Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Norway 3 - 2 France?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c4772a372d76a85c35047bfed2f0b9baeb35de4b18637c3a00e8f56f561d11c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $406,018
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $398,139
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $406,018 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x04d0…5d4ebacked Yes | 0c | 100,500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 2c | 58,156$1,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,406.1 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1844…79d9backed Yes | 3c | 10,304$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.21 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +29%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…4781backed Yes | 2c | 10,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 525 | 22.5%118 W · 407 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 3c | 8,783$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.18 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaef…c642backed Yes | 2c | 8,552$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 68 | 13.2%9 W · 59 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…4d7dbacked Yes | 2c | 6,692$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.67 | 302 | 14.6%44 W · 258 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23d6…e7acbacked Yes | 3c | 4,576$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.7 | 97 | 17.5%17 W · 80 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd1…928abacked Yes | 3c | 3,400$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.4 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -47%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c12…748fbacked Yes | 3c | 2,567$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.31 | 324 | 22.5%73 W · 251 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5605…83e2backed Yes | 2c | 2,500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 351 | 10.8%38 W · 313 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…4997backed Yes | 2c | 2,432$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 235 | 13.2%31 W · 204 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +52%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefe9…7aaabacked Yes | 2c | 2,138$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.21 | 74 | 12.2%9 W · 65 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf381…40c2backed Yes | 2c | 2,000$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 180 | 27.8%50 W · 130 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba9…f812backed Yes | 3c | 1,786$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 79 | 13.9%11 W · 68 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83fc…6c92backed Yes | 3c | 1,734$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.59 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafe8…42ccbacked Yes | 3c | 1,702$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 356 | 21.9%78 W · 278 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d0…8011backed Yes | 3c | 1,659$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.11 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e95…1776backed Yes | 3c | 1,526$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.2 | 156 | 7.7%12 W · 144 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…e028backed Yes | 2c | 1,500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Yes | 3c | 1,500$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfae3…c20ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,189$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.89 | 113 | 7.1%8 W · 105 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd961…35debacked Yes | 3c | 1,130$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.38 | 240 | 28.8%69 W · 171 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f5d…b919backed Yes | 3c | 1,069$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.86 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -42%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f56…2a4abacked Yes | 2c | 1,068$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.62 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 18cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6b…8115backed Yes | 2c | 1,047$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 229 | 14%32 W · 197 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d1…0b41backed Yes | 2c | 1,010$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 463 | 19.9%92 W · 371 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d97…fbd8backed Yes | 2c | 999.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 112 | 4.5%5 W · 107 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa7…e3d9backed Yes | 2c | 999$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.98 | 96 | 8.3%8 W · 88 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 2c | 937$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ef…cd31backed Yes | 2c | 888$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.42 | 205 | 11.7%24 W · 181 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a21…50d3backed Yes | 3c | 874.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 247 | 49.8%123 W · 124 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d2b…3f22backed Yes | 3c | 862.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9224…2a36backed Yes | 3c | 851.85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 53 | 15.1%8 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…ec91backed Yes | 3c | 748.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x926f…f72ebacked Yes | 3c | 740.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 250 | 18.4%46 W · 204 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c8…b9e6backed Yes | 3c | 740.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 218 | 37.6%82 W · 136 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b35…4a36backed Yes | 4c | 719.26$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 175 | 6.3%11 W · 164 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -37%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe798…3ef9backed Yes | 2c | 717.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05da…43d7backed Yes | 3c | 714.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd90d…97e5backed Yes | 2c | 705$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 75 | 21.3%16 W · 59 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9af…40c4backed Yes | 3c | 694$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 232 | 18.1%42 W · 190 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x859e…894fbacked Yes | 3c | 689.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe04…45cdbacked Yes | 3c | 679.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27ec…ad73backed Yes | 3c | 678.89$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1101…dfd5backed Yes | 2c | 644$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 277 | 32.5%90 W · 187 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4715…6efbbacked Yes | 3c | 643.41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 29cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88e9…a226backed Yes | 2c | 626.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 46 | 15.2%7 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…8f39backed Yes | 2c | 600$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x868b…2106backed Yes | 3c | 548.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 206 | 26.2%54 W · 152 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7e…0332backed Yes | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 535 | 14.6%78 W · 457 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe21d…54e9backed Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd05e…2114backed Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa983…643cbacked Yes | 3c | 476.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43e9…c7f7backed Yes | 3c | 437.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6467…61acbacked Yes | 3c | 429.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 34 | 8.8%3 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | +86.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa674…36a2backed Yes | 3c | 400$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Norway 3 - 2 France?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?Yes won
- Exact Score: Norway 0 - 0 France?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 0 - 1 France?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 0 - 2 France?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 0 - 3 France?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 1 - 0 France?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 1 - 1 France?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 1 - 2 France?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 1 - 3 France?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 2 - 0 France?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 2 - 1 France?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 2 - 2 France?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 2 - 3 France?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 3 - 0 France?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 3 - 1 France?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 3 - 3 France?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.