World Politics · resolved market
Will Phan Van Giang be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x72dde577d8cb545ee62b45178820f450a855990a5a7c190ce8aea3ea781b49b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,277,622
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,994,199
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,277,622 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 644 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x477a…4508backed Yes | 8c | 254,249$19,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,710 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 5c | 80,786$4,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,181.16 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4056…8d95backed Yes | 19c | 53,269$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbe…91d6backed Yes | 1c | 45,318$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.7 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -95.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf56…6bacbacked Yes | 8c | 39,243$3,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,047.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7791…4d64backed Yes | 3c | 26,847$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.95 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 8c | 21,766$1,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,840.97 | 563 | 14.6%82 W · 481 L | -39.3wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf9…ac35backed Yes | 8c | 21,549$1,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,793.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d6c…7393backed Yes | 3c | 20,593$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49a…47b2backed Yes | 8c | 19,956$1,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,597.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6227…cb51backed Yes | 7c | 19,543$1,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,272.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5100…a2edbacked Yes | 0c | 17,826$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb23f…8442backed Yes | 4c | 17,783$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 17,383$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.6 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x679c…f78bbacked Yes | 4c | 16,866$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.95 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fd…8349backed Yes | 2c | 16,678$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x766b…6dffbacked Yes | 6c | 16,281$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf453…b45ebacked Yes | 8c | 16,089$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 6c | 15,587$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.82 | 254 | 3.5%9 W · 245 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dfb…19c8backed Yes | 9c | 14,940$1,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,336.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…ac55backed Yes | 2c | 14,094$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xace6…45c0backed Yes | 13c | 13,820$1,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,823.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d10…1f92backed Yes | 12c | 13,500$1,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,563.73 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03d6…3392backed Yes | 3c | 13,054$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc056…c80dbacked Yes | 8c | 12,409$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaead…9768backed Yes | 9c | 12,283$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafcc…aec4backed Yes | 1c | 11,731$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 6c | 11,559$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.23 | 52 | 23.1%12 W · 40 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2df…4a81backed Yes | 8c | 11,381$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58ee…354ebacked Yes | 9c | 11,120$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62e5…0095backed Yes | 6c | 10,395$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80a8…6b2ebacked Yes | 0c | 10,324$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 5c | 10,014$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.32 | 234 | 4.3%10 W · 224 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53be…18f9backed Yes | 2c | 9,222$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes | 5c | 9,197$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.56 | 77 | 2.6%2 W · 75 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf8…3209backed Yes | 7c | 9,164$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ed…6362backed Yes | 3c | 8,938$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…9668backed Yes | 6c | 8,934$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.62 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…219ebacked Yes | 3c | 8,887$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 5c | 8,882$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.96 | 115 | 2.6%3 W · 112 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -47%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 5c | 8,749$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.81 | 211 | 7.1%15 W · 196 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfd…d8c0backed Yes | 6c | 8,594$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd11a…0100backed Yes | 3c | 8,471$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00f9…5798backed Yes | 2c | 8,316$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c94…28fbbacked Yes | 2c | 7,663$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfe…036ebacked Yes | 3c | 7,480$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.79 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf736…5332backed Yes | 3c | 7,468$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7950…1d42backed Yes | 6c | 7,386$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f28…b5f1backed Yes | 2c | 7,358$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ccf…7c83backed Yes | 4c | 7,279$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.69 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c2…06d2backed Yes | 2c | 7,240$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.99 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6388…18ddbacked Yes | 8c | 6,869$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6754…fc3bbacked Yes | 5c | 6,784$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.5 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 73c | 6,700$4,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,825 | 179 | 21.2%38 W · 141 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7553…7f89backed Yes | 13c | 6,673$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dda…de29backed Yes | 6c | 6,460$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.87 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x262b…bb5cbacked Yes | 8c | 6,158$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.72 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11cb…7225backed Yes | 1c | 6,100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00be…51b8backed Yes | 10c | 5,911$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.35 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95d0…a101backed Yes | 3c | 5,763$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 79c | 5,500$4,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,137.5 | 166 | 16.9%28 W · 138 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | +111.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b4f…960dbacked Yes | 5c | 5,497$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf2…887dbacked Yes | 5c | 5,474$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.52 | 80 | 3.8%3 W · 77 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d7…9b9cbacked Yes | 7c | 5,443$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8b…342dbacked Yes | 3c | 5,426$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5081…a309backed Yes | 5c | 5,304$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.96 | 80 | 6.3%5 W · 75 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb44c…d77ebacked Yes | 4c | 5,216$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd03e…c860backed Yes | 2c | 5,161$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd32…14a8backed Yes | 6c | 5,122$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa25…a21abacked Yes | 2c | 5,104$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4e…655ebacked Yes | 3c | 5,088$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d3…8e11backed Yes | 10c | 5,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec6…69b3backed Yes | 7c | 4,974$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa345…77bbbacked Yes | 7c | 4,749$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2bc…71f6backed Yes | 4c | 4,704$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59af…9ab6backed Yes | 6c | 4,657$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.52 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ffd…1782backed Yes | 2c | 4,643$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59b3…863fbacked Yes | 8c | 4,523$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.26 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccb9…3801backed Yes | 1c | 4,501$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed Yes | 5c | 4,499$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.5 | 45 | 8.9%4 W · 41 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc38b…8cf1backed Yes | 7c | 4,460$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.09 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed Yes | 5c | 4,431$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.61 | 63 | 11.1%7 W · 56 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 6cpaid | +117.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59db…7840backed Yes | 1c | 4,389$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.85 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea0…5edcbacked Yes | 1c | 4,344$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb614…e647backed Yes | 2c | 4,265$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16a7…822dbacked Yes | 5c | 4,234$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.66 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe592…09f8backed Yes | 8c | 4,230$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd40…32b6backed Yes | 6c | 4,133$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa1…a8e6backed Yes | 7c | 4,117$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.24 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb675…2eaebacked Yes | 8c | 4,090$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc40a…da40backed Yes | 2c | 4,081$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc22c…3a56backed Yes | 6c | 4,075$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa610…a21cbacked Yes | 1c | 4,062$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc0…894cbacked Yes | 2c | 4,020$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 7c | 4,016$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.43 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ef…0cb2backed Yes | 7c | 4,014$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43ad…da5dbacked Yes | 2c | 4,000$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe4…8970backed Yes | 1c | 3,943$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.37 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe265…7069backed Yes | 8c | 3,911$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeed0…d652backed Yes | 2c | 3,886$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Phan Van Giang be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?this page
- Will Luong Cuong be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?No won
- Will To Lam be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?Yes won
- Will Tran Cam Tu be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.