World Politics · resolved market
Will Tran Cam Tu be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x55e0fdd3ea720a3ffffaac32a37e795f21560eced77a2db1f72f21049ffb6209
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,438,567
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,602,307
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,438,567 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 246 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x80e4…dc76backed Yes | 0c | 158,553$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.34 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 1c | 130,290$1,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550.55 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x679c…f78bbacked Yes | 1c | 99,943$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.24 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…d446backed Yes | 1c | 82,908$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.66 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d9…61c3backed Yes | 1c | 72,316$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.58 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x688d…9704backed Yes | 3c | 68,748$1,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,733.79 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbe…91d6backed Yes | 1c | 60,999$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.42 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -95.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 48,026$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.03 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9285…c19dbacked Yes | 0c | 42,219$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.22 | 55 | 0%0 W · 55 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf56…6bacbacked Yes | 2c | 40,219$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85ad…5a18backed Yes | 0c | 37,493$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11cb…7225backed Yes | 1c | 37,215$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4f…e515backed Yes | 1c | 35,927$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03d6…3392backed Yes | 1c | 34,882$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x477a…4508backed Yes | 2c | 26,805$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc813…2e31backed Yes | 2c | 25,345$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.74 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53be…18f9backed Yes | 1c | 25,302$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf736…5332backed Yes | 1c | 24,207$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19dd…8f24backed Yes | 2c | 22,706$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8b…342dbacked Yes | 1c | 21,612$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x581c…b4cdbacked Yes | 2c | 21,070$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.65 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b34…aa0ebacked Yes | 0c | 21,000$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe592…09f8backed Yes | 2c | 19,049$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f96…e6a2backed Yes | 1c | 18,899$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb8…fb99backed Yes | 1c | 18,624$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.87 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 1c | 17,345$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.12 | 234 | 4.3%10 W · 224 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bac…d45bbacked Yes | 0c | 17,000$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7791…4d64backed Yes | 1c | 16,008$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.83 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 1c | 15,819$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.52 | 254 | 3.5%9 W · 245 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ff…c4e1backed Yes | 2c | 15,332$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6432…4999backed Yes | 2c | 15,073$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc3…3bedbacked Yes | 1c | 15,001$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.68 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8d…029cbacked Yes | 2c | 14,197$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 1c | 13,979$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.16 | 52 | 23.1%12 W · 40 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d10…1f92backed Yes | 2c | 13,348$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes | 1c | 12,677$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.29 | 77 | 2.6%2 W · 75 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd73…1a5ebacked Yes | 2c | 12,527$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00be…51b8backed Yes | 2c | 12,283$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 1c | 12,235$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.57 | 115 | 2.6%3 W · 112 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -47%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdde…beeebacked Yes | 3c | 11,977$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3e…55debacked Yes | 1c | 11,862$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8598…7a4abacked Yes | 1c | 11,354$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ccf…7c83backed Yes | 2c | 11,226$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc123…7172backed Yes | 1c | 10,876$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.94 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe04…0ac2backed Yes | 2c | 10,603$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59db…7840backed Yes | 1c | 10,599$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.79 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…9668backed Yes | 1c | 10,408$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.05 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc47a…1fb6backed Yes | 1c | 10,195$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16e9…0fb0backed Yes | 1c | 9,561$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f6e…26babacked Yes | 1c | 9,335$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.25 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9651…594bbacked Yes | 1c | 8,526$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.33 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e0…4235backed Yes | 1c | 8,402$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 1c | 8,390$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.53 | 211 | 7.1%15 W · 196 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afe…98adbacked Yes | 2c | 8,201$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.66 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…797cbacked Yes | 2c | 7,717$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabd5…f260backed Yes | 1c | 7,693$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79c9…67a4backed Yes | 1c | 7,449$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3302…79c0backed Yes | 1c | 7,300$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.99 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x323c…640cbacked Yes | 1c | 7,237$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6556…fc6cbacked Yes | 2c | 7,134$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b4f…960dbacked Yes | 2c | 7,002$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d7…9b9cbacked Yes | 1c | 7,000$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x251d…c844backed Yes | 3c | 6,980$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.52 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58ee…354ebacked Yes | 3c | 6,945$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x876a…0074backed Yes | 4c | 6,680$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7701…831ebacked Yes | 2c | 6,656$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ba…9589backed Yes | 1c | 6,481$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.07 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6666…a84bbacked Yes | 1c | 6,472$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd842…bfdbbacked Yes | 3c | 6,418$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed Yes | 1c | 6,255$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.36 | 63 | 11.1%7 W · 56 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 6cpaid | +117.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfe…036ebacked Yes | 1c | 5,925$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f4…3954backed Yes | 1c | 5,853$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.67 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4697…6086backed Yes | 2c | 5,707$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb32c…747fbacked Yes | 4c | 5,673$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5081…a309backed Yes | 1c | 5,469$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.78 | 80 | 6.3%5 W · 75 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5489…0294backed Yes | 2c | 5,405$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf2…887dbacked Yes | 1c | 5,334$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.83 | 80 | 3.8%3 W · 77 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62f2…d2b2backed Yes | 2c | 5,174$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7243…83f0backed Yes | 0c | 5,009$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 9cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…fb76backed Yes | 2c | 5,005$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa1…a8e6backed Yes | 1c | 4,901$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ee…94e7backed Yes | 2c | 4,900$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ffd…1782backed Yes | 1c | 4,829$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8e…fbacbacked Yes | 1c | 4,554$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec3…ad8bbacked Yes | 2c | 4,425$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5b…85dfbacked Yes | 1c | 4,358$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.72 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed Yes | 1c | 4,342$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.13 | 45 | 8.9%4 W · 41 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafc5…bdb1backed Yes | 2c | 4,340$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc38b…8cf1backed Yes | 2c | 4,264$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 1c | 4,229$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 150 | 14%21 W · 129 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe54f…6a4ebacked Yes | 2c | 4,187$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe1…156cbacked Yes | 2c | 4,178$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59b3…863fbacked Yes | 2c | 4,107$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc22c…3a56backed Yes | 1c | 4,066$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d3…60e0backed Yes | 1c | 4,039$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dba…1c8ebacked Yes | 2c | 4,013$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…e629backed Yes | 1c | 3,920$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x493e…6b24backed Yes | 1c | 3,870$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3afb…d1d4backed Yes | 2c | 3,831$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x007e…b2f3backed Yes | 2c | 3,798$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tran Cam Tu be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?this page
- Will Luong Cuong be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?No won
- Will Phan Van Giang be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?No won
- Will To Lam be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.