Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Norway 0 - 3 France?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x759e7c805569e9d646b8a0a9f8b96f67004b3fd4d062687a0e5d44a725eac87f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $217,943
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $244,026
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $217,943 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 7c | 19,669$1,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,433.07 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd34a…78c7backed Yes | 9c | 11,212$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 137 | 21.2%29 W · 108 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5f…f7aebacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Yes | 8c | 10,000$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a79…b1a8backed Yes | 12c | 9,999$1,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190.5 | 77 | 29.9%23 W · 54 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8a…2d3cbacked Yes | 9c | 6,000$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516 | 262 | 16%42 W · 220 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +35%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd28…cecfbacked Yes | 15c | 4,184$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.07 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd1…d33cbacked Yes | 7c | 3,930$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.13 | 52 | 7.7%4 W · 48 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 14cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d01…27cbbacked Yes | 9c | 2,841$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 176 | 36.4%64 W · 112 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 9c | 2,342$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.22 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbba9…2e70backed Yes | 6c | 1,500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 198 | 17.2%34 W · 164 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8953…cd41backed Yes | 10c | 1,491$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.59 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…b3fdbacked Yes | 7c | 1,464$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac52…1b0bbacked Yes | 12c | 1,440$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.33 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x135d…56c0backed Yes | 7c | 1,376$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.34 | 129 | 23.3%30 W · 99 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8baa…f299backed Yes | 12c | 1,266$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f61…67b8backed Yes | 9c | 1,136$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -52%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…cf16backed Yes | 6c | 1,129$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 626 | 6.7%42 W · 584 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92c9…67c6backed Yes | 9c | 1,124$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 63 | 22.2%14 W · 49 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 12c | 1,114$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.34 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…f102backed Yes | 9c | 1,010$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.93 | 564 | 10.5%59 W · 505 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5797…8636backed Yes | 13c | 779.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 112 | 32.1%36 W · 76 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11be…7712backed Yes | 9c | 663.8$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 226 | 20.4%46 W · 180 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8b…517cbacked Yes | 8c | 602.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 186 | 14.5%27 W · 159 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 9c | 580.45$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.51 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84b2…f1dabacked Yes | 9c | 568.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 303 | 21.5%65 W · 238 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc258…d934backed Yes | 9c | 561.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x056e…14afbacked Yes | 10c | 501.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 92 | 14.1%13 W · 79 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 5c | 500$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e51…c6aabacked Yes | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 123 | 41.5%51 W · 72 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac78…a7b7backed Yes | 6c | 483.87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 123 | 30.9%38 W · 85 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd255…bbcabacked Yes | 9c | 454.55$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 87 | 11.5%10 W · 77 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a31…a9dabacked Yes | 9c | 454.55$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a26…ccc0backed Yes | 6c | 423.73$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea60…e977backed Yes | 8c | 392.92$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.27 | 126 | 27.8%35 W · 91 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf984…24cebacked Yes | 9c | 370.79$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 103 | 31.1%32 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d57…9d36backed Yes | 6c | 349.16$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.35 | 63 | 17.5%11 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…9a30backed Yes | 12c | 344.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 281 | 27.8%78 W · 203 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4a…b3c5backed Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 356 | 12.6%45 W · 311 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa87d…ff4dbacked Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 294 | 28.9%85 W · 209 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7a…6ce6backed Yes | 6c | 309$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf346…8232backed Yes | 6c | 299.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 255 | 10.6%27 W · 228 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…ca2dbacked Yes | 9c | 276.7$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.35 | 129 | 14.7%19 W · 110 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd13…8066backed Yes | 6c | 254.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.22per pick | 16cpaid | +153.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…8772backed Yes | 12c | 249.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb790…0a14backed Yes | 6c | 244.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 10cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7572…6156backed Yes | 6c | 243.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 38 | 5.3%2 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc07…cd29backed Yes | 10c | 233.63$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x751f…4a2cbacked Yes | 9c | 227.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 191 | 44.5%85 W · 106 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e7…cfccbacked Yes | 9c | 224.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 97 | 27.8%27 W · 70 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x859e…894fbacked Yes | 9c | 224.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c87…f576backed Yes | 14c | 215.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b34…509dbacked Yes | 13c | 215.38$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3d…f59cbacked Yes | 9c | 205.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 62 | 22.6%14 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -39%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb5…0f14backed Yes | 10c | 197.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 198 | 25.3%50 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 9c | 195$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9c…913bbacked Yes | 6c | 193.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 74 | 12.2%9 W · 65 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3f…caf9backed Yes | 15c | 171.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x333a…bd76backed Yes | 9c | 170.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 45 | 15.6%7 W · 38 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4f…0b9ebacked Yes | 9c | 168.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70b2…5805backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 156 | 35.9%56 W · 100 L | -12.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b9…5a7fbacked Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1897…2a42backed Yes | 13c | 155.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 404 | 35.6%144 W · 260 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…cd34backed Yes | 13c | 155.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032b…9d22backed Yes | 9c | 154.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…f98bbacked Yes | 9c | 154.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb47…3502backed Yes | 9c | 133.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 445 | 24.9%111 W · 334 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4010…4d6dbacked Yes | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdea0…632dbacked Yes | 10c | 100.06$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cd…cc1bbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 91 | 62.6%57 W · 34 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ff…b050backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 112 | 34.8%39 W · 73 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Norway 0 - 3 France?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?Yes won
- Exact Score: Norway 0 - 0 France?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 0 - 1 France?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 0 - 2 France?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 1 - 0 France?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 1 - 1 France?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 1 - 2 France?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 1 - 3 France?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 2 - 0 France?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 2 - 1 France?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 2 - 2 France?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 2 - 3 France?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 3 - 0 France?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 3 - 1 France?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 3 - 2 France?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 3 - 3 France?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.