TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xeeb2…ca8e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
122
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Middle East, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 57 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT8222%18 W · 64 L-7.8wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-32.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 82 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.37
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.43
Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$162.4
Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
England vs. DR Congo: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$28.19
Spread: England (-1.5)backed DR Congo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$96.08
Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Exact Score: Netherlands 0 - 1 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$23.53
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Exact Score: Algeria 0 - 1 Austria?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Colombia vs. Portugal: Both Teams to Score in Second Halfbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 2 Portugal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Norway 0 - 0 France?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.17
Exact Score: Paraguay 1 - 0 Australia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Spread: Germany (-1.5)backed Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Will Canada win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$86
Showing 25 of 82 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.17per pick25cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$71.95
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+150%+$60
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+151.7%+$64.81
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$60
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$76
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+215.3%+$163.66
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$25
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$331Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$330.88
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$75
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$90.01
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$337Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+164.1%+$552.36
All 12 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+63.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tweets — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-67.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-51.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-47.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 12, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Augsburg win on 2025-10-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$75
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.