Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Norway 0 - 0 France?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4860d20b93032174163259aa43d8e12453a1ea0d27e97347c15a643d36cff540
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $229,569
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $220,972
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $229,569 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 4c | 50,970$1,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,882.48 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3a…d724backed Yes | 4c | 7,755$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 212 | 27.8%59 W · 153 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 4c | 6,037$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.75 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d96…7c16backed Yes | 4c | 5,000$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Yes | 3c | 4,839$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 146 | 20.5%30 W · 116 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 4c | 4,220$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.74 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…948ebacked Yes | 3c | 3,839$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.49 | 174 | 16.1%28 W · 146 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 4c | 3,762$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.34 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…f1b7backed Yes | 3c | 3,291$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.87 | 950 | 37.5%356 W · 594 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ae…8eadbacked Yes | 3c | 3,000$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 355 | 14.4%51 W · 304 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb7…3644backed Yes | 3c | 2,941$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 138 | 47.1%65 W · 73 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Yes | 4c | 2,647$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 124 | 29%36 W · 88 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…83f5backed Yes | 4c | 2,564$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 11.6%5 W · 38 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b4…213abacked Yes | 4c | 2,481$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e83…3bb7backed Yes | 3c | 2,116$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.97 | 1,206 | 32.7%394 W · 812 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea8…b084backed Yes | 4c | 1,975$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.02 | 232 | 40.5%94 W · 138 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1c…b3abbacked Yes | 4c | 1,609$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.15 | 275 | 20.4%56 W · 219 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…8681backed Yes | 4c | 1,500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…cb5fbacked Yes | 4c | 1,485$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9d…930fbacked Yes | 4c | 1,351$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 180 | 37.2%67 W · 113 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef6…b8e3backed Yes | 4c | 1,351$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…875abacked Yes | 3c | 1,302$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.57 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee5e…e5a7backed Yes | 4c | 1,250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 13.2%5 W · 33 L | -6.4wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…cf16backed Yes | 4c | 1,245$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 626 | 6.7%42 W · 584 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…a2bcbacked Yes | 4c | 1,200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 117 | 21.4%25 W · 92 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…d56cbacked Yes | 4c | 1,033$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.31 | 825 | 37.1%306 W · 519 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb1…96e1backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 159 | 11.9%19 W · 140 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Yes | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 333 | 50.5%168 W · 165 L | +24.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 4c | 999.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 138 | 26.1%36 W · 102 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c12…748fbacked Yes | 3c | 936.41$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.84 | 324 | 22.5%73 W · 251 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4642…21d3backed Yes | 4c | 857.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 104 | 26.9%28 W · 76 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Yes | 4c | 834.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 783 | 17.4%136 W · 647 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 4c | 804.93$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 3c | 800.21$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f51…44bbbacked Yes | 4c | 751.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…2888backed Yes | 3c | 710$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 272 | 27.6%75 W · 197 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…0550backed Yes | 4c | 655$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 356 | 14.3%51 W · 305 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…7047backed Yes | 3c | 638.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 175 | 6.9%12 W · 163 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | +112.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc20e…642abacked Yes | 3c | 600$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e0…df40backed Yes | 3c | 588.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbccf…e4afbacked Yes | 4c | 548.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd999…dbc6backed Yes | 4c | 540.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7e…0332backed Yes | 4c | 512.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 535 | 14.6%78 W · 457 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4630…7de2backed Yes | 4c | 512.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 3c | 503.55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d82…9e66backed Yes | 3c | 499.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033d…123fbacked Yes | 3c | 428.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a30…b078backed Yes | 4c | 416.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 43 | 11.6%5 W · 38 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac68…14eebacked Yes | 4c | 411.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ff…5c2abacked Yes | 4c | 400$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 87 | 14.9%13 W · 74 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…22f0backed Yes | 3c | 395$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e55…a3fbbacked Yes | 4c | 391.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 389 | 33.2%129 W · 260 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb2…ca8ebacked Yes | 3c | 371.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 82 | 22%18 W · 64 L | -7.8wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7198…e4d5backed Yes | 4c | 306.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30c3…2ccbbacked Yes | 3c | 291.12$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 93 | 23.7%22 W · 71 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e34…9434backed Yes | 5c | 282$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa369…6686backed Yes | 4c | 251.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +52%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a80…9608backed Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 110 | 11.8%13 W · 97 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x793f…fc1dbacked Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5665…643dbacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Norway 0 - 0 France?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?Yes won
- Exact Score: Norway 0 - 1 France?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 0 - 2 France?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 0 - 3 France?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 1 - 0 France?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 1 - 1 France?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 1 - 2 France?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 1 - 3 France?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 2 - 0 France?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 2 - 1 France?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 2 - 2 France?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 2 - 3 France?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 3 - 0 France?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 3 - 1 France?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 3 - 2 France?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 3 - 3 France?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.