2146319.9%92 W · 371 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bf5…9e5cbacked Yes3c1,071$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307343.8%32 W · 41 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf76a…71e6backed Yes2c1,067$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2519520%39 W · 156 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed Yes2c1,063$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8278317.4%136 W · 647 L-0.1wins0.00per pick17cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd34c…10b4backed Yes2c1,053$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2072424.7%179 W · 545 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30c3…2ccbbacked Yes2c1,053$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209323.7%22 W · 71 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick26cpaid+4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb22f…8339backed Yes2c1,053$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2016919.5%33 W · 136 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a30…b078backed Yes2c1,013$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204311.6%5 W · 38 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-34.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b36…0d4bbacked Yes2c1,002$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6873626.5%195 W · 541 L-0.7wins0.00per pick27cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x056e…14afbacked Yes2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209214.1%13 W · 79 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x67be…6e09backed Yes2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2019531.3%61 W · 134 L-0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7493…fe92backed Yes2c999$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9824626%64 W · 182 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6562…c581backed Yes2c941.14$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15140%0 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc096…9e8dbacked Yes2c937.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1511335.4%40 W · 73 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+42.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe4cc…6135backed Yes1c900$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.716428.7%47 W · 117 L+9.9wins+0.06per pick23cpaid+33.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd7ce…fd49backed Yes2c888.68$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207041.4%29 W · 41 L+0.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4209…b161backed Yes1c858.17$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.056711.9%8 W · 59 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick14cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77a8…a003backed Yes6c849.69$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.167118.3%13 W · 58 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-53.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfaee…d7d7backed Yes2c833.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151711.8%2 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick10cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x022b…d2f6backed Yes2c813.64$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.91758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2e3…fbb2backed Yes2c804.55$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.71533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes2c797.52$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.851,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9442…2338backed Yes2c776.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.546216.1%10 W · 52 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.