Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Norway 0 - 1 France?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe6337cef9357199d2779a404a9d4bc149fa71ade8a9aa55342e552a32f27d35a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $129,870
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $122,279
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $129,870 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 8c | 26,429$2,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,108.2 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6320…7e94backed Yes | 8c | 10,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 388 | 17.5%68 W · 320 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 8c | 9,847$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.94 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…948ebacked Yes | 8c | 5,367$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.36 | 174 | 16.1%28 W · 146 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb47…3502backed Yes | 9c | 3,187$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.83 | 445 | 24.9%111 W · 334 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 9c | 2,816$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.42 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c36…89ffbacked Yes | 9c | 2,142$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.8 | 290 | 17.6%51 W · 239 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefe5…6f6bbacked Yes | 9c | 1,998$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.86 | 51 | 3.9%2 W · 49 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 3c | 1,103$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.09 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Yes | 8c | 1,055$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.37 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Yes | 8c | 1,045$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.57 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb1…96e1backed Yes | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 159 | 11.9%19 W · 140 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab8…1b4abacked Yes | 4c | 975.93$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.11 | 396 | 44.7%177 W · 219 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…73fdbacked Yes | 7c | 965$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.95 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9402…21febacked Yes | 7c | 743.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 3c | 633.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 3c | 610.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.37 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 10c | 560$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e55…a3fbbacked Yes | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 389 | 33.2%129 W · 260 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d5…c33cbacked Yes | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe987…f0e1backed Yes | 8c | 480$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 380 | 26.6%101 W · 279 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73c2…3a29backed Yes | 4c | 438$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30c3…2ccbbacked Yes | 9c | 422.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 93 | 23.7%22 W · 71 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…8681backed Yes | 9c | 399.98$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c8…b9e6backed Yes | 9c | 333.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 218 | 37.6%82 W · 136 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f51…44bbbacked Yes | 9c | 333.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x935d…9404backed Yes | 9c | 333.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 157 | 19.1%30 W · 127 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d41…5863backed Yes | 9c | 333.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5665…643dbacked Yes | 10c | 313.13$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa739…19c8backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 131 | 41.2%54 W · 77 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe991…48b1backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 336 | 41.7%140 W · 196 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f2…1652backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 130 | 37.7%49 W · 81 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac68…f1fcbacked Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 238 | 45.4%108 W · 130 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5121…c122backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc48…c120backed Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 374 | 51.6%193 W · 181 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3d…f59cbacked Yes | 10c | 192.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 62 | 22.6%14 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -39%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2673…5ac9backed Yes | 9c | 188.89$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 118 | 33.1%39 W · 79 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf900…f00cbacked Yes | 9c | 166.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4a…b3c5backed Yes | 9c | 166.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 356 | 12.6%45 W · 311 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…cd34backed Yes | 9c | 166.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b1…d21fbacked Yes | 9c | 154.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 175 | 27.4%48 W · 127 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfd…038bbacked Yes | 8c | 149.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 364 | 23.6%86 W · 278 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a76…e39ebacked Yes | 9c | 140$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5933…ecb7backed Yes | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 130 | 35.4%46 W · 84 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfda…4fe6backed Yes | 10c | 135$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 243 | 44.9%109 W · 134 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ace…8fa9backed Yes | 9c | 133.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf85a…a2edbacked Yes | 9c | 129.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b0…35d3backed Yes | 9c | 119.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -78.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c96…8651backed Yes | 10c | 110$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a80…9608backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 110 | 11.8%13 W · 97 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…bf74backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 118 | 23.7%28 W · 90 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfd2…e6d0backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +99.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa19…802cbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Norway 0 - 1 France?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?Yes won
- Exact Score: Norway 0 - 0 France?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 0 - 2 France?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 0 - 3 France?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 1 - 0 France?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 1 - 1 France?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 1 - 2 France?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 1 - 3 France?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 2 - 0 France?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 2 - 1 France?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 2 - 2 France?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 2 - 3 France?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 3 - 0 France?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 3 - 1 France?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 3 - 2 France?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 3 - 3 France?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.